Bahia vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Vitória

Bahia square off against Vitória, with kick-off set for 19:00 on Wednesday 11 March.

We can back Bahia at -152 to get the better of Vitória and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Bahia triumphed in their last Série A game. It was on their travels where Vasco da Gama were beaten 1-0. Rogerio Ceni's men recorded 44% possession and had three shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Luciano Juba in the 22nd minute.

Vitória have been defeated in back-to-back Série A games. The latest was a 2-1 loss against Flamengo. Barra's Lion were restricted to 44% possession and had three shots on goal, with Matheuzinho finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Vitória who came out on top when they last played Bahia, a 2-1 home win was recorded. In the past 4 H2H meetings, we have seen two Bahia wins, one Vitória victory and one draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Bahia	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	4:2	7
15	Vitória	3	1	0	2	4	7	-3	4:7	3

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 11.3 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. Bahia have had 52.3% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.3 corners.

Top scorer Willian Jose has found the net 3 times, with Luciano Juba and Tiago Carvalho getting 2 apiece. Leading assistor is Ademir Santos with 4.

Vitória have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Jair Ventura's side have averaged 34.9% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts.

The top scorers have been Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer, Gabriel Baralhas and Lucas Halter, with 2 goals apiece. Erick Serafim has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Bahia predicted lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Roman Gomez, Gabriel Xavier, Santi Ramos Mingo, Luciano Juba, Nicolás Acevedo, Jean Lucas, Everton Ribeiro, Ademir Santos, Willian José, Cristian Olivera.

Vitória predicted lineup (4-3-3): Gabriel (GK), Nathan Mendes, Camutanga, Luan Cândido, Ramon, Dudu, Gabriel Baralhas, Caique Gonçalves, Erick, Renato Kayzer, Matheuzinho.

Bahia vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

This Bahia vs Vitória betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, our corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Bahia to secure victory when they line up in this Série A game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -152 look attractive.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Série A recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Bahia vs Vitória league stats:

• Bahia have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Bahia have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Vitória have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Vitória have lost their last 2 games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Bahia to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.

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Our Match Prediction

Bahia To Win @ -152 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 10, 01:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 2 - 0 Vitória

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Bahia to win 2-0. The odds of +540 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 3.5 Corners -104

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Vitória in four consecutive matches, with Bahia conceding over 3.5 corners in their past four games. We think it’s possible that Vitória will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -104 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

11.30 6.00 5.30

Home

9.60 6.40 3.20

Away

10.50 4.00 6.50

Vitória

Total

9.20 4.30 4.90

Home

10.10 5.90 4.20

Away

7.40 2.30 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-139

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-111

Under 5.5

-122

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-106

Under 3.5

-127

Most Corners

1

-227

X

+700

2

+220

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bahia are the -152 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 60% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +440, Vitória are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Bahia -0.75 are -118 against Vitória on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

Série A games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-152

X

+265

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+120

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-400

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+265

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-118

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-125

Over 2.5

-104

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-118

No

-122

Everaldo Stum is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +170.

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+180

Anytime

+400

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+600

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

David Duarte Macedo (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Santi Ramos Mingo (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Roman Gomez (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

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Bahia vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

The Bahia vs Vitória team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Bahia Team Page Vitória Team Page

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