Bahia vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Bahia vs Vitória

Bahia square off against Vitória, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Wednesday 11 March.

We can back Bahia at -152 to get the better of Vitória and this looks like a standout price. The Full-Time Result market gives us the chance to grab a slice of value for this selection.

Bahia triumphed in their last Série A game. It was on their travels where Vasco da Gama were beaten 1-0. Rogerio Ceni's men recorded 44% possession and had three shots on target, with the winning goal scored by Luciano Juba in the 22nd minute.

Vitória have been defeated in back-to-back Série A games. The latest was a 2-1 loss against Flamengo. Barra's Lion were restricted to 44% possession and had three shots on goal, with Matheuzinho finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Vitória who came out on top when they last played Bahia, a 2-1 home win was recorded. In the past 4 H2H meetings, we have seen two Bahia wins, one Vitória victory and one draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Bahia	12	6	3	3	17	14	3	17:14	21
12	Vitória	11	4	3	4	11	14	-3	11:14	15

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 11.3 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. Bahia have had 52.3% possession and 6.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 9.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.3 corners.

Top scorer Willian Jose has found the net 3 times, with Luciano Juba and Tiago Carvalho getting 2 apiece. Leading assistor is Ademir Santos with 4.

Vitória have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Jair Ventura's side have averaged 34.9% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts.

The top scorers have been Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer, Gabriel Baralhas and Lucas Halter, with 2 goals apiece. Erick Serafim has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Ronaldo (GK), Nicolas Acevedo, Gabriel Xavier, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Rodrigo Nestor, Erick, Jean Lucas, Cristian Olivera, Willian Jose, Erick Pulga.

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Nathan Mendes, Caca, Edu, Ramon, Caique, Gabriel Baralhas, Emmanuel Martinez, Marinho, Renato Kayzer, Matheuzinho.

Bahia vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Bahia vs Vitória with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’ll take the plunge and back Bahia to secure victory when they line up in this Série A game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of -152 look attractive.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Série A recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Bahia vs Vitória league stats:

• Bahia have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Bahia have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Vitória have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Vitória have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Vitória have lost their last 2 games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Bahia to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.

Get extra value on your next wager with our list of betting offers—featuring welcome bonuses, free bets, and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Bahia To Win @ -152 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 10, 00:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bahia 2 - 0 Vitória

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Bahia to win 2-0. The odds of +525 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Éverton Ribeiro To Score +600

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia) can be wagered at +600 to find the net. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Éverton Ribeiro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1400

Shots

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 3.5 Corners -104

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Vitória in four consecutive matches, with Bahia conceding over 3.5 corners in their past four games. We think it’s possible that Vitória will cover the Team Corners line and there are odds of -104 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Bahia

Total

11.30 6.00 5.30

Home

9.60 6.40 3.20

Away

10.50 4.00 6.50

Vitória

Total

9.20 4.30 4.90

Home

10.10 5.90 4.20

Away

7.40 2.30 5.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-114

Bahia Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-106

Vitória Corners

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-118

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+230

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bahia vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Bahia are the -154 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 61% chance of winning this Série A encounter according to the latest betting odds. At +450, Vitória are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Bahia -0.75 are -118 against Vitória on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.

For those anticipating a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader for the Total Goals market. For those anticipating both sides finding the net, then BTTS Yes might prove attractive. Alternatively, you can wager BTTS No.

Série A games are always really well covered at the top betting sites. Customers are able to find a suitable betting angle thanks to the hundreds of football markets which are made available.

Full-Time Result

1

-154

X

+260

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+123

2

+430

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-385

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-118

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-128

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-125

Willian José is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +350 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +170.

Willian José (Bahia)

First

+170

Anytime

+350

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Xavier (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

David Duarte Macedo (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Santi Ramos Mingo (Bahia)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Caio Alexandre Souza e Silva (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Gilberto Moraes Júnior (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Roman Gomez (Bahia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Willian José (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Bahia)

Over 2.5

-133

Under 2.5

-

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Junior Batista "Juba" (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Jean Lucas Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Cristian Olivera (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Mateo Sanabria (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Michel Araujo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Erick Luis Carvalho (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Éverton Ribeiro (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Nicolás Acevedo (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Bahia vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

The Bahia vs Vitória team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Bahia Team Page Vitória Team Page

Top Football Pages