Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Barcelona vs Villarreal

Barcelona go head-to-head with Villarreal at Camp Nou, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Saturday 28 February.

Barcelona should finish well clear of Villarreal and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0 at tempting betting odds of -103.

Barcelona have enjoyed twelve consecutive La Liga home wins at Camp Nou. Last time out, Levante were beaten 3-0. The Catalan club boasted a whopping 73% of possession and had nine shots on target, while Marc Bernal, Frenkie de Jong and Fermin Lopez scored one goal each.

Villarreal made it back-to-back La Liga victories after a 2-1 home win over Valencia at Estadio de la Ceramica. Marcelino Garcia's side recorded 43% possession and had five shots on goal, while Santi Comesana and Pape Gueye found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-0 in favour of away side Barca when they last played Villarreal, with the clash taking place at Estadio de la Ceramica. There have been seven Barca triumphs and three Villarreal wins in the previous 10 games involving these sides.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Barcelona	25	20	1	4	67	25	42	67:25	61
3	Villarreal	25	16	3	6	47	27	20	47:27	51

View Full Table

8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 21.7 attempts. Barca have had 71.6% possession, 679.0 passes and 9.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.0 corners.

Top goalscorer is Lamine Yamal on 5 goals, while Ferran Torres and Raphinha have both bagged 4. Dani Olmo has the most assists with 4, while goalkeeper Joan Garcia has 6 clean sheets.

Villarreal have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 10.0 attempts, 3.7 shots on goal and 1.6 goals. El Submarino Amarillo average 41.1% possession, 344.2 passes, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.4 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.7 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Georges Mikautadze is top scorer on 5, with Alberto Moleiro and Gerard Moreno next on 3. Nicolas Pepe is top assists provider with 3, while Luiz Junior has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Barcelona predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Joan Garcia (GK), Jules Kounde, Eric Garcia, Alejandro Balde, Joao Cancelo, Marc Bernal, Frenkie de Jong, Lamine Yamal, Dani Olmo, Raphinha, Robert Lewandowski.

Villarreal predicted lineup (4-4-2): Luiz Junior (GK), Santiago Mourino, Pau Navarro, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona, Nicolas Pepe, Santi Comesana, Daniel Parejo, Alberto Moleiro, Ayoze Perez, Georges Mikautadze.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Barcelona vs Villarreal with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re feeling bullish about Barcelona’s chances. Backing the favourites for this La Liga game at -1.75 could be the way forward. There are attractive odds of -103 and we’re happy to take them.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the La Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Barcelona vs Villarreal league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by Barca in 8 consecutive games at home.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by Barca in 14 of their last 20 games.

The top betting apps make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

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Our Match Prediction

Barcelona Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -103 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 16:30). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Barcelona 4 - 1 Villarreal

Let’s take a chance on the +1000 available that Barcelona secure a 4-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Raphinha to Score +130

Raphinha (Barcelona) has racked up four goals in his past four La Liga games on home soil. We’ll throw a dart at +130 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Raphinha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+450

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Barcelona Over 6.5 Corners -143

In their past ten games, Barcelona have covered the 6.5 corners line. The number of Barca corners might be larger than the line implies and that means a bet at odds of -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Barcelona

Total

13.60 9.60 4.00

Home

12.90 9.30 3.60

Away

12.60 7.10 5.50

Villarreal

Total

8.90 3.50 5.40

Home

9.80 4.40 5.40

Away

7.10 2.50 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-141

Barcelona Corners

Over 6.5

-137

Under 6.5

-104

Villarreal Corners

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+116

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+900

2

+420

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Barcelona vs Villarreal Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Barcelona are the overwhelming -385 favourites to win this La Liga clash which means a 79% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. Villarreal are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +750.

Barca can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -147. However, Villarreal are +525 and the draw is +205 if you want to take a different option.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -200 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest La Liga match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-385

X

+550

2

+750

Half-Time Result

1

-147

X

+205

2

+525

Double Chance

1X

-1429

12

-1000

X2

+245

Draw No Bet

1

-1000

2

+460

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-103

2 Hcp +1.75

-118

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+265

Over 2.5

-370

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+148

Favourite Robert Lewandowski is available at +340 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Robert Lewandowski (Barcelona)

First

-108

Anytime

+340

Lamine Yamal (Barcelona)

First

-100

Anytime

+370

Ferran Torres (Barcelona)

First

+130

Anytime

+410

Raphinha (Barcelona)

First

+130

Anytime

+450

Marcus Rashford (Barcelona)

First

+170

Anytime

+575

Fermín López (Barcelona)

First

+180

Anytime

+550

Roony Bardghji (Barcelona)

First

+190

Anytime

+650

Dani Olmo (Barcelona)

First

+190

Anytime

+650

Ayoze Pérez (Villarreal)

First

+320

Anytime

+1100

Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)

First

+320

Anytime

+1100

Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)

First

+360

Anytime

+1200

Nicolas Pepe (Villarreal)

First

+370

Anytime

+1200

Alfonso González (Villarreal)

First

+370

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Moleiro (Villarreal)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Tani Oluwaseyi (Villarreal)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Marc Bernal (Barcelona)

First

+475

Anytime

+1600

Pedri (Barcelona)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Tajon Buchanan (Villarreal)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Pau Cubarsí (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Eric García (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Alejandro Balde (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Ronald Araujo (Barcelona)

First

+600

Anytime

+2000

Frenkie de Jong (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Gerard Martín (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Jules Koundé (Barcelona)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Barcelona have managed nine consecutive victories at Camp Nou, scoring an average of 3.00 goals per match and conceding 0.44.

Villarreal have six wins, three losses and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Villarreal overcame Barca 3-2 when the sides last met at Camp Nou. In the previous 4 H2H games at Camp Nou, we have seen three Barca victories and one Villarreal win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Barcelona Home Stats		9-0-0	3.44	3.00	0.44	8	1	4	5
Villarreal Away Stats		6-1-3	3.00	1.70	1.30	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Barcelona vs Villarreal Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Barca vs Villarreal, check the team news first. Get the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Barcelona Team Page Villarreal Team Page

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