Benfica vs Nacional Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Mar 2025

A big victory could be on the cards for Benfica against Nacional. We’re taking the hosts at -1.75 at Asian Handicap odds of -118, with the stake split between -1.5 and -2.0. A three-goal winning margin is needed for a full return.

Benfica last game was a 3-0 home triumph. This victory over Boavista at Estadio da Luz was their fourth successive win. Bruno Lage's side enjoyed a whopping 73% of possession and had fourteen shots on target, with Andrea Belotti, Vangelis Pavlidis and Orkun Kokcu scoring one goal each.

Nacional secured a 2-1 home win over Famalicão at Estadio da Madeira in their previous game. The Madeira outfit had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 54% possession and five shots on goal, with Daniel Penha and Chiheb Labidi both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Benfica have claimed consecutive victories over Nacional, winning by 2-0 and 3-1 scorelines when visiting Estadio da Madeira. We’ve seen Benfica claim two wins in the past 3 H2H games, with one draw also taking place.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Benfica	13	8	5	0	26	8	18	26:8	29
14	Nacional	13	3	3	7	12	18	-6	12:18	12

View Full Table

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 2.1 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. Benfica have had 60.2% possession, 508.1 passes and 7.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.0 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.0 attempts, while being awarded 2.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Vangelis Pavlidis has found the net 5 times, with Angel Di Maria and Leandro Barreiro scoring 3 each. Kerem Akturkoglu, Zeki Amdouni and Vangelis Pavlidis have the most assists with 2, while goalie Anatoliy Trubin has recorded 4 clean sheets.

Nacional have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.5 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 46.5% possession, 347.6 passes, 3.4 corners taken and 7.1 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 14.9 attempts.

Dudu Teodora has scored 3, followed by Daniel Penha, Jose Gomes and Bruno Costa with 2 goals apiece. Luis Esteves and Dudu Teodora are the top assist makers with 2 apiece, while Lucas Franca has notched 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Benfica confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Samuel Soares (GK), Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Alvaro Carreras, Leandro Santos, Fredrik Aursnes, Orkun Kokcu, Samuel Dahl, Zeki Amdouni, Andrea Belotti, Bruma.

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Lucas Franca (GK), Gustavo Garcia, Ulisses Rocha, Ze Vitor, Arvin Appiah, Djibril Soumare, Fuki Yamada, Luis Esteves, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Boia, Dudu Teodora.

Benfica vs Nacional Prediction & Betting Tips

To get more juice in the Benfica odds, why not back the home team at -118 on the Asian Handicap -1.75. A big winning margin is definitely the desired outcome for this Primeira Liga clash.

The first port of call is to check out the team news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Benfica vs Nacional league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by Benfica in 14 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by Benfica in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 2 consecutive games against Benfica.

According to the odds, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling goals depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

Our Match Prediction

Benfica Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -118 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Benfica 4 - 1 Nacional

Our correct score prediction is a 4-1 win for Benfica which is available at odds of +1200. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -120

We’ve seen an average 12.20 corners in the past 5 Nacional away games, while there has been over 10.5 corners in two straight Nacional home matches. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -120 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Benfica

Total

10.30 7.80 2.50

Home

9.90 7.00 2.90

Away

9.40 7.00 2.40

Nacional

Total

10.50 3.40 7.10

Home

10.20 4.20 6.00

Away

12.10 4.40 7.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-119

Under 10.5

-122

Benfica Corners

Over 7.5

-125

Under 7.5

-110

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-125

Most Corners

1

-1111

X

+1050

2

+600

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Benfica vs Nacional Odds

Benfica have short betting odds to win and they’re overwhelming -667 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash. This means the bookies give them a 87% chance of winning the game. If you want to back the outsider for this match, Nacional are available at +1300.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Primeira Liga matches and you can back Benfica at -2500 and Nacional at +950.

Full-Time Result

1

-667

X

+600

2

+1300

Half-Time Result

1

-185

X

+195

2

+750

Double Chance

1X

-3333

12

-1111

X2

+360

Draw No Bet

1

-2500

2

+950

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

-102

2 Hcp +2

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-233

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-141

Benfica vs Nacional Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Benfica vs Nacional team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Primeira Liga squads.

Benfica Team Page Nacional Team Page

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