Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 08 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Casa Pia

Nacional host Casa Pia at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 8 February.

The BTTS Yes betting option really stands out at odds of -115. We think that this price is worth taking when Nacional go up against Casa Pia, with the two teams capable of finding the net.

Nacional suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred away from home at Estadio Jose Alvalade against Sporting CP. The Madeira club had just 38% possession and recorded four shots on target, while Alan Nunez bagged the goal.

Casa Pia have experienced back-to-back Primeira Liga away losses. In their previous league match, they beat Porto at home, winning 2-1 at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Alvaro Pacheco's side enjoyed just 31% possession and had two shots on goal, while Gaizka Larrazabal and Thiago Silva (own goal) found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional have beaten Casa Pia in the last two clashes. The most recent was a 2-0 away win at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior after a 3-1 home victory at Estadio da Madeira. In the past 3 H2H meetings, we have seen two Nacional wins and one Casa Pia victory.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Nacional	29	6	7	16	31	41	-10	31:41	25
16	Casa Pia	28	5	10	13	28	52	-24	28:52	25

View Full Table

Nacional have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 11.7 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 44.4% possession, 334.5 passes and 3.0 corners per game, conceding 1.6 goals and 6.7 corners from 16.0 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

Jesus Ramirez leads the way with 7 goals, Ze Vitor has 3, with Alan Nunez and two others on 1. Liziero and Paulinho Boia have the most assists with 2, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded one clean sheet.

Casa Pia have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 6.9 attempts, 2.5 shots on goal and 1.1 goals. The Geese average 43.5% possession, 314.8 passes, 3.4 corners awarded and 6.8 corners against them, while 1.7 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts.

Gaizka Larrazabal has landed 3 goals, Renato Nhaga 2, with David Sousa and two others scoring 1. Jeremy Livolant is top assists provider with 3, while Patrick Sequeira has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Miguel Baeza, Gabriel Veron, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Kaly, Andre Geraldes, Gaizka Larrazabal, Lawrence Ofori, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Tiago Morais.

Nacional vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Nacional vs Casa Pia with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Let’s take a chance on the BTTS Yes option when it comes to this Primeira Liga clash. We really like the -115 that is available and feel confident that the teams can both find the net.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Primeira Liga form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Nacional vs Casa Pia league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Nacional games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Nacional games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Casa Pia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Casa Pia games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 2 straight Casa Pia games.

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability close to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

BTTS Yes and Over 2.5 Goals are picks along the same lines and they can be combined on the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market. In the quest for a slightly bigger price, you can take this option.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 6, 16:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 2 - 1 Casa Pia

There are betting odds of +600 that Nacional land a 2-1 victory. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matheus Dias To Score +550

Matheus Dias (Nacional) can be backed at +550 to score. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer pick and we think this is an attractive wager for him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Matheus Dias Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Casa Pia Over 3.5 Corners -128

Casa Pia have had over 3.5 corners in four straight away games, with Nacional conceding over 3.5 corners in their past ten home games. The Casa Pia Team Corners line looks attractive and we’re going to take the -128 that it’s covered.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

9.70 3.00 6.70

Home

11.80 4.10 7.70

Away

8.60 3.40 5.20

Casa Pia

Total

10.20 3.40 6.80

Home

9.10 3.10 6.00

Away

10.10 4.40 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-122

Under 9.5

-119

Nacional Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-128

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-189

X

+700

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Nacional at -118 when it comes to Full-Time Result. This implies that the favourites are 54% likely to win this Primeira Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. Casa Pia are the outsiders at +310 which suggests a lower likelihood of winning.

Nacional are -123 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is like backing them on the Full-Time Result market. Alternatively, you can get -115 for Casa Pia +0.5 and get the draw on your side.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -127.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Primeira Liga match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

-118

X

+235

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+123

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-526

12

-370

X2

-120

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+188

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-123

2 Hcp +0.5

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-127

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +320. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +155.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+155

Anytime

+320

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+425

Anytime

+900

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Renato Sam Na Nhaga (Casa Pia)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

João Marques (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Iyad Mohamed (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Abdu Conté (Casa Pia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lawrence Ofori (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Nacional have gone unbeaten at Estadio da Madeira in the last three games. The Madeira club have finished with five defeats, three wins and two draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Casa Pia have managed six losses, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Nacional won 3-1 when they last played Casa Pia at Estadio da Madeira.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-2-5	3.90	1.90	2.00	8	2	7	3
Casa Pia Away Stats		3-1-6	3.00	1.00	2.00	7	3	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Nacional vs Casa Pia team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Nacional Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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