Vitória vs Marítimo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Oct 2026

Vitória vs Marítimo Predictions

Main Match Prediction

Maritimo Asian Hcp +1 @ -114

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For the Maritimo +1 Asian Handicap bet to secure a return at -114, we need a win or draw against Vitória. There’s the insurance of getting our stake returned if there’s a one goal defeat.

Read on for our full Vitória vs Maritimo betting analysis, featuring the reasoning behind our main match prediction, alongside our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.

Vitória vs Marítimo Preview

Vitória welcome Marítimo to Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Friday 23 October.

Vitória de Guimarães suffered a defeat in their last game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Estadio da Luz against Benfica. Tiago Margarido's men had just 38% possession and didn’t record a single shot on target.

Marítimo lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Porto 2-1 at Estadio do Maritimo. They had 42% possession and recorded four shots on goal, with Gabor Szalai on the scoresheet.

H2H: Vitória Have 6 Wins in Past 8 on Head-to-Head

Vitória have landed four straight victories over Maritimo. In their last encounter, visitors Vitória secured a 2-1 win at Estadio do Maritimo. The past 8 H2H meetings have featured six Vitória wins and two draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Marítimo	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5	9:14	8
15	Vitória	8	1	2	5	5	10	-5	5:10	5

View Full Table

Vitória have 1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 16.8 attempts. The Conquerors have averaged 56.9% possession, 450.0 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Toni Borevkovic, Goncalo Nogueira, Gustavo Silva, Samu and Alioune Ndoye are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Miguel Nogueira is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Oliwier Zych managing 2 clean sheets.

Maritimo have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 2, averaging 3.5 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 1.1 goals. Mitchell van der Gaag's team average 44.8% possession, 366.4 passes, 2.9 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 13.5 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal.

Gabor Szalai has scored 1 goals which makes him top scorer alongside five other players. Maxime Dominguez, Maurice Boakye and Martin Tejon are top assists providers with 1, while Alfonso Pastor has recorded one clean sheet in the previous 8 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Vitória predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Oliwier Zych (GK), Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro, Toni Borevkovic, João Mendes, Lohann Doucet, Goncalo Nogueira, Miguel Nogueira, Samu, Oumar Camara, Arnel Jakupovic.

Maritimo predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Francisco Vieites (GK), Igor Julião, Gabor Szalai, Romain Correia, Paulo Henrique, Ibrahim Alani, Raphael Guzzo, Tomás Tavares, Maxime Dominguez, Martín Tejón, Adrián Butzke.

Main Match Prediction

We’ve found some value by selecting Maritimo +1 at odds of -114 for this Primeira Liga game. This bet looks really appealing based on the numbers and we’re happy to take this price with confidence.

Key stats supporting our main match prediction (league matches):

• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 5 consecutive games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in any of their last 10 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -1 line hasn’t been covered by Vitória in any of their last 8 games against Marítimo.

When it comes to making our expert football predictions, it’s important to study team news and observe the latest form. There are lots of Primeira Liga stats that can also help to shape our picks.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Maritimo Asian Hcp +1 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 21, 21:58). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 1 Maritimo

There are odds of +500 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Nogueira To Score +170

Miguel Nogueira (Vitória) can be backed at +170 to be among the goals. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Miguel Nogueira Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+175

First

+430

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -103

It has now been five straight Maritimo matches where the 8.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen six of the previous ten Vitória games have the same outcome. We expect the teams to fall short and this Total Corners bet can be backed at -103.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.50 5.80 3.70

Home

9.60 5.30 4.30

Away

9.50 4.90 4.60

Maritimo

Total

7.50 2.88 4.63

Home

8.50 2.75 5.75

Away

6.50 3.00 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-139

Under 8.5

-104

Vitória Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-130

Maritimo Corners

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-172

Most Corners

1

-286

X

+600

2

+240

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Marítimo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Vitória de Guimarães are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Primeira Liga encounter. The -200 for them coming out on top suggests a 67% probability based on their latest betting odds. Marítimo are seen as the most unlikely winner at +475.

Vitória and Maritimo can be backed at -100 and +440 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +125.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, odds of -119 are available for both Over and Under 2.5 Goals. The Both Teams to Score No bet is -128 and it’s ideal if you think at least one side will not score during the ninety minutes.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

-200

X

+275

2

+475

Half-Time Result

1

-100

X

+125

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-1111

12

-476

X2

+128

Draw No Bet

1

-588

2

+325

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-116

2 Hcp +1

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-119

Over 2.5

-119

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-128

You will find favourite Gustavo da Silva Cunha at +360 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +143 that he finds the net any time.

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+360

Anytime

+143

Patrick Ouotro (Vitória)

First

+380

Anytime

+150

Alioune Ndoye (Vitória)

First

+370

Anytime

+155

Oumar Camara (Vitória)

First

+430

Anytime

+175

Miguel Nogueira (Vitória)

First

+430

Anytime

+175

Victor Andersson (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+225

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+295

Matija Mitrović (Vitória)

First

+700

Anytime

+310

Maurice Boakye (Maritimo)

First

+750

Anytime

+320

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+340

Simo Bouzaidi (Maritimo)

First

+900

Anytime

+430

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+1050

Anytime

+450

Lohann Doucet (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+475

Maxime Dominguez (Maritimo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+500

Samuel Bamba (Maritimo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+525

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Nilton Varela (Maritimo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+525

Bryan Limbombe (Maritimo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+540

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+1300

Anytime

+540

Raphael Guzzo (Maritimo)

First

+1400

Anytime

+650

Yellu Santiago (Maritimo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+700

Israel Ayuma (Maritimo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+750

Rodrigo Andrade (Maritimo)

First

+1500

Anytime

+750

Toni Borevkovic (Vitória)

First

+1500

Anytime

+750

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+1600

Anytime

+750

Stats: Last 10 Primeira Liga matches only.
Vitória have swerved defeat at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques in the previous three matches. Tiago Margarido's men have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Maritimo have not triumphed in three straight away matches. They have clocked up two losses, one win and one draw in the past 4 away games, recording an average of 1.25 goals per match and conceding 1.75.

Vitória beat Maritimo 1-0 when the teams last met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Vitória have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 4 H2H meetings at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Vitória Home Stats		4-3-3	2.00	1.30	0.70	3	7	4	6
Marítimo Away Stats		1-1-2	3.00	1.25	1.75	3	1	4	0

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Vitória vs Marítimo Lineups & Team News

Vitória de Guimarães Team Page CS Marítimo Team Page

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