Birmingham vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Dec 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham host Derby at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Friday 26 December.

There could be goals from both Birmingham and Derby which leads us to a confident BTTS Yes wager. We’re especially taken by the -100 available when it comes to the teams scoring.

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Birmingham City suffered a defeat in their last game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Bramall Lane against Sheffield United. Blues had only 34% possession and one shot on target.

Derby County drew 1-1 against Portsmouth in their previous game. This was on home soil at Pride Park. John Eustace's side recorded six shots on goal and had 52% possession, with Hayden Matthews (own goal) on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Birmingham have avoided defeat against Derby in the past three games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at Pride Park. The previous 7 H2H games have featured three Derby wins, two draws and two Birmingham victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Derby	22	8	7	7	31	30	1	31:30	31
14	Birmingham	22	8	5	9	30	29	1	30:29	29

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Birmingham have had 53.3% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Demarai Gray has found the net 4 times, with Seung-Ho Paik, Marvin Ducksch and Jay Stansfield scoring 3 each. Tommy Doyle, Demarai Gray and Alexander Cochrane are the leading assists makers with 3.

Derby have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 11.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 41.6% possession, 6.0 corners in their favour and 5.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 9.8 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Carlton Morris is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Patrick Agyemang has 4, with Sondre Klingen Langaas and Lars-Joergen Salvesen both on 2. Joe Ward has managed 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ryan Allsop (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Jack Robinson, Seung-ho Paik, Marc Leonard, Willum Thór Willumsson, Demarai Gray, Keshi Anderson, Jay Stansfield.

Derby predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Sondre Langås, Matt Clarke, Dion Sanderson, Joe Ward, Bobby Clark, Liam Thompson, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Díaz, Patrick Agyemang, Rhian Brewster.

Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Birmingham vs Derby, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

The BTTS Yes betting option really stands out at odds of -100. We think that this price is worth taking for this Championship showdown, with the two teams capable of finding the net.

The Championship tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Birmingham vs Derby league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Birmingham games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Birmingham games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Birmingham games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Derby games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Derby games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you think that BTTS Yes will happen but want to get a slightly bigger price, there’s the option to head to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and combine it with Over 2.5 Goals.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Birmingham 1 - 1 Derby

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +450 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Demarai Gray Over 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Demarai Gray (Birmingham) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -159. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Demarai Gray Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+510

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

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Patrick Agyemang to Score +300

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has racked up four goals in his past five Championship away games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +300 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

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Corners Prediction

Derby Over 3.5 Corners -112

In their past five matches, Derby have covered the 3.5 corners line, with Birmingham conceding 5.80 corners on average in their last 5 games. There are odds of -112 available when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we think Derby can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Birmingham

Total

10.40 5.30 5.10

Home

10.40 6.10 4.30

Away

8.90 4.20 4.70

Derby

Total

11.70 6.00 5.70

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

11.10 4.30 6.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-143

Under 9.5

-100

Birmingham Corners

Over 5.5

-152

Under 5.5

+107

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-278

X

+750

2

+260

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Birmingham vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Birmingham City are the -125 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 56% chance of winning this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. Derby County are the underdogs at +370 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Birmingham can be backed at -128 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Derby +0.5 are -102 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. Both Teams to Score betting is highly popular and the No pick on the BTTS market is chalked up at -137.

The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Championship games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-125

X

+240

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+110

2

+375

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-345

X2

-108

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-128

2 Hcp +0.5

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-161

Over 2.5

+123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-137

Jay Stansfield is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +480. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +190.

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+190

Anytime

+440

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+220

Anytime

+510

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Ethan Laird (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jack Robinson (Birmingham)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Eiran Cashin (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-103

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-105

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-130

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-132

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-222

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-244

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-250

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-286

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-588

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Ethan Laird (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Birmingham have avoided defeat in their last five matches at St Andrew's. Blues have secured six wins, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Derby have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Birmingham won 2-0 when they last played Derby at St Andrew's. The previous 4 H2H games at St Andrew's have involved two Derby wins, a single draw and one Birmingham victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Birmingham Home Stats		6-2-2	3.00	2.10	0.90	6	4	5	5
Derby Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.60	1.20	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Birmingham vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Birmingham vs Derby team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and all current injury news.

Birmingham City Team Page Derby County Team Page

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