Birmingham vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 26 Dec 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Derby

Birmingham host Derby at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Friday 26 December.

There could be goals from both Birmingham and Derby which leads us to a confident BTTS Yes wager. We’re especially taken by the -100 available when it comes to the teams scoring.

Birmingham City suffered a defeat in their last game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Bramall Lane against Sheffield United. Blues had only 34% possession and one shot on target.

Derby County drew 1-1 against Portsmouth in their previous game. This was on home soil at Pride Park. John Eustace's side recorded six shots on goal and had 52% possession, with Hayden Matthews (own goal) on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Birmingham have avoided defeat against Derby in the past three games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at Pride Park. The previous 7 H2H games have featured three Derby wins, two draws and two Birmingham victories.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67	59	8	67:59	69
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57	56	1	57:56	64

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.2 attempts. Birmingham have had 53.3% possession and 5.3 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.1 corners.

Top goalscorer Demarai Gray has found the net 4 times, with Seung-Ho Paik, Marvin Ducksch and Jay Stansfield scoring 3 each. Tommy Doyle, Demarai Gray and Alexander Cochrane are the leading assists makers with 3.

Derby have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.8 goals from 11.2 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 41.6% possession, 6.0 corners in their favour and 5.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 9.8 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Carlton Morris is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, Patrick Agyemang has 4, with Sondre Klingen Langaas and Lars-Joergen Salvesen both on 2. Joe Ward has managed 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Birmingham confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Christoph Klarer, Jack Robinson, Eiran Cashin, Marc Leonard, Seung-Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Demarai Gray, Marvin Ducksch.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Danny Batth, Matthew Clarke, Joe Ward, Liam Thompson, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Rhian Brewster, Ben Brereton Diaz, Patrick Agyemang.

Birmingham vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Birmingham vs Derby, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

The BTTS Yes betting option really stands out at odds of -100. We think that this price is worth taking for this Championship showdown, with the two teams capable of finding the net.

The Championship tipsters at Sportsgambler.com always have a strong handle on team news. A form guide is also utilised for our betting verdict along with checking out the numbers that are going to help inform our final football picks.

Key Birmingham vs Derby league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Birmingham games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Birmingham games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 straight Birmingham games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Derby games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Derby games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 50% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you think that BTTS Yes will happen but want to get a slightly bigger price, there’s the option to head to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and combine it with Over 2.5 Goals.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -100 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 24, 13:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Birmingham 1 - 1 Derby

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +460 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Demarai Gray Over 0.5 Shots On Target -159

Demarai Gray (Birmingham) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -159. When it comes to wagering Shots on Target, we think the betting odds really stand out for this pick.

Latest Demarai Gray Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+510

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

---

Patrick Agyemang to Score +300

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has racked up four goals in his past five Championship away games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +300 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-125

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Derby Over 3.5 Corners -112

In their past five matches, Derby have covered the 3.5 corners line, with Birmingham conceding 5.80 corners on average in their last 5 games. There are odds of -112 available when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we think Derby can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Birmingham

Total

10.40 5.30 5.10

Home

10.40 6.10 4.30

Away

8.90 4.20 4.70

Derby

Total

11.70 6.00 5.70

Home

10.60 5.90 4.70

Away

11.10 4.30 6.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Birmingham Corners

Over 6.5

+108

Under 6.5

-154

Derby Corners

Over 3.5

-133

Under 3.5

-106

Most Corners

1

-263

X

+750

2

+240

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Birmingham vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Birmingham City are the -119 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 54% chance of winning this Championship encounter according to the latest betting odds. Derby County are the underdogs at +330 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Birmingham can be backed at -120 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 if you think they’ll win. Alternatively, opponents Derby +0.5 are -106 and that means you get a return if they triumph or the draw happens.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Championship games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-119

X

+245

2

+330

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+120

2

+335

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-357

X2

-114

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+195

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-120

2 Hcp +0.5

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-130

Over 2.5

-100

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-120

No

-114

Kyogo Furuhashi is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +450. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +180.

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+190

Anytime

+480

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+210

Anytime

+510

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

First

+450

Anytime

+1100

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Ethan Laird (Birmingham)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Jack Robinson (Birmingham)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Christoph Klarer (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Eiran Cashin (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-111

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-122

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-125

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-455

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Ethan Laird (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Stats: Championship matches only
Birmingham have avoided defeat in their last five matches at St Andrew's. Blues have secured six wins, two draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Derby have secured five victories, three defeats and two draws in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Birmingham won 2-0 when they last played Derby at St Andrew's. The previous 4 H2H games at St Andrew's have involved two Derby wins, a single draw and one Birmingham victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Birmingham Home Stats		6-2-2	3.00	2.10	0.90	6	4	5	5
Derby Away Stats		5-2-3	2.80	1.60	1.20	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Birmingham vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Birmingham vs Derby team news before you bet. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and all current injury news.

Birmingham City Team Page Derby County Team Page

Top Football Pages