Birmingham City FC
Football England - EFL Championship St Andrew's Sat 24 Jan 10:00
Stoke City FC
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Live Stream
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Injuries
  8. Squads
  9. Table

Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Stoke

Birmingham square off against Stoke at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 24 January.

Go For Under 2.5 Goals With Confidence

There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Birmingham and Stoke might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -159 look more than fair.

Looks like it could stay below 2.5 goals? Get the best BetMGM promo code and see what our review says before making your pick.

1-0 Stoke Win When Teams Last Clashed

Birmingham City won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Sheffield Wednesday at Hillsborough. The West Midlands side enjoyed 50% possession and had seven shots on target, with Marvin Ducksch and Kyogo Furuhashi scoring one goal each.

Stoke City have now enjoyed two consecutive Championship road wins, while their previous league game was a 2-1 home loss against Middlesbrough at bet365 Stadium. The Potters were restricted to just 39% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Tomas Rigo was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Stoke claim a 1-0 home win over Birmingham at bet365 Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four draws and three wins each.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
9 Stoke logo Stoke 28 12 5 11 33 25 8 33:25 41
13 Birmingham logo Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38 37 1 38:37 38
View Full Table
Birmingham City – Last 10 League Games

Birmingham have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Chris Davies' team have averaged 50.8% possession and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Marvin Ducksch leads the way with 3 goals, Patrick Roberts has 2, with Kyogo Furuhashi and two others on 1. Patrick Roberts is the leading assists maker on 2.

Stoke City – Last 10 League Games

Stoke have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Staffordshire club average 53.6% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Sorba Thomas has scored 2 goals, followed by Tomas Rigo, Sam Gallagher, Robert Bozenik and Ben Wilmot on 1. Lamine Cisse, Sorba Thomas and Million Manhoef have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Christoph Klarer, Phil Neumann, Kai Wagner, Tommy Doyle, Seung-ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Kyogo Furuhashi, Jay Stansfield, Marvin Ducksch.

Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tommy Simkin (GK), Maksym Taloverov, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Eric Junior Bocat, Tomas Rigo, Ben Pearson, Million Manhoef, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Lamine Cissé.

Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Birmingham vs Stoke, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Championship showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -159 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Birmingham vs Stoke league stats:

  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Birmingham games at home.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Birmingham games.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Stoke games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Stoke games on the road.
  • The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Stoke games on the road.
Under 2.5 Probability

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction
Under 2.5 Goals @ -159 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (16:08, 22 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 16:08, 22 January 2026

Correct Score Prediction

Birmingham Birmingham logo 1 - 1 Stoke logo Stoke

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +430 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Million Manhoef Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161 BetMGM logo

Million Manhoef (Stoke) is available at -161 to not have a shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.


Marvin Ducksch to Score +270 BetMGM logo

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) has netted three goals in his past five Championship matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +270 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Marvin Ducksch Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -147 BetMGM logo

We’ve seen under 10.5 corners in three consecutive Stoke games. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -147.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Birmingham Logo Birmingham
Total
10.80 6.10 4.70
Home
11.30 6.50 4.80
Away
9.80 5.10 4.70
Stoke Logo Stoke
Total
10.30 5.80 4.50
Home
10.30 5.80 4.50
Away
10.60 5.20 5.40
Latest Corner Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Under 2.5 -159
Asian Handicap Stoke +0.5 -119
Shots On Target Million Manhoef Under 0.5 -161

Our bet builder is compiled of the following: no more than two goals to be scored, Stoke to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap merged with Million Manhoef (Stoke) to finish without a shot on target.

The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Birmingham vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Birmingham Made Favourites by the Bookies

For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Birmingham City as the -120 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 55% chance of triumphing. The market implies that Stoke City are the most unlikely to win at +370.

If you want to back Birmingham to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -132, although Stoke +0.5 is -108 and the latter puts the draw on your side.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you’re wagering on Both Teams to Score, you can bet Yes at -115 and No at -123.

For those wagering on Championship matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Kyogo Furuhashi Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +220 available that Kyogo Furuhashi finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +440.

Player Goals
Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)
First
+220
Anytime
+440
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Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)
First
+220
Anytime
+480
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Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)
First
+265
Anytime
+500
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Million Manhoef (Stoke)
First
+320
Anytime
+650
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Player Shots On Target
Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)
Over 0.5
-139
Under 0.5
-125
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Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)
Over 0.5
-137
Under 0.5
-125
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Million Manhoef (Stoke)
Over 0.5
-118
Under 0.5
-147
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Sorba Thomas (Stoke)
Over 0.5
-111
Under 0.5
-154
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Best Betting Offers
St Andrew's
St Andrew's
Birmingham Unbeaten at Home in Past Eight Games

Birmingham have swerved defeat at St Andrew's in the previous eight matches. The West Midlands side have racked up five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Stoke have five defeats, four victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Stoke enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at St Andrew's. The past 5 H2H meetings at St Andrew's have resulted in two Birmingham victories and one Stoke win. There have also been two draws.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Birmingham logo Birmingham Home Stats 5-4-1 3.60 2.40 1.20 7 3 8 2
Stoke logo Stoke Away Stats 4-1-5 2.00 0.90 1.10 3 7 2 8
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Birmingham logo Birmingham League Stats
Stoke logo Stoke League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists
Live Stream

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Birmingham vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Birmingham vs Stoke team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Stoke Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

25 James Beadle
24 Tomoki Iwata 4 Christoph Klarer 5 Phil Neumann 31 Kai Wagner
7 Tommy Doyle 8 Seung-ho Paik
16 Patrick Roberts 9 Kyogo Furuhashi 28 Jay Stansfield
33 Marvin Ducksch
25 Tommy Simkin
40 Maksym Taloverov 26 Ashley Phillips 16 Ben Wilmot 17 Eric Junior Bocat
19 Tomas Rigo 4 Ben Pearson
42 Million Manhoef 10 Joon-ho Bae 7 Sorba Thomas
29 Lamine Cissé

Stoke Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Previous Birmingham Lineups

20 Jan Championship
Sheffield Wed 0-2 Birmingham
17 Jan Championship
Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
10 Jan FA Cup
Cambridge 2-3 Birmingham
04 Jan Championship
Birmingham 3-2 Coventry
01 Jan Championship
Watford 3-0 Birmingham
29 Dec Championship
Birmingham 1-1 Southampton

Previous Stoke Lineups

21 Jan Championship
Stoke 1-2 Middlesbrough
17 Jan Championship
Stoke 0-0 QPR
10 Jan FA Cup
Stoke 1-0 Coventry
04 Jan Championship
Norwich 0-2 Stoke
01 Jan Championship
Hull 0-1 Stoke
29 Dec Championship
Stoke 1-2 Sheffield Utd

Injuries & Suspensions

Birmingham Injury Table
Type Name Info
Demarai Gray Calf
Stoke Injury Table
Type Name Info
Junior Tchamadeu Knee
Lewis Baker Knock
Team Squads

Birmingham Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Chris Davies

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Tomoki Iwata 24 M 27 2387 27 0 1 1 7 0
Seung-Ho Paik 8 M 27 2277 26 1 4 0 6 0
Christoph Klarer 4 D 25 2249 25 0 2 0 6 1
Jay Stansfield 28 F 26 2095 25 1 8 4 6 0
Phil Neumann 5 D 22 1939 22 6 2 0 3 0

Stoke Player Stats & Squad

Manager: Mark Robins

Player # Pos GP MIN ST BE G A Y R
Sorba Thomas 7 M 28 2456 28 0 9 6 5 0
Ben Wilmot 16 D 27 2385 27 1 1 0 3 0
Viktor Johansson 1 G 24 2160 24 0 0 1 2 0
Jun-Ho Bae 10 M 26 1990 22 4 1 3 1 0
Million Manhoef 42 F 28 1907 22 6 5 2 0 0
England FlagChampionship Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Coventry 28 17 7 4 61:31 58
2 Middlesbrough 28 15 7 6 42:29 52
3 Ipswich 27 14 8 5 47:24 50
4 Hull 27 14 5 8 45:39 47
5 Millwall 28 13 7 8 32:35 46
6 Preston 28 11 10 7 36:29 43
7 Watford 27 11 9 7 38:32 42
8 Derby 29 11 9 9 39:37 42
9 Stoke 28 12 5 11 33:25 41
10 Wrexham 28 10 11 7 40:35 41
11 Bristol City 28 11 7 10 38:31 40
12 QPR 28 11 7 10 38:39 40
13 Birmingham 28 10 8 10 38:37 38
14 Leicester 28 10 8 10 39:41 38
15 Southampton 28 9 9 10 40:40 36
16 Swansea 28 10 6 12 31:35 36
17 Sheffield Utd 27 10 2 15 36:40 32
18 Charlton 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
19 West Brom 29 9 5 15 32:44 32
20 Norwich 28 8 6 14 35:40 30
21 Portsmouth 26 7 8 11 23:36 29
22 Blackburn 27 7 7 13 25:36 28
23 Oxford 27 5 9 13 25:35 24
24 Sheffield Wed 27 1 8 18 18:54 -7
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Coventry 14 11 2 1 31:11 35
2 Ipswich 15 10 4 1 29:11 34
3 Watford 15 8 5 2 24:15 29
4 Middlesbrough 13 8 3 2 20:11 27
5 Birmingham 13 7 5 1 27:13 26
6 Millwall 14 8 2 4 17:17 26
7 Swansea 15 7 4 4 20:18 25
8 Wrexham 15 6 6 3 26:22 24
9 QPR 13 7 2 4 24:17 23
10 Southampton 14 6 5 3 19:13 23
11 Preston 15 6 5 4 19:16 23
12 Hull 13 7 2 4 19:19 23
13 Leicester 13 6 4 3 19:15 22
14 West Brom 14 6 4 4 18:19 22
15 Bristol City 14 6 3 5 23:15 21
16 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19:12 21
17 Charlton 13 6 3 4 15:14 21
18 Portsmouth 13 5 3 5 14:14 18
19 Derby 15 4 6 5 18:21 18
20 Sheffield Utd 12 5 2 5 18:13 17
21 Oxford 14 3 6 5 13:17 15
22 Blackburn 13 2 4 7 13:20 10
23 Norwich 13 3 1 9 12:19 10
24 Sheffield Wed 15 0 4 11 7:32 4