Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Jan 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Stoke
Birmingham square off against Stoke at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 24 January.
There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Birmingham and Stoke might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -159 look more than fair.
Looks like it could stay below 2.5 goals? Get the best BetMGM promo code and see what our review says before making your pick.
Birmingham City won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Sheffield Wednesday at Hillsborough. The West Midlands side enjoyed 50% possession and had seven shots on target, with Marvin Ducksch and Kyogo Furuhashi scoring one goal each.
Stoke City have now enjoyed two consecutive Championship road wins, while their previous league game was a 2-1 home loss against Middlesbrough at bet365 Stadium. The Potters were restricted to just 39% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Tomas Rigo was on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Stoke claim a 1-0 home win over Birmingham at bet365 Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four draws and three wins each.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stoke |
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 33:25 | 41 |
| 13 | Birmingham |
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 38:37 | 38 |
Birmingham have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Chris Davies' team have averaged 50.8% possession and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 4.7 corners.
Marvin Ducksch leads the way with 3 goals, Patrick Roberts has 2, with Kyogo Furuhashi and two others on 1. Patrick Roberts is the leading assists maker on 2.
Stoke have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Staffordshire club average 53.6% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.
Sorba Thomas has scored 2 goals, followed by Tomas Rigo, Sam Gallagher, Robert Bozenik and Ben Wilmot on 1. Lamine Cisse, Sorba Thomas and Million Manhoef have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Christoph Klarer, Phil Neumann, Kai Wagner, Tommy Doyle, Seung-ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Kyogo Furuhashi, Jay Stansfield, Marvin Ducksch.
Stoke predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Tommy Simkin (GK), Maksym Taloverov, Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Eric Junior Bocat, Tomas Rigo, Ben Pearson, Million Manhoef, Joon-ho Bae, Sorba Thomas, Lamine Cissé.
Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Birmingham vs Stoke, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Championship showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -159 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.
We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.
Key Birmingham vs Stoke league stats:
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.
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Correct Score Prediction
When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +430 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Player Prop Picks
Million Manhoef (Stoke) is available at -161 to not have a shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) has netted three goals in his past five Championship matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +270 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
We’ve seen under 10.5 corners in three consecutive Stoke games. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -147.
Birmingham
Stoke
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is compiled of the following: no more than two goals to be scored, Stoke to cover the +0.5 Asian Handicap merged with Million Manhoef (Stoke) to finish without a shot on target.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.
Birmingham vs Stoke Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Birmingham City as the -120 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 55% chance of triumphing. The market implies that Stoke City are the most unlikely to win at +370.
If you want to back Birmingham to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -132, although Stoke +0.5 is -108 and the latter puts the draw on your side.
When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. If you’re wagering on Both Teams to Score, you can bet Yes at -115 and No at -123.
For those wagering on Championship matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.
There is +220 available that Kyogo Furuhashi finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +440.
Birmingham have swerved defeat at St Andrew's in the previous eight matches. The West Midlands side have racked up five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Stoke have five defeats, four victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.
Stoke enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at St Andrew's. The past 5 H2H meetings at St Andrew's have resulted in two Birmingham victories and one Stoke win. There have also been two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Birmingham Home Stats |
5-4-1 | 3.60 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
Stoke Away Stats |
4-1-5 | 2.00 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 13/09 2025 Stoke 1 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 20/01 2024 Stoke 1 Birmingham 2
- Championship: 26/12 2023 Birmingham 1 Stoke 3
- Championship: 10/04 2023 Birmingham 0 Stoke 0
- Championship: 05/11 2022 Stoke 1 Birmingham 2
- Championship: 19/02 2022 Stoke 2 Birmingham 2
- Championship: 14/08 2021 Birmingham 0 Stoke 0
- Championship: 10/04 2021 Birmingham 2 Stoke 0
- Championship: 04/10 2020 Stoke 1 Birmingham 1
- Championship: 12/07 2020 Stoke 2 Birmingham 0
Birmingham League Stats
Stoke League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.20 corners awarded and 5.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Birmingham this season are Jay Stansfield (8), Marvin Ducksch (6), Demarai Gray (5)
- Top Assistors for Birmingham this season are Alexander Cochrane (4), Demarai Gray (4), Jay Stansfield (4)
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Birmingham vs Stoke Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Birmingham vs Stoke team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Stoke Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Birmingham Lineups
Previous Stoke Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Birmingham Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Chris Davies
Stoke Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 61:31 | 58 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 42:29 | 52 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 47:24 | 50 |
| 4 | Hull | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 45:39 | 47 |
| 5 | Millwall | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 32:35 | 46 |
| 6 | Preston | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 7 | Watford | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 38:32 | 42 |
| 8 | Derby | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 42 |
| 9 | Stoke | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 33:25 | 41 |
| 10 | Wrexham | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 40:35 | 41 |
| 11 | Bristol City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:31 | 40 |
| 12 | QPR | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:39 | 40 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 38:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Leicester | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:41 | 38 |
| 15 | Southampton | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 40:40 | 36 |
| 16 | Swansea | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:35 | 36 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 27 | 10 | 2 | 15 | 36:40 | 32 |
| 18 | Charlton | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 27:34 | 32 |
| 19 | West Brom | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 20 | Norwich | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35:40 | 30 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:36 | 29 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 25:36 | 28 |
| 23 | Oxford | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | 24 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:54 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 31:11 | 35 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 29:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Millwall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Swansea | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Wrexham | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 23 |
| 10 | Southampton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 11 | Preston | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 23 |
| 12 | Hull | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 13 | Leicester | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 14 | West Brom | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 16 | Stoke | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 21 |
| 17 | Charlton | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 21 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:14 | 18 |
| 19 | Derby | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 20 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 21 | Oxford | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7:32 | 4 |
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