Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 24 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Birmingham vs Stoke

Birmingham square off against Stoke at St Andrew's, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 24 January.

There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Birmingham and Stoke might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -159 look more than fair.

Birmingham City won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was on the road against Sheffield Wednesday at Hillsborough. The West Midlands side enjoyed 50% possession and had seven shots on target, with Marvin Ducksch and Kyogo Furuhashi scoring one goal each.

Stoke City have now enjoyed two consecutive Championship road wins, while their previous league game was a 2-1 home loss against Middlesbrough at bet365 Stadium. The Potters were restricted to just 39% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Tomas Rigo was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Stoke claim a 1-0 home win over Birmingham at bet365 Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four draws and three wins each.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Birmingham	36	13	10	13	46	47	-1	46:47	49
15	Stoke	36	13	8	15	39	36	3	39:36	47

View Full Table

Birmingham have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Chris Davies' team have averaged 50.8% possession and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal, 12.9 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Marvin Ducksch leads the way with 3 goals, Patrick Roberts has 2, with Kyogo Furuhashi and two others on 1. Patrick Roberts is the leading assists maker on 2.

Stoke have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 0.7 goals. The Staffordshire club average 53.6% possession, 5.8 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 12.5 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal.

Sorba Thomas has scored 2 goals, followed by Tomas Rigo, Sam Gallagher, Robert Bozenik and Ben Wilmot on 1. Lamine Cisse, Sorba Thomas and Million Manhoef have clocked up 1 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Birmingham confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Christoph Klarer, Kai Wagner, Tommy Doyle, Seung-Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Ibrahim Osman, Marvin Ducksch.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Tommy Simkin (GK), Sorba Thomas, Ashley Phillips, Maksym Talovierov, Eric Bocat, Tatsuki Seko, Steven Nzonzi, Million Manhoef, Tomas Rigo, Jun-Ho Bae, Lamine Cisse.

Birmingham vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Birmingham vs Stoke, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Championship showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -159 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Birmingham vs Stoke league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Birmingham games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Birmingham games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Stoke games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Stoke games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Stoke games on the road.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 61.3% chance of landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -159 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 22, 17:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Birmingham 1 - 1 Stoke

When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +440 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Million Manhoef Under 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Million Manhoef (Stoke) is available at -161 to not have a shot on goal. Those wanting to back him should certainly look at the Shots on Target betting odds available.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

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Marvin Ducksch to Score +270

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham) has netted three goals in his past five Championship matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +270 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Marvin Ducksch Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+265

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -147

We’ve seen under 10.5 corners in three consecutive Stoke games. There’s everything to like about the Total Corners line which looks high and we’d expect the teams to go under at -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Birmingham

Total

10.80 6.10 4.70

Home

11.30 6.50 4.80

Away

9.80 5.10 4.70

Stoke

Total

10.30 5.80 4.50

Home

10.30 5.80 4.50

Away

10.60 5.20 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Birmingham Corners

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-119

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

+108

Under 4.5

-154

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+700

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Birmingham vs Stoke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Birmingham City as the -123 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 55% chance of triumphing. The market implies that Stoke City are the most unlikely to win at +360.

If you want to back Birmingham to win, then you can take the Asian Handicap -0.5 option. This selection is priced at -133, although Stoke +0.5 is -106 and the latter puts the draw on your side.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -127.

For those wagering on Championship matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-123

X

+240

2

+360

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+112

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-370

X2

-112

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-133

2 Hcp +0.5

-106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-112

No

-127

There is +215 available that Kyogo Furuhashi finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +430.

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+215

Anytime

+430

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+220

Anytime

+450

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+265

Anytime

+500

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Christoph Klarer (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Kai Wagner (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Jack Robinson (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Phil Neumann (Birmingham)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-125

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-164

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-270

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-500

Tommy Doyle (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Jhon Solís (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Seung-ho Paik (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1429

Jack Robinson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1667

Christoph Klarer (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+410

Under 0.5

-1667

Kai Wagner (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+430

Under 0.5

-2000

Bright Osayi-Samuel (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+450

Under 0.5

-2500

Phil Neumann (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+450

Under 0.5

-2500

Birmingham have swerved defeat at St Andrew's in the previous eight matches. The West Midlands side have racked up five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

Stoke have five defeats, four victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Stoke enjoyed a 3-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at St Andrew's. The past 5 H2H meetings at St Andrew's have resulted in two Birmingham victories and one Stoke win. There have also been two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Birmingham Home Stats		5-4-1	3.60	2.40	1.20	7	3	8	2
Stoke Away Stats		4-1-5	2.00	0.90	1.10	3	7	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Birmingham vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Birmingham vs Stoke team news before betting. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Championship lineups plus current injury reports.

Birmingham City Team Page Stoke City Team Page

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