Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Feb 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz
Second-placed Borussia Dortmund square off against Mainz at Signal Iduna Park, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 13 February.
The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -161 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why Dortmund and Mainz won’t find the net.
Borussia Dortmund won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. On their travels against Wolfsburg at Volkswagen Arena, they made it five Bundesliga wins on the bounce. BVB had the majority of the ball enjoying 61% possession and four shots on target, with Julian Brandt and Serhou Guirassy each scoring one goal.
Mainz 05 made it three straight league victories after a 2-0 home win over Augsburg at MEWA Arena. The Rhineland-Palatinate side had just 38% possession and recorded six shots on goal, while Nadiem Amiri found the net twice.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Dortmund have triumphed in the last two clashes against Mainz. Taking to the road, a 2-0 win was landed at MEWA Arena following a 3-1 home victory at Signal Iduna Park. The past 10 H2H games have seen six Dortmund triumphs, two Mainz wins and two draws.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dortmund |
27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58 | 28 | 30 | 58:28 | 61 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 |
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 33:42 | 30 |
Dortmund have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. The North Rhine-Westphalia outfit have averaged 52.0% possession, 476.0 passes and 5.1 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.0 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 4.9 corners.
Serhou Guirassy and Julian Brandt lead the way with 4 goals, while Nico Schlotterbeck has scored 3. Julian Ryerson and Fabio Silva have been top assistors on 4, with goalkeeper Gregor Kobel keeping 4 clean sheets.
Mainz have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 10.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Urs Fischer's team average 39.8% possession, 341.9 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 14.8 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.
Nadiem Amiri got 6 goals, Stefan Bell notched 2, while Silas Katompa Mvumpa and two other players scored 1. Phillip Tietz and Jae-Sung Lee have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Daniel Batz has 2 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Gregor Kobel (GK), Niklas Suele, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini, Julian Ryerson, Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Daniel Svensson, Julian Brandt, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier.
Mainz confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Daniel Batz (GK), Stefan Posch, Stefan Bell, Dominik Kohr, Danny da Costa, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Jae-Sung Lee, Silvan Widmer, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
Take a chance that both sides will be able to score in this Bundesliga game, especially when you consider the attractive -161 that’s been chalked up. We think the BTTS Yes outcome has a good chance of happening.
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Bundesliga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
Key Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 61.7% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
A BTTS Yes selection can be paired with Over 2.5 Goals in order to land a slightly bigger price. A Total Goals & Both Teams to Score wager means you are cheering on two picks.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +650 and it involves the game ending in a 1-1 scoreline. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.
Player Prop Picks
Phillip Tietz (Mainz) has recorded over 1.5 shots in five of his past six Bundesliga matches. We think that the value can be found by wagering on Player Shots and you can get -141 that he goes over the line.
Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) has netted five goals in his past four Bundesliga matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +400 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Mainz have had over 3.5 corners in five straight matches, while Dortmund have had an average of 4.90 corners against them in their previous 10 games. If you agree with our verdict that the Mainz Team Corners line can be covered, then you can secure odds of -116 that this happens.
Dortmund
Mainz
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can provide entertainment and we’ve got both teams scoring, Mainz with the +1 Asian Handicap together with Nadiem Amiri (Mainz) to find the net at any time.
A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookmakers affording them a 63% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -172 when it comes to this Bundesliga encounter. Mainz 05 are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +430.
One way of getting with Dortmund is taking them at -100 on the Asian Handicap -1. You’re successful if they beat Mainz by two goals and get money back if the margin is just one.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -164.
The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Bundesliga matches.
Sehrou Guirassy is priced at +260 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -135 to find the net anytime.
Dortmund have recorded six victories, two draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.20 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Mainz have finished with five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.00.
The past meeting at Signal Iduna Park saw Dortmund defeat Mainz 3-1. The past 7 H2H matches at Signal Iduna Park have resulted in three Dortmund wins, three draws and one Mainz victory.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Borussia Dortmund Home Stats |
6-2-2 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
Mainz Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 3.30 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 27/09 2025 Mainz 0 Dortmund 2
- Bundesliga: 30/03 2025 Dortmund 3 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 09/11 2024 Mainz 3 Dortmund 1
- Bundesliga: 11/05 2024 Mainz 3 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 19/12 2023 Dortmund 1 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 27/05 2023 Dortmund 2 Mainz 2
- Bundesliga: 25/01 2023 Mainz 1 Dortmund 2
- Bundesliga: 16/03 2022 Mainz 0 Dortmund 1
- Bundesliga: 16/10 2021 Dortmund 3 Mainz 1
- Bundesliga: 16/05 2021 Mainz 1 Dortmund 3
Borussia Dortmund League Stats
Mainz League Stats
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 4.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 39.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 39.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Borussia Dortmund this season are Serhou Guirassy (9), Julian Brandt (6), Maximilian Beier (6)
- Top Assistors for Borussia Dortmund this season are Julian Ryerson (7), Fabio Silva (5), Felix Nmecha (3)
Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz Lineups & Team News
Before making your bets, take a look at the Dortmund vs Mainz team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with timely injury updates.
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Mainz 05 Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 2Yan Couto
- 6Salih Ozcan
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 21Fabio Silva
- 27Karim Adeyemi
- 33Alexander Meyer
- 40Samuele Inacio
- 49Luca Reggiani
Mainz 05 Substitutes
- 1Lasse Riess
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 5Maxim Leitsch
- 8Paul Nebel
- 14William Boeving
- 22Nikolas Veratschnig
- 23Sheraldo Becker
- 44Nelson Weiper
- 48Kacper Potulski
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous Mainz Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Borussia Dortmund Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Niko Kovac
Mainz Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 50 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 46 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | 30 |
| 13 | B. M'gladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | 15 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 56:13 | 37 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:13 | 35 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 22:12 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 34:18 | 29 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 28:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:12 | 24 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Mainz 05 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | B. M'gladbach | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:21 | 16 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:23 | 16 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18:34 | 11 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20:29 | 9 |
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