Miami Heat
Indiana Pacers
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Team Stats
  5. Player Stats
  6. Player Props
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Rosters
  11. Standings

NBA Betting Preview: Heat vs Pacers

The Miami Heat take the court against the Indiana Pacers in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re Expecting Pacers to Cover the Spread

We’re delighted to see the Pacers have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +9 at -110 when they go up against the Heat.

Pacers Beat Heat When Teams Last Met

Miami Heat were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Rocket Arena. Cleveland Cavaliers claimed a 149-128 win. Jaime Jaquez Jr. poured in 20 points, with Norman Powell contributing 15 and Kel'el Ware adding 14.

Indiana Pacers have lost their last eleven home games, most recently suffering a 114-113 defeat to LA Clippers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Aaron Nesmith scored 26 points, with Obadiah Toppin adding 20 and Micah Potter 13.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Pacers beat the Heat in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 123-99 scoreline at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Heat logo Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Pacers logo Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
View Full Standings
Miami Heat – Last 10 Games

The Heat have 4 wins and 6 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 121.3 points, 43.0 rebounds, 28.6 assists, 8.3 steals and 3.8 blocks while shooting 46.2% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. The opposition have an average of 124.6 points and 44.6 rebounds per matchup.

Bam Adebayo is averaging 25.7 points, 9.3 rebounds and 2.2 (26.5%) 3-pointers made, while Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 4.9 assists.

Indiana Pacers – Last 10 Games

The Pacers have won 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 115.1 points, 38.5 rebounds, 31.0 assists, 6.4 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 49.0% from the field and 83.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 124.6 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Aaron Nesmith is averaging 16.6 points and 2.7 (47.4%) 3-pointers made. Jarace Walker has an average of 6.0 rebounds and Andrew Nembhard 5.9 assists.

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Miami Heat lineup: Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell.

Indiana Pacers lineup: Andrew Nembhard, Jalen Slawson, Quenton Jackson, Pascal Siakam, Ethan Thompson.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Picks

Approach Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Pacers are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there’s a strong case for betting them against the spread in this NBA contest. Take the -110 for the +9 that is available.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Heat vs Pacers stats:

  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 4 consecutive games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 6 of their last 10 games.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The -9 line hasn’t been covered by Heat in 7 of their last 10 games.
  • The +9 line has been covered by Pacers in 7 of their last 10 games against Heat.

Pacers +9 Probability

The top NBA sportsbooks suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your points spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Game Prediction
Pacers +9 @ -110 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 28, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 20:02, 28 March 2026

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Nesmith Over 13.5 Points -100 BetMGM logo

Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) has scored an average of 18.44 points in the past 9 games. He looks like a solid bet to cover the Player Points line and you’re able to back this pick at odds of -100.

Latest Aaron Nesmith Player Prop Odds


Bam Adebayo Over 10.5 Rebounds -118 BetMGM logo

Bam Adebayo (Heat) has recorded an average of 14.75 rebounds in the past 4 games on the road. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with odds of -118 now available.

Latest Bam Adebayo Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Pacers +9.5
Totals Under 246.5
Player Points Aaron Nesmith Over 13.5

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Pacers to cover the +9.5 spread, Under 246.5 on the total and Aaron Nesmith (Pacers) to score Over 13.5 points.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same basketball game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Heat Heat logo 121 - 115 Pacers logo Pacers

There’s a big payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with the Heat to claim a 121-115 victory which will hopefully go close.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Books Make Heat Big Favorites

The Miami Heat odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -417 betting favorites to land victory in this NBA game which means a 81% chance of winning. Indiana Pacers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +330.

9.5 is the spread and 246.5 is the total points line. Basketball bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you fancy Under 246.5, then the odds are -112.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on this exciting league and we recommend visiting the best basketball sportsbooks to find the wager that matches your view on the contest.

Betting Lines & Odds
Bam Adebayo Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Bam Adebayo is the favorite to land the most baskets. You can back -120 that he gets Over 22.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -114.

Player Points
Player Assists
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)
Over 8.5
-110
Under 8.5
-123
BetMGM Logo
Davion Mitchell (Heat)
Over 5.5
-139
Under 5.5
+102
BetMGM Logo
Player Rebounds
Micro Betting

There are some exciting basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers Slide Includes Ten Straight Defeats at Home

The Pacers are 0-10 in their last 10 home games, putting up 114.30 points on average and giving up 126.00.

The Heat own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 122.10 points scored and 119.20 points allowed.

The Pacers beat the Heat 123-99 when they last met at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, both teams have notched five wins.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O243.5 U243.5
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Home Stats 0-10 240.30 114.30 126.00 5 5
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Away Stats 5-5 241.30 122.10 119.20 4 6
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O243.5 = Games Over 243.5 Points
  • U243.5 = Games Under 243.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Stats
Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Stats
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News

Miami Heat Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Bam Adebayo 65 32.09 1311 192 20.2 3.0 1.7 9.9 0.7 1.2
Tyler Herro 27 30.87 564 104 20.9 3.9 2.5 4.8 0.3 0.8
Andrew Wiggins 60 30.47 938 162 15.6 2.7 2.0 5.0 1.0 1.1

Indiana Pacers Player Stats & Roster

Player GP MIN TP TA PTS AST 3P REB BLK STL
Pascal Siakam 59 33.39 1400 223 23.7 3.8 1.7 6.6 0.4 1.1
Andrew Nembhard 56 31.24 951 427 17.0 7.6 1.9 2.8 0.2 0.9
Ivica Zubac 48 30.14 677 105 14.1 2.2 - 10.6 0.9 0.4

Injuries & Suspensions

Miami Heat Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Indiana Pacers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info

Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers logo Indiana Pacers Confirmed Lineup
2 Andrew Nembhard
18 Jalen Slawson
29 Quenton Jackson
43 Pascal Siakam
55 Ethan Thompson
Miami Heat logo Miami Heat Confirmed Lineup
9 Pelle Larsson
13 Bam Adebayo
14 Tyler Herro
22 Andrew Wiggins
45 Davion Mitchell

Previous Miami Heat Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Heat 128-149 Cavaliers
25 Mar NBA
Heat 120-103 Cavaliers
23 Mar NBA
Spurs 136-111 Heat
21 Mar NBA
Heat 122-123 Rockets
19 Mar NBA
Lakers 134-126 Heat
17 Mar NBA
Heat 106-136 Hornets
14 Mar NBA
Magic 121-117 Heat
12 Mar NBA
Bucks 105-112 Heat
10 Mar NBA
Wizards 129-150 Heat
08 Mar NBA
Pistons 110-121 Heat

Previous Indiana Pacers Lineups

27 Mar NBA
Clippers 114-113 Pacers
25 Mar NBA
Lakers 137-130 Pacers
23 Mar NBA
Pacers 128-126 Magic
21 Mar NBA
Pacers 119-134 Spurs
18 Mar NBA
Trail Blazers 127-119 Pacers
17 Mar NBA
Pacers 110-136 Knicks
15 Mar NBA
Pacers 123-134 Bucks
13 Mar NBA
Knicks 101-92 Pacers
12 Mar NBA
Suns 123-108 Pacers
10 Mar NBA
Pacers 109-114 Kings

NBA Table Select Season

East Atlantic W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
East Central W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
East Southeast W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
West Northwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
West Pacific W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
West Southwest W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Eastern Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
Western Conference W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
NBA W L PCT PPG OPP PPG DIFF Home Road Div Conf Last 10 Strk
Thunder 64 18 0.78 119 107.9 11.1 34-8 30-10 12-4 41-11 7-3 2L
Spurs 62 20 0.756 119.8 111.5 8.3 32-8 30-12 13-3 36-16 8-2 1L
Pistons 60 22 0.732 117.8 109.6 8.2 32-9 28-13 12-4 39-13 8-2 3W
Celtics 56 26 0.683 114.9 107.2 7.7 30-11 26-15 10-6 36-16 8-2 2W
Nuggets 54 28 0.659 122.1 116.9 5.2 28-13 26-15 11-5 36-16 10-0 12W
Lakers 53 29 0.646 116.3 114.6 1.7 28-13 25-16 10-7 33-19 7-3 3W
Knicks 53 29 0.646 116.5 110.1 6.4 30-10 23-19 14-3 35-17 6-4 1L
Cavaliers 52 30 0.634 119.5 115.4 4.1 27-14 25-16 11-5 33-19 7-3 1W
Rockets 52 30 0.634 115.2 110 5.2 30-11 22-19 10-6 29-23 9-1 1W
Timberwolves 49 33 0.598 118 114.6 3.4 26-15 23-18 9-7 31-21 5-5 2W
Hawks 46 36 0.561 118.5 116 2.5 24-17 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 1L
Raptors 46 36 0.561 114.6 111.8 2.8 24-17 22-19 5-12 33-19 6-4 1W
Magic 45 37 0.549 115.7 115.1 0.6 26-16 19-21 9-8 26-26 7-3 1L
76ers 45 37 0.549 115.9 116.1 -0.2 23-18 22-19 9-7 27-25 6-4 2W
Suns 45 37 0.549 112.6 111.1 1.5 25-16 20-21 10-7 29-23 5-5 1W
Hornets 44 38 0.537 116 111.2 4.8 21-20 23-18 11-5 26-26 6-4 1W
Heat 43 39 0.524 120.9 118.5 2.4 26-15 17-24 10-7 27-25 5-5 2W
Clippers 42 40 0.512 113.8 112.6 1.2 23-18 19-22 10-6 25-27 6-4 1W
Trail Blazers 42 40 0.512 115.5 115.8 -0.3 24-17 18-23 7-9 29-23 7-3 2W
Warriors 37 45 0.451 114.6 115.2 -0.6 22-19 15-26 7-9 24-28 3-7 3L
Bucks 32 50 0.39 110.6 116.8 -6.2 19-22 13-28 9-7 21-31 3-7 1L
Bulls 31 51 0.378 116.3 121.5 -5.2 18-23 13-28 4-12 19-32 2-8 2L
Mavericks 26 56 0.317 114.1 119.6 -5.5 16-25 10-31 4-12 14-37 3-7 1W
Pelicans 26 56 0.317 115.5 120 -4.5 17-24 9-32 7-9 17-34 1-9 2L
Grizzlies 25 57 0.305 114.7 120.7 -6 14-27 11-30 6-10 19-33 1-9 8L
Kings 22 60 0.268 111 121 -10 15-26 7-34 4-12 14-38 3-7 1L
Jazz 22 60 0.268 117.6 126 -8.4 14-27 8-33 1-15 12-40 1-9 1L
Nets 20 62 0.244 105.9 115.9 -10 12-29 8-33 3-13 14-37 3-7 3L
Pacers 19 63 0.232 112.4 120.4 -8 11-30 8-33 4-12 15-37 3-7 2L
Wizards 17 65 0.207 112.9 124.9 -12 11-30 6-35 2-14 11-41 0-10 10L
  • W = Wins
  • L = Losses
  • PCT = Winning Percentage
  • PPG = Points Per Game
  • OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
  • DIFF = Average Point Differential
  • Home = Home Record
  • Road = Away Record
  • Div = Division Record
  • Conf = Conference Record
  • Last 10 = Record last 10 games
  • Strk = Current Streak