Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Lineups & Odds
We Predict a Close Encounter
Leipzig +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Dortmund the aim at betting odds of -108.
Leipzig 4-1 Winners in Last H2H Battle
Borussia Dortmund have won four consecutive games at home. In their last appearance, they suffered a 2-1 road defeat against Augsburg at WWK Arena. BVB managed four shots on target and enjoyed 71% possession, while Donyell Malen registered the goal.
RB Leipzig beat Freiburg in their previous game, making it four consecutive wins. It was a 3-1 home triumph at Red Bull Arena Leipzig. The Saxony outfit had 45% possession and totalled eight shots on goal, with Willi Orban, Lutsharel Geertruida and Ikoma Lois Openda on the scoresheet.
Leipzig had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Red Bull Arena Leipzig, they recorded a 4-1 win over Dortmund. It has been three wins on the bounce for Leipzig when playing Dortmund. On the head-to-head front, they have won 6 of the past 10.
Borussia Dortmund – Last 10 League Games5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.9 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.8 attempts. Dortmund have had 64.2% possession, 621.4 passes and 6.0 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.8 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.3 corners.
Serhou Guirassy leads the way with 4 goals, Donyell Malen has 3, with Emre Can and two others on 2. Julian Brandt and Karim Adeyemi are top assists makers with 3, while goalkeeper Gregor Kobel has kept 3 clean sheets.
RB Leipzig – Last 10 League GamesLeipzig have won 6 and drawn 4, averaging 4.6 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 1.7 goals. Marco Rose's men average 54.5% possession, 518.8 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 5.6 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 14.4 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.
Ikoma Lois Openda has top scored with 5 goals, while Benjamin Sesko and Xavi Simons are next on 4 and 3. Benjamin Henrichs, Antonio Nusa and Benjamin Sesko have all made 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Peter Gulacsi has 6 clean sheets.
Confirmed Lineups
Borussia Dortmund (confirmed lineup): Alexander Meyer, Pascal Gross, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Ramy Bensebaini, Felix Nmecha, Maximilian Beier, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Brandt, Jamie Gittens, Serhou Guirassy.
RB Leipzig (confirmed lineup): Peter Gulacsi, Lutsharel Geertruida, Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Benjamin Henrichs, Christoph Baumgartner, Amadou Haidara, Arthur Vermeeren, Antonio Nusa, Ikoma Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko.
Expert Bundesliga Analysis
Sportsgambler.com boast football expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our predictions and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.
Key Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig league stats:
If you echo our view that Leipzig can swerve defeat in this Bundesliga encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -108. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.
The bookmakers give you the chance to buy or sell goals, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Leipzig +0.25 Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 51.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Leipzig Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -108Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Leipzig to win 2-1, a bet which is available at +900. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Odds
The bookies have Borussia Dortmund at +120 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 45% likely to win this Bundesliga match according to the latest betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, RB Leipzig are trading at +200.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting match. BTTS Yes is available at -250 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Bundesliga matches and you can back Borussia Dortmund at -163 and RB Leipzig at +120.
- Full Time Result 1 +120 X +280 2 +200
- Half Time Result 1 +162.5 X +150 2 +225
- Double Chance 1X -275 12 -400 X2 -150
- Both Teams to Score Yes -250 No +175
- Draw No Bet 1 -163 2 +120
- Asian Handicap 1 Hcp -0.25 -106 2 Hcp +0.25 -101
- Total Goals Under 2.5 +175 Over 2.5 -225
- Total Corners Under 9.5 -100 Over 9.5 -138
Best Betting Offers
Dortmund
Head to Head
Dortmund vs Leipzig
- Bundesliga: 27/04 2024 Leipzig 4 Dortmund 1
- Bundesliga: 09/12 2023 Dortmund 2 Leipzig 3
- DFB-Pokal: 05/04 2023 Leipzig 2 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 03/03 2023 Dortmund 2 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 10/09 2022 Leipzig 3 Dortmund 0
- Bundesliga: 02/04 2022 Dortmund 1 Leipzig 4
- Bundesliga: 06/11 2021 Leipzig 2 Dortmund 1
- DFB-Pokal: 13/05 2021 Leipzig 1 Dortmund 4
- Bundesliga: 08/05 2021 Dortmund 3 Leipzig 2
- Bundesliga: 09/01 2021 Leipzig 1 Dortmund 3
Team Stats
Borussia Dortmund Stats
RB Leipzig Stats
Full time Result
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 6 wins, 0 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 0 defeats and 3 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 3.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 64.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 54.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Dortmund vs Leipzig team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’ve got details of the Bundesliga squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Borussia Dortmund Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
- 21Donyell Malen
- 32Jordi Paulina
- 35Marcel Lotka
- 36Rodney Elongo-Yombo
- 37Cole Campbell
- 39Filippo Mane
- 40Niklas Jessen
- 46Ayman Azhil
- 49Yannik Luehrs
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 6Eljif Elmas
- 9Yussuf Poulsen
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 19Andre Silva
- 20F. Assan Ouedraogo
- 25Leopold Zingerle
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 44Kevin Kampl
Previous Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Bundesliga Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bayern Munich | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 41:10 | 33 |
2 | Frankfurt | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33:18 | 27 |
3 | Leverkusen | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 30:20 | 26 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:14 | 24 |
5 | Wolfsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 29:22 | 21 |
6 | Dortmund | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 21 |
7 | Freiburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 21 |
8 | Stuttgart | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:23 | 20 |
9 | Mainz 05 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:18 | 19 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:24 | 19 |
11 | B. M'gladbach | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 18 |
12 | Union Berlin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:25 | 13 |
15 | St. Pauli | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:17 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 17:28 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13:33 | 5 |
18 | Bochum | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10:34 | 2 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dortmund | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:7 | 19 |
2 | Bayern Munich | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:3 | 16 |
3 | Frankfurt | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:8 | 14 |
4 | Stuttgart | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 14 |
5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 14 |
6 | Augsburg | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 14 |
7 | B. M'gladbach | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 13 |
8 | Freiburg | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
9 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
10 | Union Berlin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15:17 | 10 |
12 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 8 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
14 | Werder Bremen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:11 | 6 |
15 | St. Pauli | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
16 | Heidenheim | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 4 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 3 |
18 | Bochum | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | 2 |