Brighton vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Leeds

Brighton host Leeds in this Premier League fixture at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 11:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Whites To Have No Joy

Brighton look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -123 that the home team overcome Leeds and we’re confident that this is a value play.

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2-2 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

Brighton were defeated in their last Premier League game. Away from home, they suffered a 4-2 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The Sussex side boasted 57% possession and had five shots on target, while Danny Welbeck and Charalampos Kostoulas each scored one goal.

On Wednesday night, Brighton suffered a 2-0 EFL Cup defeat away to Arsenal.

Leeds United won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Elland Road against West Ham United. Daniel Farke's team had 41% possession and totalled five shots on goal, while Brenden Aaronson and Joe Rodon found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton have avoided defeat against Leeds in the past six games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at Elland Road. The 6 most recent H2H games have included three Brighton victories along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Brighton	9	3	3	3	14	15	-1	14:15	12
15	Leeds	9	3	2	4	9	14	-5	9:14	11

View Full Table

Brighton have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. The Seagulls have averaged 49.8% possession, 417.6 passes and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Danny Welbeck leads the way with 5 goals, with Matthew O'Riley and Jack Hinshelwood scoring 2 each. Georginio Rutter, Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma are the leading assists makers with 2.

Leeds have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. The West Yorkshire outfit have averaged 51.3% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Brenden Aaronson on 1. Sean Longstaff has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Brighton predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Maxim De Cuyper, Danny Welbeck.

Leeds predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, James Justin, Sean Longstaff, Ethan Ampadu, Ao Tanaka, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Noah Okafor.

Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Brighton vs Leeds with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going for a straight pick on Brighton as we think they’re the likely winners of this Premier League contest. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory, with odds of -123 currently available.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Premier League stats before coming up with a verdict.

Key Brighton vs Leeds league stats:

• Brighton have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Leeds have lost 3 of their last 4 games on the road.

Brighton to Win Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Brighton. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.

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Our Match Prediction

Brighton To Win @ -123 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 2 - 0 Leeds

Brighton can be backed at +700 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brenden Aaronson Over 0.5 Shots On Target +170

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) has recorded at least one shot on goal in four straight league games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of +170 up for grabs.

Latest Brenden Aaronson Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Shots

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

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Yasin Ayari to Score +650

Yasin Ayari (Brighton) has netted two goals in his past five Premier League home matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +650 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Yasin Ayari Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-455

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -137

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in nine straight Leeds away games, with the previous ten Brighton home matches averaging 7.90 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -137 for this Total Corners bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

9.00 5.50 3.50

Home

7.90 3.90 4.00

Away

9.10 5.80 3.30

Leeds

Total

7.00 4.30 2.70

Home

8.70 5.70 3.00

Away

7.00 4.50 2.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-104

Under 9.5

-137

Brighton Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Leeds Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

-112

X

+600

2

+128

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Brighton vs Leeds Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving Brighton Plenty of Respect

With a 55% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Brighton are favourites to come out on top in this Premier League clash and they’re available at -123 with the bookmakers. The +325 means that Leeds United are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Brighton needing to win at -125 for your bet to be successful. Leeds +0.5 at -100 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -139.

The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Premier League games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

-123

X

+280

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+130

X

+138

2

+330

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-385

X2

-103

Draw No Bet

1

-286

2

+200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-125

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-139

No

+105

Danny Welbeck Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There is +188 available that Danny Welbeck finds the net, while he is available at +450 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+188

Anytime

+450

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

James Milner (Brighton)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mats Wieffer (Brighton)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+112

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-156

Under 0.5

-100

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-110

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-143

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-175

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-192

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-286

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-333

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-455

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Jack Harrison (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+285

Under 0.5

-556

Ferdi Kadioglu (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Pascal Struijk (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Mats Wieffer (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

-116

Under 2.5

-

Georginio Rutter (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Thomas Watson (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Brighton Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run

Brighton are unbeaten over their previous eight games at American Express Stadium. The Sussex side have managed five draws, four victories and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

Leeds have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Brighton beat Leeds 1-0 when they last met at American Express Stadium. There have been two Brighton wins and one draw in the past 3 H2H meetings at American Express Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brighton Home Stats		4-5-1	3.10	1.60	1.50	7	3	8	2
Leeds Away Stats		4-2-4	2.40	1.00	1.40	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Brighton vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

The latest Brighton vs Leeds team news could impact your bets — review it first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with timely injury updates.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Leeds United Team Page