Brighton vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Brighton vs Leeds
Brighton host Leeds in this Premier League fixture at American Express Stadium, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Brighton look like a standout bet when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. There are odds of -123 that the home team overcome Leeds and we’re confident that this is a value play.
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Brighton were defeated in their last Premier League game. Away from home, they suffered a 4-2 loss against Manchester United at Old Trafford. The Sussex side boasted 57% possession and had five shots on target, while Danny Welbeck and Charalampos Kostoulas each scored one goal.
On Wednesday night, Brighton suffered a 2-0 EFL Cup defeat away to Arsenal.
Leeds United won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Elland Road against West Ham United. Daniel Farke's team had 41% possession and totalled five shots on goal, while Brenden Aaronson and Joe Rodon found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Brighton have avoided defeat against Leeds in the past six games, with their last clash being a 2-2 draw at Elland Road. The 6 most recent H2H games have included three Brighton victories along with three draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Brighton |
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 25:23 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds |
16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 20:30 | 16 |
Brighton have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 4.8 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. The Seagulls have averaged 49.8% possession, 417.6 passes and 5.5 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 10.8 attempts and 3.5 corners.
Danny Welbeck leads the way with 5 goals, with Matthew O'Riley and Jack Hinshelwood scoring 2 each. Georginio Rutter, Yankuba Minteh and Kaoru Mitoma are the leading assists makers with 2.
Leeds have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. The West Yorkshire outfit have averaged 51.3% possession, 4.3 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.
Joe Rodon and Noah Okafor have 2 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Brenden Aaronson on 1. Sean Longstaff has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Carlos Baleba, Yasin Ayari, Yankuba Minteh, Georginio Rutter, Diego Gomez, Danny Welbeck.
Leeds confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Lucas Perri (GK), Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Ethan Ampadu, Brenden Aaronson, Sean Longstaff, Ao Tanaka, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Brighton vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
Take on Brighton vs Leeds with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re going for a straight pick on Brighton as we think they’re the likely winners of this Premier League contest. We think the hosts can achieve some kind of victory, with odds of -123 currently available.
Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Premier League stats before coming up with a verdict.
Key Brighton vs Leeds league stats:
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 55.2% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
There are ways to squeeze more juice from backing Brighton. The Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets are great alternatives and the same applies to Asian Handicap.
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Correct Score Prediction
Brighton can be backed at +750 to triumph by a 2-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.
Player Prop Picks
Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) has recorded at least one shot on goal in four straight league games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of +170 up for grabs.
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Yasin Ayari (Brighton) has netted two goals in his past five Premier League home matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +650 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.
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Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in nine straight Leeds away games, with the previous ten Brighton home matches averaging 7.90 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -137 for this Total Corners bet.
Brighton
Leeds
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Brighton to succeed, both teams to score No along with Brenden Aaronson (Leeds) to end up with one or more shots on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Brighton vs Leeds Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
With a 51% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Brighton are favourites to come out on top in this Premier League clash and they’re available at -105 with the bookmakers. The +285 means that Leeds United are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Brighton needing to win at -108 for your bet to be successful. Leeds +0.5 at -115 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.
Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -143.
The leading football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Premier League games. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.
There is +163 available that Danny Welbeck finds the net, while he is available at +400 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Brighton are unbeaten over their previous eight games at American Express Stadium. The Sussex side have managed five draws, four victories and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Leeds have collected four victories, four losses and two draws in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.
Brighton beat Leeds 1-0 when they last met at American Express Stadium. There have been two Brighton wins and one draw in the past 3 H2H meetings at American Express Stadium.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brighton Home Stats |
4-5-1 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
Leeds Away Stats |
4-2-4 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Brighton League Stats
Leeds League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 49.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Brighton this season are Danny Welbeck (5), Brajan Gruda (1), Charalampos Kostoulas (1)
- Top Assistors for Brighton this season are Georginio Rutter (2), Yankuba Minteh (2), Brajan Gruda (1)
Brighton vs Leeds Lineups & Team News
The latest Brighton vs Leeds team news could impact your bets — review it first. Expect the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with timely injury updates.
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Brighton Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Leeds Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Brighton Substitutes
- 9Stefanos Tzimas
- 14Tom Watson
- 19C. Kostoulas
- 21Olivier Boscagli
- 23Jason Steele
- 29Maxim De Cuyper
- 42Diego Coppola
- 49Joe Knight
- 58Nehemiah Oriola
Leeds Substitutes
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 7Daniel James
- 10Joel Piroe
- 14Lukas Nmecha
- 18Anton Stach
- 20Jack Harrison
- 24James Justin
- 26Karl Darlow
- 44Ilia Gruev
Previous Brighton Lineups
Previous Leeds Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Brighton Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Fabian Hurzeler
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:10 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Man United | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:22 | 25 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 13 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:26 | 20 |
| 14 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:24 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19:32 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18:33 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9:35 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Brentford | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Brighton | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Fulham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 13 | Man United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 14 | Leeds | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:20 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:21 | 1 |
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