Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

Don’t Underestimate the Underdogs

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Brighton +0.25 at -121 against Champions League hopefuls Newcastle. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Previous H2H Saw Brighton Win in Extra Time

Brighton won their last game 3-2. This was recorded at The American Express Community Stadium against West Ham United. The Seagulls managed nine shots on target and had 53% possession, with Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma and Carlos Baleba scoring one goal apiece.

Newcastle United claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-0 win occurred against Ipswich Town at St James' Park. Eddie Howe's team boasted a mind-boggling 78% of possession and had five shots on goal, while Alexander Isak, Daniel Burn and William Osula were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Brighton have beaten Newcastle in their last two clashes, winning by 2-1 in extra time and 1-0 scorelines when visiting St James' Park. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Brighton wins, two Newcastle victories and three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Newcastle	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	3:3	5
13	Brighton	4	1	1	2	4	6	-2	4:6	4

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 13.8 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. Brighton have had 50.1% possession, 438.9 passes and 4.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.7 goals from 10.7 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while earning 4.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Joao Pedro has found the net 5 times, with Kaoru Mitoma and Danny Welbeck scoring 4 and 3 respectively. Brajan Gruda is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen keeping 2 clean sheets.

Newcastle have won 7 and lost 3, with an average of 2.3 goals from 12.8 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 51.1% possession, 435.7 passes, 5.3 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 11.5 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

Alexander Isak has scored 5, followed by Jacob Murphy and Harvey Barnes with 4 goals apiece. Kieran Trippier, Harvey Barnes and Jacob Murphy are top assists providers with 3, while Nick Pope has recorded 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Brighton confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Mats Wieffer, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Pervis Estupinan, Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Matthew O'Riley, Simon Adingra, Danny Welbeck.

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schaer, Daniel Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, Alexander Isak, Harvey Barnes.

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips

When Brighton line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at -121 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Brighton vs Newcastle league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Newcastle in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Brighton in 4 consecutive games against Newcastle.

Brighton +0.25 Probability

The betting sites make it a 54.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

Our Match Prediction

Brighton Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -121 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Brighton 2 - 1 Newcastle

Our prediction for the correct score is Brighton to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +900. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Gordon Over 0.5 Shots On Target -119

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) can be backed to record a minimum of one shot on goal at -119. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Anthony Gordon Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-141

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

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Kaoru Mitoma to Score +310

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton) has managed two goals in his past four Premier League matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +310 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Kaoru Mitoma Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Newcastle To Have Most Corners -102

There has been an average 6.40 corners for Newcastle in their past 5 games, with Brighton averaging 3.80 corners in the previous 5 home matches. We can’t pass up the chance to back -102 that Newcastle have the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brighton

Total

9.00 4.30 4.70

Home

9.10 4.50 4.60

Away

9.90 5.10 4.80

Newcastle

Total

10.50 5.30 5.20

Home

10.40 6.20 4.20

Away

9.70 4.50 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-128

Brighton Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+575

2

-110

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Brighton vs Newcastle Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Newcastle Win

Newcastle United are the +120 favourites and that means a 45% chance of winning this Premier League match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Brighton are the +205 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Premier League coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+265

2

+120

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+145

2

+163

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-345

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+118

2

-164

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-112

2 Hcp -0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-227

No

+165

Alexander Isak Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

There is +108 available that Alexander Isak finds the net, while he is available at +335 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

First

+108

Anytime

+335

Callum Wilson (Newcastle)

First

+185

Anytime

+480

João Pedro (Brighton)

First

+230

Anytime

+575

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

First

+245

Anytime

+600

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+275

Anytime

+650

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Solly March (Brighton)

First

+375

Anytime

+950

Matt O'Riley (Brighton)

First

+380

Anytime

+1050

Simon Adingra (Brighton)

First

+425

Anytime

+1150

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+460

Anytime

+1150

Diego Gómez (Brighton)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Yasin Ayari (Brighton)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Mats Wieffer (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Carlos Baleba (Brighton)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Dan Burn (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Callum Wilson (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

+102

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-102

João Pedro (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-111

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-118

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-133

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-141

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-154

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-179

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-192

Solly March (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Matt O'Riley (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-270

Simon Adingra (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Brajan Gruda (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+295

Under 0.5

-769

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+335

Under 0.5

-1000

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+335

Under 0.5

-1000

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Alexander Isak (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-112

Under 2.5

-

João Pedro (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Danny Welbeck (Brighton)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Callum Wilson (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Solly March (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Simon Adingra (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Matt O'Riley (Brighton)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Yankuba Minteh (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Kaoru Mitoma (Brighton)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Dunk (Brighton)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-

Dan Burn (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-

Brighton vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Brighton vs Newcastle team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the Premier League squads.

Brighton & Hove Albion Team Page Newcastle United Team Page