Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026
A-League Betting Preview: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
Brisbane Roar take on Wellington Phoenix at Kayo Stadium, with kick-off set for 02:00 on Saturday 3 January.
Brisbane look a great bet to beat Wellington on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -139 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
Brisbane Roar have enjoyed back-to-back A-League home victories. In their last league encounter, they beat Central Coast Mariners 2-1 away at Industree Group Stadium. The Queensland outfit enjoyed 51% possession and had nine shots on target, with Michael Ruhs and Justin Vidic scoring one goal apiece.
Wellington Phoenix have been beaten in successive A-League road games and the latest was at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory claimed a 5-1 win. The Nix were restricted to just 39% possession and managed two shots on goal, with Ramy Najjarine on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Wellington have beaten Brisbane in their last two encounters, winning by 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. Wellington have landed six victories, Brisbane have one win and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Brisbane Roar |
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 21:27 | 24 |
| 10 | Wellington |
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 31:40 | 24 |
Brisbane have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Michael Valkanis' men have averaged 43.9% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 4.5 corners.
Justin Vidic is the top goalscorer with 3, Jay O'Shea has 2, with Michael Ruhs and two other players on 1. Justin Vidic has made the most assists with 2.
Wellington have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The New Zealand side have averaged 55.4% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.
Ifeanyi Eze is the leading goalscorer with 4, Carlo Armiento has 3, with Ramy Najjarine and Alex Rufer getting 2. Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Brisbane Roar confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Dean Bouzanis (GK), Hosine Bility, Dimitri Valkanis, Lucas Herrington, Youstin Salas, Samuel Klein, Jay O'Shea, James McGarry, Michael Ruhs, Quinn Macnicol, Justin Vidic.
Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Eamonn McCarron (GK), Isaac Robert Hughes, Manjrekar James, Matthew Sheridan, Corban Piper, Carlo Armiento, Ramy Najjarine, Alex Rufer, Kazuki Nagasawa, Fin Conchie, Ifeanyi Eze.
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips
Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.
Match Prediction
There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Brisbane record a victory and they are priced at -139 to win this A-League clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.
Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the A-League form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.
Key Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
For those who want to back Brisbane at a bigger price, you can combine this selection with another pick on the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets.
Before you bet, see what free bets you can claim today. Our guide highlights the best welcome bonuses and offers available now.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +750 available that Brisbane land a 3-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Jay O'Shea (Brisbane) has registered two goals in his past five A-League games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +210 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past 10 Brisbane matches have involved them having an average of 5.40 corners, with Wellington conceding under 6.5 corners in their last five games. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Brisbane to fall short and you can get odds of -154.
Brisbane
Wellington
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a same-game multi, then we’ve got Brisbane to succeed, at least three goals in total combined with Brisbane Under 6.5 corners.
We advise a bet builder as it can be a fun approach when betting on a football game. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookmakers have Brisbane Roar at -179 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 64% chance of winning this A-League clash based on the betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Wellington Phoenix, you can get +430 for the underdog.
If Brisbane beat Wellington by two or more goals, then you would get paid out on the Asian Handicap -1 pick at -110. A one-goal victory would mean you get your stake fully refunded.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -132.
You can find hundreds of markets for every A-League game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Michael Ruhs at +450, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
Brisbane are unbeaten in the last seven games at Kayo Stadium. The Queensland outfit have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Wellington haven’t tasted victory in six consecutive matches on the road. The Nix have recorded six losses, three draws and one win in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.70.
Brisbane beat Wellington 1-0 when they last met at Kayo Stadium. The previous 6 H2H matches at Kayo Stadium have seen two wins for each team and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brisbane Roar Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 2.10 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 6 | |
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 3.90 | 1.20 | 2.70 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 1 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- A-League: 26/10 2025 Wellington 2 Brisbane 1
- Australia Cup: 14/05 2025 Wellington 1 Brisbane 0
- A-League: 26/04 2025 Brisbane 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 06/02 2025 Wellington 1 Brisbane 1
- A-League: 31/03 2024 Wellington 1 Brisbane 0
- A-League: 02/02 2024 Brisbane 1 Wellington 1
- A-League: 04/11 2023 Wellington 5 Brisbane 2
- A-League: 16/04 2023 Wellington 2 Brisbane 2
- A-League: 14/01 2023 Brisbane 0 Wellington 1
- A-League: 30/03 2022 Brisbane 0 Wellington 3
Brisbane Roar League Stats
Wellington Phoenix League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 2.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 43.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Brisbane Roar this season are Justin Vidic (3), Jay O'Shea (2), Chris Long (1)
- Top Assistors for Brisbane Roar this season are Justin Vidic (2), Chris Long (1), Dean Bouzanis (1)
You can watch and bet on A-League games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.
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Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News
Be prepared — check the Brisbane vs Wellington team news before wagering. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League together with updated injury news.
Brisbane Roar Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Brisbane Roar Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Wellington Phoenix Confirmed Lineup 3-2-4-1
Brisbane Roar Substitutes
- 6Austin Ludwik
- 9Chris Long
- 10Georgios Vrakas
- 11Macklin Freke
- 13Henry Hore
- 16Matthew Dench
- 44Jordan Lauton
Wellington Phoenix Substitutes
- 8Paulo Retre
- 18Lukas Kelly-Heald
- 24Tze-Xuan Loke
- 29Luke Brooke-Smith
- 30Alby Kelly-Heald
- 31Ryan Lee
- 37Anaru Cassidy
Previous Brisbane Roar Lineups
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Brisbane Roar Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Michael Valkanis
Wellington Phoenix Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 21 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 44:32 | 40 |
| 2 | Auckland | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 36:21 | 39 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 28:21 | 33 |
| 4 | Melb Victory | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 34:27 | 32 |
| 5 | Adelaide United | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 35:30 | 32 |
| 6 | Central Coast | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:28 | 27 |
| 7 | Melb City | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 21:27 | 25 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 26:35 | 25 |
| 9 | Brisbane Roar | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 21:27 | 24 |
| 10 | Wellington | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 31:40 | 24 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:34 | 22 |
| 12 | Western Sydney | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | 21 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 20 |
| 2 | Melb Victory | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:10 | 18 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 25:19 | 18 |
| 4 | Auckland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Central Coast | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Wellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:22 | 14 |
| 8 | Western Sydney | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Macarthur | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Melb City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Perth Glory | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:13 | 10 |
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