Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 Jan 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix

Brisbane Roar take on Wellington Phoenix at Kayo Stadium, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Saturday 3 January.

Brisbane look a great bet to beat Wellington on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -139 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

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Brisbane Roar have enjoyed back-to-back A-League home victories. In their last league encounter, they beat Central Coast Mariners 2-1 away at Industree Group Stadium. The Queensland outfit enjoyed 51% possession and had nine shots on target, with Michael Ruhs and Justin Vidic scoring one goal apiece.

Wellington Phoenix have been beaten in successive A-League road games and the latest was at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory claimed a 5-1 win. The Nix were restricted to just 39% possession and managed two shots on goal, with Ramy Najjarine on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Wellington have beaten Brisbane in their last two encounters, winning by 2-1 and 1-0 scorelines when hosting. Wellington have landed six victories, Brisbane have one win and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Brisbane Roar	10	5	3	2	11	6	5	11:6	18
10	Wellington	10	3	2	5	14	20	-6	14:20	11

View Full Table

Brisbane have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Michael Valkanis' men have averaged 43.9% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.6 goals from 3.2 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Justin Vidic is the top goalscorer with 3, Jay O'Shea has 2, with Michael Ruhs and two other players on 1. Justin Vidic has made the most assists with 2.

Wellington have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The New Zealand side have averaged 55.4% possession, 5.3 corners taken and 4.4 corners against, while conceding 2.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts.

Ifeanyi Eze is the leading goalscorer with 4, Carlo Armiento has 3, with Ramy Najjarine and Alex Rufer getting 2. Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Brisbane record a victory and they are priced at -139 to win this A-League clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the A-League form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• Brisbane have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Brisbane have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Wellington have lost 10 of their last 15 games on the road.
• Wellington have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Wellington have lost their last 2 games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

For those who want to back Brisbane at a bigger price, you can combine this selection with another pick on the Result & Both Teams to Score and Double Result markets.

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Our Match Prediction

Brisbane To Win @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Brisbane 3 - 0 Wellington

There are odds of +800 available that Brisbane land a 3-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jay O'Shea to Score +210

Jay O'Shea (Brisbane) has registered two goals in his past five A-League games on home soil. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +210 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Jay O'Shea Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+210

First

+480

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Corners Prediction

Brisbane Under 6.5 Corners -154

The past 10 Brisbane matches have involved them having an average of 5.40 corners, with Wellington conceding under 6.5 corners in their last five games. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Brisbane to fall short and you can get odds of -154.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Brisbane

Total

9.90 5.40 4.50

Home

8.90 6.20 2.70

Away

9.60 4.20 5.40

Wellington

Total

9.70 5.30 4.40

Home

10.20 5.30 4.90

Away

8.90 3.20 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-120

Brisbane Corners

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-154

Wellington Corners

Over 3.5

+116

Under 3.5

-175

Most Corners

1

-357

X

+750

2

+330

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Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Brisbane Roar at -139 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 58% chance of winning this A-League clash based on the betting odds. If you’re interested in wagering Wellington Phoenix, you can get +350 for the underdog.

If Brisbane at -0.75 beat Wellington by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -115.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -128.

You can find hundreds of markets for every A-League game, with the best betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-139

X

+275

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+132

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-435

X2

-103

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+215

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-115

2 Hcp +0.75

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-111

The First Goalscorer favourite is Michael Ruhs at +450, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Michael Ruhs (Brisbane)

First

+195

Anytime

+450

Jay O'Shea (Brisbane)

First

+210

Anytime

+480

Jordan Lauton (Brisbane)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+375

Anytime

+850

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Lucas Herrington (Brisbane)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Brisbane are unbeaten in the last seven games at Kayo Stadium. The Queensland outfit have secured five wins, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.00.

Wellington haven’t tasted victory in six consecutive matches on the road. The Nix have recorded six losses, three draws and one win in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.70.

Brisbane beat Wellington 1-0 when they last met at Kayo Stadium. The previous 6 H2H matches at Kayo Stadium have seen two wins for each team and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Brisbane Roar Home Stats		5-3-2	2.10	1.10	1.00	3	7	4	6
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats		1-3-6	3.90	1.20	2.70	7	3	9	1

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Brisbane vs Wellington team news before wagering. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League together with updated injury news.

Brisbane Roar Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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