Burgos vs Valencia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Jan 2026

Copa del Rey Betting Preview: Burgos vs Valencia

La Liga 2 side Burgos host La Liga club Valencia in this Copa del Rey round of 16 game at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Thursday 15 January.

Valencia look like an appealing wager at -105 and we expect them to defeat Burgos. We’ll place this Full-Time Result bet feeling confident and there’s plenty of value in the available odds.

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Burgos landed a win when last in action. It was a 1-0 scoreline at home to Eibar at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío in La Liga 2. Luis Ramis' side had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and five shots on target, with Inigo Cordoba netting the winner in the 61st minute.

Valencia drew their previous game which was at home in La Liga. The action at Estadio Mestalla ended 1-1 against Elche. Los Che had just 39% possession and totalled four shots on goal, with Pepelu on the scoresheet.

In their previous Copa del Rey matches, Burgos won 3-1 when hosting Getafe, with Valencia claiming a 2-0 away success against Sporting Gijón.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Burgos	21	9	5	7	25	20	5	25:20	32

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
18	Valencia	19	3	8	8	18	31	-13	18:31	17

1 win, 1 loss and 1 draw, averaging 0.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts. Burgos have had 46.0% possession and 4.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts, while being awarded 5.3 corners.

Inigo Cordoba and David Gonzalez have bagged 1 goals apiece. The leading assistors are Aitor Cordoba and Florian Miguel with 1.

Valencia have lost 1 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 15.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.7% possession, 483.3 passes, 8.0 corners awarded and 3.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 2.0 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Pepelu has scored 2 goals, while Hugo Duro has 1. Thierry Correia has been the chief assist maker in the previous 3 games with 1.

Burgos vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Burgos vs Valencia betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

Valencia could secure a return in this Copa del Rey clash and we’ll take this selection with a fair degree of confidence. There’s an attractive price of -105 and we can’t resist the opportunity to bet on the visitors.

The latest injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Burgos vs Valencia Copa del Rey & league stats:

• Burgos have lost 4 of their last 10 games.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 51.3% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

We would advise considering the Asian Handicap, Double Result and Result & Both Teams to Score markets if you’re looking to side with Valencia but require a bigger price.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Valencia To Win @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burgos 0 - 1 Valencia

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Valencia winning 1-0. Odds of +420 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Arnaut Danjuma Under 0.5 Shots On Target -143

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six consecutive matches. We can use these statistics to our advantage, with odds of -143 on offer that he fails to cover the Shots on Target line.

Latest Arnaut Danjuma Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

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Diego Lopez to Score +320

Diego Lopez (Valencia) has registered two goals in his past seven games away from home. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +320 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Diego Lopez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+320

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

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Burgos vs Valencia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Valencia are the -105 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 51% chance of winning this Copa del Rey encounter according to the latest betting odds. Burgos are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +320.

The Asian Handicap -0.5 market is the same as a Full-Time Result wager, with Valencia needing to win at -116 for your bet to be successful. Burgos +0.5 at -122 means you need them to triumph or the draw to happen.

Under 2.5 Goals is operating at the shortest price for those anticipating two or less goals. Providing that at least one side fails to score, then the No pick on the Both Teams to Score market will be a winner at -135.

For those visiting one of our recommended sports betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Copa del Rey matches. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+320

X

+230

2

-105

Half-Time Result

1

+350

X

+115

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-128

12

-345

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+185

2

-278

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.5

-122

2 Hcp -0.5

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-135

Hugo Duro is the market leader at +330 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

First

+165

Anytime

+330

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

First

+300

Anytime

+575

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Fernando Niño "Fer Niño" (Burgos)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Curro Sanchez (Burgos)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

David González Ballesteros (Burgos)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Georges Rober Junior Nsukula Mazeya (Burgos)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Ivan Chapela (Burgos)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

José Luis García "Pepelu" (Valencia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

First

+510

Anytime

+1000

Iñigo Córdoba (Burgos)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Marcelo Expósito Jiménez (Burgos)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

José Gayà (Valencia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

César Tárrega (Valencia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Ivan Morante (Burgos)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Mouctar Diakhaby (Valencia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

José Manuel Copete (Valencia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Dimitri Foulquier (Valencia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Marcos Navarro (Valencia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Hugo Duro (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+140

Arnaut Danjuma (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

Daniel Raba (Valencia)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Diego Lopez (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Lucas Beltrán (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-189

Javi Guerra (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-217

José Luis García "Pepelu" (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-370

Luis Rioja (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-400

Filip Ugrinic (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

André Ribeiro Almeida (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Baptiste Santamaria (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

José Gayà (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

César Tárrega (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+410

Under 0.5

-1667

Mouctar Diakhaby (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+420

Under 0.5

-2000

José Manuel Copete (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+430

Under 0.5

-2500

Dimitri Foulquier (Valencia)

Over 0.5

+500

Under 0.5

-3333

Latest Copa del Rey and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Burgos Stats

Valencia Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 4.11 corners awarded and 3.67 corners against in the last 9 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 7.78 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 9 home matches

Corners

• An average of 6.63 corners awarded and 3.75 corners conceded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.57 corners against in the last 7 away matches
• An average of 10.38 corners awarded in the last 8 matches
• An average of 9.57 corners awarded in the last 7 away matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 8 matches
• Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 4 of the last 7 away matches

Possession

• An average of 50.38% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 50.78% possession in the last 9 home matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 home matches

Possession

• An average of 52.50% possession in the last 8 matches
• An average of 47.14% possession in the last 7 away matches
• Most possession in 4 of the last 8 matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 7 away matches

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Burgos vs Valencia Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on Burgos vs Valencia, check the team news first. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Copa del Rey lineups alongside the newest injury information.

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