Burnley vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Dec 2024

We’re Not Expecting the Goal Tally to Exceed Two

We’re not expecting the net to bulge on too many occasions when Burnley clash with Derby. On this basis, we’re wagering Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market and this pick is available at -150.

Both Teams Lost Last Time Out

Burnley played Middlesbrough at home in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at Turf Moor. The Lancashire team had the majority of the ball enjoying 55% possession and four shots on target, while Connor Roberts bagged the goal.

Derby County have suffered a defeat in their previous three games including a recent 2-0 loss. This occurred on the road at Elland Road against Leeds United. The Rams didn’t see much of the ball with just 37% possession and one shot on goal.

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Burnley have had 56.4% possession and 6.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.3 goals from 6.9 attempts and 2.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.9 corners.

Jay Rodriguez, Josh Brownhill and Jaidon Anthony are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Josh Brownhill, Josh Laurent and Connor Roberts have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Derby have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 7.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 44.5% possession, 5.2 corners in their favour and 5.8 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 6.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Jerry Yates is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has 2, with Ebou Adams and Dajaune Brown both on 1. Marcus Harness, Ben Osborn and Jerry Yates have been the top assists providers with 1 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Trafford (GK), Connor Roberts, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Lucas Pires, Josh Cullen, Josh Brownhill, Jaidon Anthony, Josh Laurent, Jeremy Sarmiento, Zian Flemming.

Derby confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Nathaniel Phillips, Curtis Nelson, Eiran Cashin, Joe Ward, Callum Elder, Liam Thompson, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ebou Adams, Jerry Yates, Dajaune Brown.

Burnley vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

We can’t pass up the chance to wager Under 2.5 for this Championship clash. This bet offers us the chance to take odds of -150 and we think a return could definitely be on the cards.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football tips. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Burnley vs Derby league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 10 Burnley games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in any of the last 5 Burnley games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 13 Burnley games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Derby games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Derby games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Derby games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 60% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

For those searching for a larger price, a possible option could be backing Under 1.5 Goals. This is a wager that will land a return for a 0-0 draw or a 1-0 victory to either side.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -150 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Burnley 2 - 0 Derby

Burnley are available at +550 to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Burnley vs Derby Odds

For this Championship match, the leading bookies’ betting odds mean Burnley are the -143 favourite to win and that means a 59% chance of winning. Derby County are the +450 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Championship match. All the leading football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+240

2

+450

Half-Time Result

1

+145

X

-104

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-357

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-400

2

+280

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-103

2 Hcp +0.75

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-179

Burnley vs Derby Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Burnley vs Derby team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Burnley Team Page Derby County Team Page