Cardiff vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Dec 2025
EFL Cup Betting Preview: Cardiff vs Chelsea
League One outfit Cardiff host Premier League heavyweights Chelsea at Cardiff City Stadium, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 16 December.
We’re sweet on Cardiff +1.75 at odds of -102 when it comes to their clash against Chelsea, with half our Asian Handicap stake going on +1.5 and the other half going on +2.0. The hosts should perform well.
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Cardiff City got the victory in their last game. This was in the form of a 4-3 League One home scoreline against Doncaster Rovers at Cardiff City Stadium.
Chelsea claimed a 2-0 Premier League home victory over Everton at Stamford Bridge in their previous game. The West London side enjoyed 58% possession and managed five shots on goal, while Cole Palmer and Malo Gusto found the net.
In their most recent EFL Cup engagements, Cardiff won 2-1 away to Wrexham, while Chelsea triumphed 4-3 when visiting Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 2-1 Premier League away victory for Chelsea at Cardiff City Stadium when last facing Cardiff.
| League One | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff |
28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 50:27 | 59 |
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 39:25 | 37 |
Confirmed Lineups
Cardiff confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Nathan Trott (GK), Perry Ng, Dylan Lawlor, Calum Chambers, Joel Bagan, Ryan Wintle, Cian Ashford, Joel Colwill, David Turnbull, Isaak Davies, Callum Robinson.
Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Filip Joergensen (GK), Josh Acheampong, Tosin Adarabioyo, Benoit Badiashile, Jorrel Hato, Andrey Santos, Moises Caicedo, Tyrique George, Facundo Buonanotte, Jamie Gittens, Marc Guiu.
Cardiff vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
This Cardiff vs Chelsea betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.
Match Prediction
Cardiff can push their opponents close and we’re happy to side with the underdogs at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. We’re expecting them to put on a decent showing for this EFL Cup clash at odds of -102.
Our football predictions are always well-researched and it starts with a combination of team news and form guide. Once we have a clear idea of what might happen, we match up the latest EFL Cup data.
Key Cardiff vs Chelsea EFL Cup & league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 50.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’re taking a chance on Chelsea to achieve a 2-1 winning scoreline. Odds of +600 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Yousef Salech (Cardiff) has racked up one or more shots on goal in one of his past ten games. We are in favour of betting the +125 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager looking like it might yield dividends.
Tyrique George (Chelsea) has been on the scoresheet in back-to-back games on the road. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +160 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Cardiff on the Asian Handicap at +1.75, at least three goals to be registered together with Yousef Salech (Cardiff) to end up with one or more shots on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Cardiff vs Chelsea Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Chelsea are the skinniest price to succeed in this EFL Cup clash, with the favourites afforded a 68% probability based on their -217 betting odds with the bookies. Cardiff City are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +525.
There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Half-Time Result market, with Chelsea available at -119 and Cardiff at +430. The third option is the draw which is priced at +170.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. BTTS Yes is available at -164 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every EFL Cup game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Marc Guiu is priced at +370 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +130 to find the net anytime.
Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
Cardiff Stats
Chelsea Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
Cardiff vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News
The latest Cardiff vs Chelsea team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the EFL Cup and all current injury news.
Cardiff Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cardiff Confirmed Lineup 4-1-4-1
Chelsea Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Cardiff Substitutes
- 2William Fish
- 16Chris Willock
- 18Alex Robertson
- 22Yousef Salech
- 28Dakarai Mafico
- 29Tanatswa Nyakuhwa
- 31Axel Donczew
- 41Matthew Turner
- 49Luey Giles
Chelsea Substitutes
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 7Pedro Neto
- 8Enzo Fernandez
- 20Joao Pedro
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 24Reece James
- 27Malo Gusto
- 29Wesley Fofana
- 49Alejandro Garnacho
Previous Cardiff Lineups
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Cardiff Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Brian Barry-Murphy
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 50:27 | 59 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 47:29 | 55 |
| 3 | Bolton | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 4 | Stockport | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40:34 | 49 |
| 5 | Bradford | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 35:31 | 46 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 48:38 | 45 |
| 7 | Stevenage | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 29:24 | 42 |
| 8 | Wycombe | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 36:31 | 39 |
| 9 | Luton | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 37:34 | 39 |
| 10 | Peterborough | 28 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 35:36 | 38 |
| 11 | Exeter | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 33:26 | 37 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 36:30 | 37 |
| 13 | Reading | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:35 | 37 |
| 14 | Plymouth | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 35:40 | 37 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 16 | Blackpool | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:41 | 32 |
| 17 | Wimbledon | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 28:35 | 32 |
| 18 | Leyton Orient | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 40:48 | 32 |
| 19 | Wigan | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 29:33 | 31 |
| 20 | Burton | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 28:39 | 30 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:44 | 30 |
| 22 | Northampton | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 24:34 | 29 |
| 23 | Rotherham | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 27:40 | 28 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19:37 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardiff | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 35:16 | 37 |
| 2 | Lincoln | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 3 | Bolton | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 26:9 | 34 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 31 |
| 5 | Bradford | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 | 29 |
| 6 | Wycombe | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 26:15 | 27 |
| 7 | Reading | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 8 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 25 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 14:7 | 24 |
| 10 | Stockport | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 11 | Exeter | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 22 |
| 14 | Mansfield | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:12 | 20 |
| 15 | Peterborough | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19:15 | 20 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 17 | Barnsley | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:17 | 19 |
| 18 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:21 | 19 |
| 19 | Wigan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12:9 | 18 |
| 20 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 18 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 22 | Burton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 17 |
| 23 | Wimbledon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:9 | 15 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:16 | 9 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42:17 | 50 |
| 2 | Man City | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 47:21 | 46 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 35:25 | 46 |
| 4 | Man United | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 41:34 | 38 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 37 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 35:32 | 36 |
| 7 | Fulham | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32:32 | 34 |
| 8 | Brentford | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 35:32 | 33 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 10 | Everton | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 25:26 | 33 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 24:26 | 33 |
| 12 | Brighton | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 33:31 | 30 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 38:43 | 30 |
| 14 | Tottenham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 33:31 | 28 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:28 | 28 |
| 16 | Leeds | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 31:38 | 26 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 19 | Burnley | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 25:44 | 15 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15:43 | 8 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29:8 | 29 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:8 | 29 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Brentford | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23:12 | 24 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:9 | 23 |
| 6 | Fulham | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 9 | Man United | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:13 | 21 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 11 | Brighton | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Leeds | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 | 19 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:11 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 17 | Burnley | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 18 | West Ham | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | 10 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | 5 |
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