Cardiff vs Derby Prediction, Lineups & Odds

Cardiff City FC

Derby County FC
Fancy Bluebirds on the Asian Handicap?
Cardiff look like a cracking bet on the Asian Handicap when they clash with Derby. Taking the home team at -0.25 at odds of -105 allows us half our stake back if the game is drawn.
1-0 Triumph for Derby in Last H2H
Cardiff City played out a 2-2 draw in their last game. This was away from home at The Den against Millwall. The South Wales team had most of the ball recording 58% possession and five shots on target, while Chris Willock and Yousef Salech each scored one goal.
Derby County suffered a fifth consecutive defeat when losing 1-0 in their previous game. This was at home to Sunderland at Pride Park. The Rams enjoyed 50% possession and three shots on goal.
It was Derby who came out on top when they last played Cardiff. At Pride Park, a 1-0 home win was recorded. It has been four Cardiff victories, one Derby win and two draws in the previous 7 meetings between these teams.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | ![]() |
32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 35:54 | 32 |
22 | ![]() |
33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 33:46 | 29 |
Cardiff have 2 wins, 3 losses and 5 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Omer Riza's side have averaged 41.7% possession and 3.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 4.5 corners.
Top goalscorer Callum Robinson has found the net 5 times, Cian Ashford 2, with Chris Willock and two other players on 1. Cian Ashford is the leading assists maker with 2.
Derby County – Last 10 League GamesDerby have won 2, lost 7 and drawn 1, averaging 7.4 attempts, 3.4 shots on goal and 0.9 goals. The East Midlands club average 46.1% possession, 5.0 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 8.0 attempts.
The leading scorers have been Jerry Yates and Ebou Adams with 2, while Kayden Jackson has 1. Kenzo Goudmijn has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Cardiff (confirmed lineup): Jak Alnwick, Andy Rinomhota, Jesper Daland, Dimitrios Goutas, Perry Ng, Joe Ralls, Calum Chambers, Alex Robertson, Cian Ashford, Callum Robinson, Chris Willock.
Derby (confirmed lineup): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem, Ebou Adams, Craig Forsyth, Eiran Cashin, Ryan Nyambe, Callum Elder, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ben Osborn, Corey Blackett-Taylor, Lars-Joergen Salvesen, Jerry Yates.
Expert Championship Analysis
We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.
Key Cardiff vs Derby league stats:
Cardiff vs Derby Prediction
Cardiff could have the edge in this Championship match and our bet is backing them on the -0.25 Asian Handicap. Odds of -105 make plenty of appeal when it comes to this team.
If you’re looking for a good alternative to backing Cardiff on the Asian Handicap, then consider the Winning Margin market. You can choose from a range of fixed intervals and odds.
Cardiff -0.25 Probability
According to the betting sites, our pick has a 51.3% chance of landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.
Our Pick
Cardiff Asian Hcp -0.25 @ -105
Correct Score Prediction
There could be merit in backing Cardiff to win 1-0. Odds of +460 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.
Latest Correct Score Odds
Corners Prediction
All of the past five Derby games have seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.80 corners in the last 10 Cardiff home matches. We’re expecting plenty of corners and that the line is going to be covered, with odds of -110 on offer.
Corner Stats


Latest Corner Odds




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Cardiff vs Derby Odds
The bookies betting odds have Cardiff City as -100 favourites for this Championship clash, implying that they are 50% likely to win the match. The market suggests that Derby County are least likely to win at +290.
A tight game could be on the cards and that is reflected in the short odds about Under 2.5 Goals being scored. Both Teams to Score betting is always popular and the No option on the BTTS market is available at -163.
A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Championship betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.
-
Full Time Result
1
-100
X
+220
2
+290
-
Half Time Result
1
+175
X
-105
2
+375
-
Double Chance
1X
-400
12
-275
X2
-125
-
Both Teams to Score
Yes
+120
No
-163
-
Draw No Bet
1
-250
2
+175
-
Asian Handicap
1 Hcp -0.5
+109
2 Hcp +0.5
-123
-
Total Goals
Under 2.5
-188
Over 2.5
+150
-
Total Corners
Under 10.5
-125
Over 10.5
-110
Latest News
Best Betting Offers
Cardiff
Head to Head
Cardiff vs Derby
- Championship: 14/09 2024 Derby 1 Cardiff 0
- Championship: 07/05 2022 Derby 0 Cardiff 1
- Championship: 01/03 2022 Cardiff 1 Derby 0
- Championship: 02/03 2021 Cardiff 4 Derby 0
- Championship: 28/10 2020 Derby 1 Cardiff 1
- Championship: 14/07 2020 Cardiff 2 Derby 1
- Championship: 13/09 2019 Derby 1 Cardiff 1
Team Stats
Cardiff Stats
Derby Stats
Full time Result
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in previous 10 home matches
Full time Results
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draws in previous 10 matches
- 1 wins, 5 defeats and 4 draws in previous 10 away matches
Goals
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
Goals
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
Corners
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
Corners
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
Possession
- An average of 41.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 48.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
Possession
- An average of 46.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
Team News
Our Cardiff vs Derby team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.
We’ve got details of the Championship squads so that you know every player on the roster.
Cardiff vs Derby Lineups
Cardiff Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Cardiff Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Cardiff Substitutes
- 1Ethan Horvath
- 2William Fish
- 3Manolis Siopis
- 19Yakou Meite
- 20Anwar El-Ghazi
- 22Yousef Salech
- 27Rubin Colwill
- 49Luey Giles
- 56Luke Pearce
Derby Substitutes
- 4David Ozoh
- 7Tom Barkhuizen
- 11N. Mendez-Laing
- 16Liam Thompson
- 18Marcus Harness
- 19Kayden Jackson
- 21Jake Rooney
- 31Josh Vickers
- 40Freddie Turley
Previous Cardiff Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
Championship Table
2024/2025 Season
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 68:20 | 72 |
2 | Sheffield Utd | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 47:23 | 70 |
3 | Burnley | 33 | 17 | 14 | 2 | 39:9 | 65 |
4 | Sunderland | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 50:30 | 62 |
5 | Blackburn | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 39:31 | 51 |
6 | West Brom | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 42:31 | 48 |
7 | Coventry | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 44:41 | 47 |
8 | Bristol City | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41:37 | 46 |
9 | Sheffield Wed | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46:50 | 45 |
10 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 43:48 | 45 |
11 | Middlesbrough | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 50:43 | 44 |
12 | Norwich | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 51:45 | 44 |
13 | QPR | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 39:41 | 44 |
14 | Millwall | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 32:33 | 41 |
15 | Preston | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 34:38 | 41 |
16 | Oxford | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34:47 | 38 |
17 | Swansea | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | 37 |
18 | Portsmouth | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 41:55 | 36 |
19 | Stoke | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:40 | 35 |
20 | Cardiff | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35:54 | 32 |
21 | Hull | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 32:43 | 30 |
22 | Derby | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 33:46 | 29 |
23 | Plymouth | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 34:66 | 28 |
24 | Luton | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 30:52 | 27 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Leeds | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 44:8 | 44 |
2 | Sheffield Utd | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 24:10 | 38 |
3 | Sunderland | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28:12 | 36 |
4 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 18:4 | 32 |
5 | Blackburn | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 32 |
6 | Bristol City | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 23:12 | 29 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20:17 | 29 |
8 | Oxford | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:22 | 29 |
9 | West Brom | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21:11 | 28 |
10 | Norwich | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 37:21 | 27 |
11 | Coventry | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 26:19 | 27 |
12 | Portsmouth | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 26 |
13 | Middlesbrough | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 24:19 | 26 |
14 | Preston | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18:13 | 26 |
15 | QPR | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26:22 | 26 |
16 | Millwall | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19:15 | 25 |
17 | Plymouth | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 29:27 | 24 |
18 | Stoke | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:18 | 22 |
19 | Sheffield Wed | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 26:25 | 22 |
20 | Luton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:18 | 22 |
21 | Derby | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:15 | 21 |
22 | Cardiff | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:20 | 21 |
23 | Swansea | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
24 | Hull | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17:23 | 13 |
Championship Predictions
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