Casa Pia vs AVS Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Jan 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs AVS

Third-from-bottom Casa Pia go head-to-head with basement boys AVS at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Friday 23 January.

Casa Pia look a great bet to beat AVS on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of -105 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

Casa Pia have been beaten in back-to-back league games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 3-0 loss against Sporting CP at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Alvaro Pacheco's side ended up with just 39% possession and one shot on target.

Bottom-of-the-table AVS have lost six consecutive Primeira Liga away games. Most recently, they lost 1-0 at home to Arouca at Estadio do CD Aves. The Vila das Aves club had just 37% possession and didn’t record a single shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Casa Pia have not lost to AVS in the past three meetings. Their last encounter saw Casa Pia leave Estadio do CD Aves with a 2-0 victory. The past 3 H2H matches have involved two draws and one Casa Pia win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Casa Pia	25	5	9	11	26	44	-18	26:44	24
18	AVS	25	1	7	17	18	57	-39	18:57	10

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.8 attempts. The Geese have averaged 45.8% possession, 340.0 passes and 3.9 corners per game, with the opposition getting 2.2 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 12.4 attempts and 5.3 corners.

Renato Nhaga is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Claudio Mendes, Gaizka Larrazabal, Kelian Wa Saka and Jose Fonte each have 1. Miguel Sousa and Gaizka Larrazabal are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Patrick Sequeira has kept one clean sheet.

AVS have lost 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 3.3 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 0.6 goals. Joao Henriques' team average 40.3% possession, 312.8 passes, 3.0 corners taken and 5.7 corners against them, while 2.4 goals have been conceded from 15.6 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Oscar Perea has scored 2 goals, followed by Tomane, Babatunde Akinsola, Nene and Sidi Bane on 1. Diogo Spencer has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Kaly, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Renato Nhaga, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Tiago Morais, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant.

AVS confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Adriel Ramos (GK), Angel Algobia, Ruben Semedo, Carlos Ponck, Kiki Afonso, Roni, Gustavo Mendonca, Babatunde Akinsola, Pedro Lima, Oscar Perea, Tomane.

Casa Pia vs AVS Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Casa Pia vs AVS betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

We’re confident with our selection of Casa Pia to land a victory, with odds of -105 looking really generous. We think they have the ability to claim a win in this Primeira Liga game.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primeira Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Casa Pia vs AVS league stats:

• AVS have lost their last 6 games on the road.
• AVS have lost 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• AVS have lost 15 of their last 20 games.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 51.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Casa Pia can be backed in different ways and you might find the odds more attractive when you check out the Asian Handicap or the Result & Both Teams to Score markets.

Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.

Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia To Win @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 21, 22:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 1 - 0 AVS

Casa Pia can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +390 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Sousa To Score +650

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia) can be wagered at +650 to be on the scoresheet. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive based on the evidence and we’ll plump for him to find the net.

Latest Miguel Sousa Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 8.5 Corners -135

It has now been three straight AVS matches where under 8.5 corners have been awarded. We’re going to bet on the teams to fall short when it comes to Total Corners and this pick is available at -135.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.20 3.90 5.30

Home

8.50 3.50 5.00

Away

10.10 4.40 5.70

AVS

Total

8.70 3.00 5.70

Home

7.50 3.00 4.50

Away

10.00 3.70 6.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-100

Casa Pia Corners

Over 5.5

+105

Under 5.5

-149

AVS Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-208

X

+650

2

+210

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs AVS Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Casa Pia odds are +102 which leads to them being favourites in this Primeira Liga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 50% prospect of securing a victory. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, AVS are trading at +285.

There are different ways to bet on Casa Pia including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -102, although AVS +0.5 is a viable alternative at -139 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. For those wanting to back Both Teams to Score No, this is currently priced at -156.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Primeira Liga matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+102

X

+205

2

+285

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+102

2

+340

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-313

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-238

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-102

2 Hcp +0.5

-139

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-208

Over 2.5

+143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-156

Those interested in Cassiano Dias Moreira to find the net anytime can get +195, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +370.

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+195

Anytime

+370

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+310

Anytime

+575

Tómané (AVS)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Miguel da Silva Ânderson "Nene" (AVS)

First

+400

Anytime

+750

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Tunde Akinsola (AVS)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Rafael Barbosa (AVS)

First

+750

Anytime

+1400

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Ángel Algobia (AVS)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Cristian Devenish (AVS)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Aderllan Santos (AVS)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Sebastián Perez (Casa Pia)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Kaique Rocha (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

João Goulart (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Gustavo Assuncao (AVS)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Gustavo Mendonça (AVS)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Casa Pia have gone without a win at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior in the last eight games. Alvaro Pacheco's side have five defeats, four draws and one win in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

AVS have been beaten in six consecutive away games. The Vila das Aves club have eight defeats, one win and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.50 goals per match and conceding 3.10.

The past meeting at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior saw Casa Pia draw 1-1 with AVS.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		1-4-5	2.90	1.00	1.90	4	6	6	4
AVS Away Stats		1-1-8	3.60	0.50	3.10	7	3	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs AVS Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Casa Pia vs AVS team news before placing your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Casa Pia Team Page AVS Team Page

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