Nacional vs Estoril Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Estoril

Nacional welcome Estoril to Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 15 March.

Estoril +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Nacional the aim at betting odds of -147.

Nacional drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Moreirense at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The Madeira team had the majority of the ball boasting 54% possession and seven shots on target, with Miguel Baeza registering the goal.

Estoril Praia hosted Casa Pia in their previous game, ending in a 0-0 draw at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. Ian Cathro's side dominated possession with 64% of the ball and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estoril boast an unbeaten record in the past three games against Nacional, with the last clash ending 1-1 at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The past 3 H2H matches have involved two draws and one Estoril win.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Estoril	31	10	7	14	51	52	-1	51:52	37
14	Nacional	31	8	7	16	34	41	-7	34:41	31

View Full Table

Nacional have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Tiago Margarido's men have averaged 46.4% possession, 341.8 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal, 12.3 attempts and 5.6 corners.

Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 4 times, with Miguel Baeza, Paulinho Boia, Alan Nunez and Witi scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Alan Nunez with 2, while goalkeeper Kaique Pereira has 2 clean sheets.

Estoril have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 2.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 57.3% possession, 490.5 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 11.3 attempts.

The top scorers have been Yanis Begraoui with 11, Alejandro Marques on 4 and Joao Carvalho 3. Joao Carvalho is top assists provider with 5, while Joel Robles has recorded 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Ze Vitor, Leonardo Santos, Lenny Vallier, Joel da Silva, Matheus Dias, Miguel Baeza, Gabriel Veron, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Estoril confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Ferro, Felix Bacher, Antef Tsoungui, Pedro Carvalho, Alejandro Orellana, Jordan Holsgrove, Ricard Sanchez, Joao Carvalho, Alejandro Marques, Yanis Begraoui.

Nacional vs Estoril Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete Nacional vs Estoril betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

Estoril have a good chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -147 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Primeira Liga recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.

Key Nacional vs Estoril league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Estoril in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 6 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 16 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 3 consecutive games against Estoril.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There are several alternatives to the Asian Handicap and we particularly like the Winning Margin market. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Before you back your picks, see how far a bonus can take you — our guide highlights the top betting offers live now.

Our Match Prediction

Estoril Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -147 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Estoril

There could be merit in backing Estoril to win 1-0. Odds of +800 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yanis Begraoui to Score +170

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril) has managed eleven goals in his past ten Primeira Liga games. It’s worth a play on the +170 that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Yanis Begraoui Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+160

First

+410

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Nacional To Have Most Corners -108

There has been an average 5.60 corners for Nacional in their past 5 games, with Estoril averaging 3.90 corners in the previous 10 matches. We’re keen to back the -108 that Nacional come out on top in this Corner Match bet.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

9.90 4.30 5.60

Home

10.80 4.00 6.80

Away

8.70 3.40 5.30

Estoril

Total

8.80 3.90 4.90

Home

9.40 4.60 4.80

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-132

Under 9.5

-110

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+108

Estoril Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-137

Most Corners

1

-123

X

+600

2

+128

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Estoril Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 45% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Nacional are favourites to prosper in this Primeira Liga encounter and they’re available at +120 with the bookies. Estoril Praia are regarded as the least likely winner at +190.

If you fancy Nacional but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -159. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Estoril at +112 on the Draw No Bet market.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -204 on the Both Teams to Score market.

If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+120

X

+250

2

+190

Half-Time Result

1

+165

X

+138

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-400

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-159

2

+112

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+118

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+140

The First Goalscorer favourite is Jesus Ramírez Díaz at +300. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+116

Anytime

+300

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+160

Anytime

+410

Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)

First

+170

Anytime

+440

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+225

Anytime

+575

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Luís Miguel Pizzi Fernandes (Estoril)

First

+370

Anytime

+950

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+440

Anytime

+1050

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+510

Anytime

+1300

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nacional haven’t tasted victory at Estadio da Madeira in the previous three matches. The Madeira team have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Estoril have managed six losses, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

The last Estadio da Madeira meeting saw Nacional and Estoril draw 2-2.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-2-5	3.00	1.60	1.40	7	3	6	4
Estoril Away Stats		3-1-6	3.60	1.60	2.00	8	2	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Estoril Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Nacional vs Estoril before making your bets. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Estoril Team Page

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