Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Feb 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Porto
Casa Pia host Porto at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 15:45 on Monday 2 February.
Instead of betting Porto to win, we’re going to try the -120 that the visitors overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap when meeting Casa Pia. For a return to land, we need a victory of two goals or more.
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Casa Pia had a 3-3 draw in their last game. This was at home to AVS at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese had 42% possession and recorded four shots on target, while David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal and Korede Osundina got among the goals.
Porto have won their previous eleven games. The latest was a 3-0 home triumph at Estadio do Dragao against Gil Vicente. Francesco Farioli's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 58% possession and six shots on goal, while Samuel Aghehowa, Martim Fernandes and William Gomes were on the scoresheet.
Four days ago, Porto hosted Rangers in the Europa League and claimed a 3-1 victory.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Porto have beaten Casa Pia on six consecutive occasions. Their last encounter took place at Estadio do Dragao and Porto secured a 4-0 home win. The past 7 H2H matches have included six Porto wins along with a single draw.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 36 | 40:4 | 55 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 20:38 | 15 |
1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Casa Pia have had 46.0% possession, 324.9 passes and 3.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts, while being awarded 6.0 corners.
Gaizka Larrazabal and Renato Nhaga are the leading goalscorers with 2, while David Sousa has 1. Jeremy Livolant, Miguel Sousa and Gaizka Larrazabal are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has kept one clean sheet.
Porto have been victorious in their past 10 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.7% possession, 468.8 passes, 4.6 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.2 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.
Samuel Aghehowa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while William Gomes and Borja Sainz have 3. Pepe and Francisco Moura have been top assists providers with 2, while Diogo Costa has kept 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Renato Sam Na Nhaga, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Tiago Morais, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant.
Porto predicted lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Martim Fernandes, Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, Jakub Kiwior, Victor Froholdt, Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga, Pepê, Samu Omorodion Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.
Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips
Step into Casa Pia vs Porto with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.
Match Prediction
We are confident that Porto will perform well, so we’ll take the favourites on the Asian Handicap in this Primeira Liga match. They can cover a -1.5 deficit and the odds of -120 seem generous to us.
Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primeira Liga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.
Key Casa Pia vs Porto league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.
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Correct Score Prediction
0
-
2
Porto
There are odds of +370 available that Porto land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.
Player Prop Picks
Borja Sainz (Porto) has netted two goals in his past four Primeira Liga games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +185 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six consecutive Porto away games, with the last five Casa Pia home matches averaging 8.80 corners. There’s lots to enjoy about the Total Corners line which looks big and we’d anticipate the teams going under at -147.
Casa Pia
Porto
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is compiled of the following: Porto with an Asian Handicap of -1.5, no more than two goals and less than 9.5 corners to be taken.
A bet builder is a great alternative for football punters who want to focus their wagering on a single game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Casa Pia vs Porto Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Porto have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Casa Pia are available at +1000.
Porto can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -133. However, Casa Pia are +800 and the draw is +155 if you want to take a different option.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -204.
The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primeira Liga games.
There’s the chance to back Samu Omorodion at +220 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.
Casa Pia haven’t tasted defeat in three consecutive matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have recorded five draws, four losses and one win in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.90.
Porto are ten wins from ten on their travels.
When the teams previously met at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Porto defeated Casa Pia 1-0.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia Home Stats |
1-5-4 | 3.10 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
| Porto Away Stats |
10-0-0 | 2.30 | 2.10 | 0.20 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Primeira Liga: 24/08 2025 Porto 4 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 12/04 2025 Casa Pia 0 Porto 1
- Primeira Liga: 02/12 2024 Porto 2 Casa Pia 0
- Primeira Liga: 21/04 2024 Casa Pia 1 Porto 2
- Primeira Liga: 09/12 2023 Porto 3 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 14/05 2023 Porto 2 Casa Pia 1
- Primeira Liga: 07/01 2023 Casa Pia 0 Porto 0
Casa Pia League Stats
Porto League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 4 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 matches.
- 10 wins have been recorded in the previous 10 away matches.
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 2.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Casa Pia this season are Jeremy Livolant (3), Cassiano (2), David Sousa (2)
- Top Assistors for Casa Pia this season are Jeremy Livolant (5), Gaizka Larrazabal (3), Miguel Sousa (2)
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Casa Pia vs Porto Lineups & Team News
Always review the Casa Pia vs Porto team news before locking in your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Porto Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Previous Porto Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Alvaro Pacheco
Porto Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 19 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 40:4 | 55 |
| 2 | Sporting | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 48 |
| 3 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 42:11 | 45 |
| 4 | Braga | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 37:18 | 33 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 24:16 | 31 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 8 | Estoril | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 29 |
| 9 | Vitória | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:34 | 24 |
| 11 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:28 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 24:37 | 20 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22:38 | 20 |
| 14 | Arouca | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:44 | 20 |
| 15 | Santa Clara | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:38 | 15 |
| 17 | Tondela | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12:33 | 12 |
| 18 | AVS | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14:47 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19:2 | 25 |
| 2 | Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Estoril | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Vitória | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:7 | 17 |
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 9 | Alverca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 17 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:8 | 14 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
| 15 | Arouca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:19 | 3 |
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