Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Feb 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Porto

Third-from-bottom Casa Pia host dominant Portuguese Primeira Liga leaders Porto at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 16:45 on Monday 2 February.

Instead of betting Porto to win, we’re going to try the -120 that the Dragons overcome -1.5 on the Asian Handicap when meeting Casa Pia. For a return to land, we need a victory of two goals or more.

Casa Pia had a 3-3 draw in their last game. This was at home to AVS at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese had 42% possession and recorded four shots on target, while David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal and Korede Osundina got among the goals.

Porto have won their previous eleven games. The latest was a 3-0 home triumph at Estadio do Dragao against Gil Vicente. Francesco Farioli's side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 58% possession and six shots on goal, while Samuel Aghehowa, Martim Fernandes and William Gomes were on the scoresheet.

Four days ago, Porto hosted Rangers in the Europa League and claimed a 3-1 victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Porto have beaten Casa Pia on six consecutive occasions. Their last encounter took place at Estadio do Dragao and Porto secured a 4-0 home win. The past 7 H2H matches have included six Porto wins along with a single draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Porto	27	23	3	1	54	11	43	54:11	72
15	Casa Pia	26	5	9	12	26	48	-22	26:48	24

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. Casa Pia have had 46.0% possession, 324.9 passes and 3.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 2.1 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts, while being awarded 6.0 corners.

Gaizka Larrazabal and Renato Nhaga are the leading goalscorers with 2, while David Sousa has 1. Jeremy Livolant, Miguel Sousa and Gaizka Larrazabal are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has kept one clean sheet.

Porto have been victorious in their past 10 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 56.7% possession, 468.8 passes, 4.6 corners awarded and 2.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.2 goals from 2.2 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

Samuel Aghehowa is top of the team’s scoring charts with 6, while William Gomes and Borja Sainz have 3. Pepe and Francisco Moura have been top assists providers with 2, while Diogo Costa has kept 7 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Joao Goulart, Kaly, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Lawrence Ofori, Abdu Conte, Tiago Morais, Cassiano, Jeremy Livolant.

Porto confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Diogo Costa (GK), Martim Fernandes, Thiago Silva, Jan Bednarek, Francisco Moura, Alan Varela, Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga, Pepe, Samuel Aghehowa, Borja Sainz.

Casa Pia vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Casa Pia vs Porto with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners angle, key player prop plays and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Match Prediction

We are confident that Porto will perform well, so we’ll take the favourites on the Asian Handicap in this Primeira Liga match. The Dragons can cover a -1.5 deficit and the odds of -120 seem generous to us.

Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Primeira Liga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.

Key Casa Pia vs Porto league stats:

• The -1.5 line has been covered by Porto in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.5 line has been covered by Porto in 11 of their last 20 games.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 54.6% prospect of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

Don’t place a bet without checking our guide full of top-tier betting offers, from free bets to welcome bonus incentives.

Our Match Prediction

Porto Asian Hcp -1.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 31, 23:07). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 2 Porto

There are odds of +360 available that the Dragons land a 2-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Borja Sainz to Score +185

Borja Sainz (Porto) has netted two goals in his past four Primeira Liga games. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +185 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Borja Sainz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -147

The 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in six consecutive Porto away games, with the last five Casa Pia home matches averaging 8.80 corners. There’s lots to enjoy about the Total Corners line which looks big and we’d anticipate the teams going under at -147.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.90 3.90 6.00

Home

9.00 3.30 5.70

Away

10.10 4.40 5.70

Porto

Total

7.20 4.60 2.60

Home

8.50 5.30 3.20

Away

8.10 5.00 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

-100

Casa Pia Corners

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-156

Porto Corners

Over 6.5

-108

Under 6.5

-132

Most Corners

1

+575

X

+950

2

-714

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Porto Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Porto have been priced up as the overwhelming -526 favourites for this Primeira Liga clash. This means the bookies give them a 84% chance of claiming victory. If you’re searching for a different slant, outsiders Casa Pia are available at +1200.

Porto can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -164. However, Casa Pia are +900 and the draw is +175 if you want to take a different option.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. If you’re anticipating that one team or more will draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is chalked up at -208.

The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primeira Liga games.

Full-Time Result

1

+1200

X

+510

2

-526

Half-Time Result

1

+900

X

+175

2

-164

Double Chance

1X

+290

12

-1111

X2

-3333

Draw No Bet

1

+800

2

-2500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.75

-115

2 Hcp -1.75

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+143

No

-208

There’s the chance to back Samu Omorodion at +210 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Samu Omorodion (Porto)

First

-127

Anytime

+210

Luuk de Jong (Porto)

First

+143

Anytime

+330

Deniz Gul (Porto)

First

+165

Anytime

+370

Borja Sainz (Porto)

First

+170

Anytime

+400

Eduardo Gabriel Aquino Cossa "Pepe" (Porto)

First

+190

Anytime

+430

Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho (Porto)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

Oskar Pietuszewski (Porto)

First

+210

Anytime

+500

William Santos Gomes (Porto)

First

+225

Anytime

+475

Gabriel Veiga (Porto)

First

+270

Anytime

+600

Viktor Froholdt (Porto)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Alberto Costa (Porto)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Thiago Silva (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Alan Varela (Porto)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Jakub Kiwior (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Jan Bednarek (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Martim Fernandes (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Nehuén Pérez (Porto)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Stephen Eustaquio (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Zaidu Sanusi (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pablo Rosario (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Francisco Moura (Porto)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Casa Pia haven’t tasted defeat in three consecutive matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Geese have recorded five draws, four losses and one win in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

Table-topping Porto have been flawless on their travels, recording ten wins from the last ten away matches in the Primeira Liga.

When the teams previously met at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Porto defeated Casa Pia 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		1-5-4	3.10	1.20	1.90	4	6	6	4
Porto Away Stats		10-0-0	2.30	2.10	0.20	5	5	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Porto Lineups & Team News

Always review the Casa Pia vs Porto team news before locking in your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.

Casa Pia Team Page FC Porto Team Page

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