Casa Pia vs Vitória Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Dec 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Casa Pia vs Vitória

Casa Pia go head-to-head with Vitória at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 28 December.

We think that Vitória will have the upper hand against Casa Pia and we like the price of +132 on the Full-Time Result market. The odds make plenty of appeal and we’re expecting this bet to land.

Casa Pia won last time out by a 2-1 scoreline. It was on the road against Tondela at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The Lisbon side had most of the ball boasting 54% possession and five shots on target, with Gaizka Larrazabal and Renato Nhaga scoring one goal apiece.

Vitória de Guimarães have won in back-to-back Primeira Liga away outings. In their previous league game, they were beaten 4-1 at home to Sporting CP at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques. Luis Pinto's team had six shots on goal and 43% possession, while Telmo Arcanjo found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Estadio D. Afonso Henriques, with Vitória claiming the home win. Beating Casa Pia by a 1-0 scoreline. In the 6 previous H2H meetings, there have been three draws, two Casa Pia triumphs and a win for Vitória.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Vitória	26	9	5	12	29	39	-10	29:39	32
15	Casa Pia	25	5	9	11	26	44	-18	26:44	24

View Full Table

Casa Pia have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Geese have averaged 47.6% possession, 354.0 passes and 4.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.1 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 5.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Jeremy Livolant has found the net 3 times, Renato Nhaga 2, with Gaizka Larrazabal and two other players on 1. Jeremy Livolant and Gaizka Larrazabal have racked up the most assists with 2 each.

Vitória have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 12.9 attempts, 3.8 shots on goal and 1.0 goals. The Guimarães club average 47.9% possession, 363.1 passes, 5.0 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts.

Oumar Camara has scored 3 goals, followed by Telmo Arcanjo, Nelson Oliveira, Oscar Rivas and Beni on 1. Diogo Sousa, Rodrigo Abascal and Goncalo Nogueira have all made 1 assists in the last 10 games, while Juan Diego Castillo has 4 clean sheets.

Confirmed Lineups

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Jose Fonte, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Yassin Oukili, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Jeremy Livolant.

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Juan Diego Castillo (GK), Maga, Miguel Nobrega, Rodrigo Abascal, Orest Lebedenko, Goncalo Nogueira, Matija Mitrovic, Telmo Arcanjo, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Oumar Camara.

Casa Pia vs Vitória Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve lined up expert Casa Pia vs Vitória betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to corners betting insight, best player prop picks and bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Vitória look like a quality wager and we’re expecting them to land the honours. There is a price of +132 that they win this Primeira Liga encounter and this selection looks like value.

We’re always focused on the Primeira Liga form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Casa Pia vs Vitória league stats:

• Vitória have won 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Vitória have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Casa Pia have lost 6 of their last 10 games at home.

The best betting sites make it a 43.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 50%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking to bet Vitória at a larger price than the Full-Time Result market? Contemplate Double Result where you can bet them at attractive odds to be in front at the interval and full-time.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória To Win @ +132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 26, 17:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Casa Pia 0 - 1 Vitória

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing Vitória to win 1-0. We can’t pass up the odds of +460 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Óscar Rivas To Score +900

Óscar Rivas (Vitória) can be backed at +900 to find the net. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Óscar Rivas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+1800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -152

The past five away games featuring Vitória have seen 7.80 corners on average, with seven of the previous ten Casa Pia home matches involving under 9.5 Total Corners. There’s the opportunity to go under the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -152 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Casa Pia

Total

9.90 4.60 5.30

Home

8.70 3.70 5.00

Away

10.00 3.80 6.20

Vitória

Total

9.20 5.00 4.20

Home

9.70 6.30 3.40

Away

8.40 4.10 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+104

Under 9.5

-152

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+107

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-135

Under 4.5

-105

Most Corners

1

+138

X

+650

2

-137

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Casa Pia vs Vitória Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you want to back Casa Pia to win this Primeira Liga clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +195 on the 1x2 market. Vitória de Guimarães are available at betting odds of +140 and the draw is +205.

Vitória are -100 at -0.25 on the Asian Handicap and this gives you a half stake refund in the event of a draw. However, you get a full payout on your wager if they manage to beat Casa Pia.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -149.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

+195

X

+205

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+102

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-208

12

-313

X2

-303

Draw No Bet

1

+104

2

-147

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-143

2 Hcp -0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-204

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+106

No

-149

Gustavo da Silva Cunha is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +600 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +310.

Gustavo da Silva Cunha (Vitória)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Yassin Oukili (Casa Pia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Telmo Arcanjo (Vitória)

First

+540

Anytime

+1000

Benedito Mukendi (Vitória)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Tony Strata (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Miguel Sousa (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Óscar Rivas (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Miguel Angelo Magalhaes (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Abascal (Vitória)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Duplexe Tchamba (Casa Pia)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Casa Pia haven’t tasted victory in seven consecutive matches at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Lisbon side have managed six losses, three draws and one victory in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Vitória have secured five wins and five defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 1.20.

It was a 1-1 draw when Casa Pia last faced Vitória at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Casa Pia Home Stats		1-3-6	3.00	1.00	2.00	4	6	6	4
Vitória Away Stats		5-0-5	1.90	0.70	1.20	2	8	1	9

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Casa Pia vs Vitória Lineups & Team News

Check the Casa Pia vs Vitória team news before you place your bets. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.

Casa Pia Team Page Vitória de Guimarães Team Page

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