Castellón vs Málaga Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Dec 2024

We’re Predicting Under 2.5 Goals

We’re not expecting the net to bulge on too many occasions when Castellón clash with Málaga. On this basis, we’re wagering Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market and this pick is available at -125.

Málaga Won Previous H2H Clash

Castellón played Racing de Ferrol at home in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Estadio Skyfi Castalia. Los Albinegros dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded eight shots on target.

Málaga lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 4-2 defeat against Levante at Estadio Ciudad de Valencia. The Andalusia side had 53% possession and four shots on goal, while David Larrubia and Dani Lorenzo were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Málaga claim a 3-0 win over Castellón at Estadio La Rosaleda.

La Liga 2		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Castellón	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	Málaga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Castellón have had 55.9% possession and 5.8 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 11.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.

Raul Sanchez and Israel Suero are the leading goalscorers with 4, while Kenneth Obinna Mamah has 3. Alex Calatrava has made the most assists with 5.

Málaga have 2 victories, 2 defeats and 6 draws, with an average of 8.7 attempts, 4.0 shots on goal and 0.6 goals. Sergio Pellicer's team average 51.3% possession, 4.2 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 6.4 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

David Larrubia is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Dani Lorenzo, Nelson Monte, Dioni and Sergio Castel have 1. Jokin Gabilondo and Kevin Villodres have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Castellón confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Gonzalo Crettaz (GK), Salva Ruiz, Alberto Jimenez, Jetro Willems, Alex Calatrava, Thomas van den Belt, Sergio Moyita, Kenneth Obinna Mamah, Douglas Aurelio, Raul Sanchez, Brian Cipenga.

Málaga confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alfonso Herrero (GK), Carlos Puga, Alex Pastor, Nelson Monte, Victor, David Larrubia, Luismi, Manu Molina, Julen Lobete, Sergio Castel, Yanis Rahmani.

Castellón vs Málaga Prediction & Betting Tips

The stats suggest that we’ll see a low-scoring La Liga 2 encounter, with a combined goal count of two or less looking the way forward. Land odds of -125 for Under 2.5 Goals.

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Castellón vs Málaga league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Castellón games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 Castellón games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Castellón games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Málaga games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Málaga games.

Under 2.5 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

A Bet Builder provides a refreshing option if you want a bigger price for your Under 2.5 Goals wager. Combine this pick with others, with bettors needing all legs to win.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -125 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Castellón 1 - 0 Málaga

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Castellón winning 1-0. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Castellón vs Málaga Odds

The Castellón betting odds have been priced up by the bookies and they are -141 favourites to land victory in this La Liga 2 encounter which means a 58% chance of winning. Málaga are regarded as the least likely winner at +330.

If you’re betting on Total Goals, the market are finding it hard to split Unders and Overs.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the La Liga 2 coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+275

2

+330

Half-Time Result

1

+123

X

+140

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-385

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-303

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-105

2 Hcp +0.75

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+125

Over 2.5

-179

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+125

Castellón vs Málaga Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Castellón vs Málaga team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the La Liga 2 squads.

Castellón Team Page Málaga Team Page