Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Fourth-placed Chelsea go head-to-head with third-placed Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 27 December.

It stands to reason that Chelsea and Aston Villa can both find the net and that leads us to a BTTS Yes wager. The fact that you can secure -161 for this outcome means a nice return if the bet lands.

Confident in our BTTS Yes prediction? Use the updated BetMGM promo code and explore our in-depth expert review before placing your bet.

Chelsea drew away from home in their last game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Newcastle United at St James' Park. Enzo Maresca's team enjoyed 53% possession and had four shots on target, with Reece James and Joao Pedro each scoring one goal.

Aston Villa claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 triumph against Manchester United at Villa Park made it seven straight Premier League wins. The Villans recorded four shots on goal and had 43% possession, with Morgan Rogers scoring twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Villa overcame Chelsea at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Villa Park. The previous 10 H2H matches have included four wins for Chelsea, three victories for Villa along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Aston Villa	17	11	3	3	27	18	9	27:18	36
4	Chelsea	17	8	5	4	29	17	12	29:17	29

View Full Table

Chelsea have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. The Blues have averaged 57.4% possession, 504.5 passes and 4.8 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 0.8 goals from 3.0 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 3.9 corners.

Top scorer Pedro Neto has found the net 4 times, Joao Pedro 3, with Reece James and Malo Gusto both scoring 2. Leading assistor is Pedro Neto with 3, while goalie Robert Sanchez has recorded 6 clean sheets.

Villa have 9 victories and 1 defeat, with an average of 4.9 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 2.1 goals. The Birmingham club average 49.1% possession, 405.4 passes, 4.8 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 13.4 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.

Morgan Rogers has landed 7 goals, Emiliano Buendia 3, with Matty Cash and two others scoring 2. John McGinn, Youri Tielemans and Lucas Digne have clocked up 2 assists, with Emiliano Martinez keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.

Aston Villa predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Victor Nilsson Lindeloef, Ian Maatsen, Boubacar Kamara, Amadou Onana, John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Ollie Watkins.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the key Chelsea vs Aston Villa betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best corners pick, correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

The stats suggest that we’ll see both teams finding the net, with this Premier League clash set to feature goals. We find the odds of -161 attractive when it comes to the BTTS Yes option.

In order to come up with the best football predictions, we like to know the Premier League team news and study the latest form. There are also plenty of numbers to crunch from the available stats.

Key Chelsea vs Aston Villa league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Chelsea games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Villa games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Villa games.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 61.7% chance of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

One way of boosting your BTTS Yes pick is by going down the Bet Builder route. This involves trying to find other winning selections and getting a bigger price as a result.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -161 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 1 - 1 Aston Villa

We think there’s a chance of a 1-1 draw and this can be backed at odds of +550. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Morgan Rogers Over 0.5 Shots On Target -141

Morgan Rogers (Villa) has bagged a minimum of one shot on goal in three straight Premier League matches. He certainly looks capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -141 are currently on offer.

Latest Morgan Rogers Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-123

Shots

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

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Ollie Watkins to Score +190

Ollie Watkins (Villa) has managed two goals in his past ten Premier League games. There are odds of +190 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Ollie Watkins Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-111

Shots

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Chelsea Under 5.5 Corners -109

Chelsea have had under 5.5 corners in five consecutive matches, with Aston Villa conceding under 5.5 corners in the previous six games. There are odds of -109 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see the Blues fall short of the line here.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

8.70 4.80 3.90

Home

10.00 6.50 3.50

Away

9.30 4.20 5.10

Aston Villa

Total

9.40 4.80 4.60

Home

10.20 5.60 4.60

Away

9.40 4.20 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

Chelsea Corners

Over 5.5

-137

Under 5.5

-104

Aston Villa Corners

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+700

2

+200

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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Chelsea as -114 favourites for this Premier League encounter, with the 1x2 odds suggesting that the West London side are 53% likely to triumph. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +295 for Aston Villa.

If you’re feeling confident of a win for Chelsea, the Asian Handicap -0.5 option is priced at -115. You might instead think that Villa +0.5 at -108 is more appealing and the draw is included here.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. The Yes pick in the Both Teams to Score market is considered to be the most likely result and it’s trading at -161.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Premier League matches, with the recommended football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-114

X

+275

2

+295

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+138

2

+295

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-370

X2

-111

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-115

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+114

Over 2.5

-143

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-161

No

+123

Favourite Cole Palmer is priced at +450 to be the first player on the scoresheet, while there’s also the chance to back him to score any time at odds of +160.

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+170

Anytime

+475

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+300

Anytime

+850

Donyell Malen (Villa)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

First

+330

Anytime

+950

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+525

Anytime

+1500

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

John McGinn (Villa)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+600

Anytime

+1700

Jadon Sancho (Villa)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Matty Cash (Villa)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+115

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-105

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-111

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

-123

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-143

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-152

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-156

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-161

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-179

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-182

Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-227

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-278

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-400

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

John McGinn (Villa)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Matty Cash (Villa)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+116

Under 2.5

-

Ollie Watkins (Villa)

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-213

Under 1.5

-

Morgan Rogers (Villa)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Donyell Malen (Villa)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Buendía (Villa)

Over 1.5

+130

Under 1.5

-

Youri Tielemans (Villa)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Ian Maatsen (Villa)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Chelsea have swerved defeat at Stamford Bridge in the previous four matches. Enzo Maresca's team have managed seven victories, two losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Aston Villa have won each of their last three games on the road. The Villans have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The most recent Stamford Bridge meeting saw Chelsea claim a 3-0 win over Villa. The past 8 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge have resulted in three Chelsea wins, three draws and two Villa successes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		7-1-2	2.90	2.10	0.80	6	4	5	5
Aston Villa Away Stats		5-2-3	2.60	1.30	1.30	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Chelsea vs Villa team news before wagering. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Chelsea Team Page Aston Villa Team Page

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