Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Burnley

Fifth-placed Chelsea welcome second-from-bottom Burnley to Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 21 February.

Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both Chelsea and Burnley to find the net. You can get odds of -106 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.

Like the look of our BTTS Yes prediction? Claim the best BetMGM promo code and check out our expert site review before wagering.

Chelsea had a 2-2 draw in their last Premier League game. This was at home to Leeds United at Stamford Bridge. The Blues enjoyed 66% possession and managed four shots on target, with Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer scoring one goal each.

In their previous showing, Chelsea beat Championship side Hull City 4-0 away in the FA Cup.

Burnley got the win in their previous Premier League game. It was on their travels where Crystal Palace were beaten 3-2 at Selhurst Park. Scott Parker's men recorded just 36% possession and had three shots on goal, while Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony and Jefferson Lerma (own goal) were all on target.

The last outing involving Burnley saw them lose 2-1 when hosting League One club Mansfield Town in the FA Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Chelsea haven’t lost to Burnley in their past ten games. Their last encounter saw Chelsea enjoy a 2-0 away victory at Turf Moor. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Chelsea wins along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Chelsea	26	12	8	6	47	30	17	47:30	44
19	Burnley	26	4	6	16	28	51	-23	28:51	18

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Chelsea have had 57.6% possession, 546.1 passes and 6.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer lead the way with 6 goals, while Enzo Fernandez has scored 4. Cole Palmer, Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has kept one clean sheet.

Burnley have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, with an average of 2.2 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 1.0 goals. The Lancashire team average 42.3% possession, 377.9 passes, 3.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 18.4 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal.

Jaidon Anthony has scored 2 goals, followed by Hannibal Mejbri, Axel Tuanzebe, Lyle Foster and Marcus Edwards on 1. Marcus Edwards is top assists provider with 3, while Martin Dubravka has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Josh Acheampong, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Estevao, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Joao Pedro.

Burnley predicted lineup (4-4-2): Martin Dubravka (GK), Josh Laurent, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Hannibal Mejbri, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -106 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why the teams won’t find the net in this Premier League match.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Premier League stats.

Key Chelsea vs Burnley league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Burnley games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 10 of the last 13 Burnley games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to deviate slightly from BTTS Yes, Over 2.5 Goals is a viable option. You need a minimum of three goals to be scored but it doesn’t matter which team finds the net.

Make your next bet count. Discover the best betting offers, including generous welcome bonuses and free bets.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -106 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 2 - 1 Burnley

Chelsea are available at +700 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 1.5 Shots +125

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has totalled over 1.5 shots in his past two Premier League matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +125 available.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+500

First

+1500

Shots

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

---

Cole Palmer to Score +102

Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has found the net in his past two Premier League matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +102 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Cole Palmer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+102

First

+320

Shots

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -137

We’ve not seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered in eight straight Burnley matches. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.60 6.00 4.60

Home

10.40 6.70 3.70

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Burnley

Total

7.70 3.00 4.70

Home

8.10 3.40 4.70

Away

9.60 3.80 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+104

Chelsea Corners

Over 6.5

-143

Under 6.5

-100

Burnley Corners

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-625

X

+950

2

+500

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 81% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -417 odds about Chelsea coming out on top in this Premier League encounter. Burnley are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1100.

Chelsea can be backed at -115 on the -1.75 Asian Handicap. There’s a payout if they claim a victory by three or more against Burnley, with a half stake payout and half stake refund if the favourites oblige by two.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

The top football betting sites cover Premier League matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-417

X

+525

2

+1100

Half-Time Result

1

-161

X

+188

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-833

X2

+285

Draw No Bet

1

-1667

2

+650

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.75

-115

2 Hcp +1.75

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+160

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-106

No

-123

Cole Palmer is the First Goalscorer favourite at +320. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +102.

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

+102

Anytime

+320

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

+105

Anytime

+320

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+165

Anytime

+525

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+175

Anytime

+475

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+220

Anytime

+600

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+250

Anytime

+700

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+420

Anytime

+1200

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

First

+550

Anytime

+1700

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+600

Anytime

+1800

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Josh Acheampong (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Benoît Badiashile (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Mamadou Sarr (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+128

Under 3.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Mamadou Sarr (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-

Chelsea have not tasted defeat at Stamford Bridge in four straight matches. The Blues have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Burnley have clocked up six losses, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

Chelsea were involved in a 2-2 draw when last meeting Burnley at Stamford Bridge. The past 5 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge have resulted in two Chelsea triumphs and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		5-3-2	3.10	1.90	1.20	6	4	6	4
Burnley Away Stats		2-2-6	3.40	1.30	2.10	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Chelsea vs Burnley team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest injury reports.

Chelsea Team Page Burnley Team Page

Top Football Pages