Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Burnley

Fifth-placed Chelsea welcome second-from-bottom Burnley to Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 21 February.

Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both Chelsea and Burnley to find the net. You can get odds of -106 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.

Chelsea had a 2-2 draw in their last Premier League game. This was at home to Leeds United at Stamford Bridge. The Blues enjoyed 66% possession and managed four shots on target, with Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer scoring one goal each.

In their previous showing, Chelsea beat Championship side Hull City 4-0 away in the FA Cup.

Burnley got the win in their previous Premier League game. It was on their travels where Crystal Palace were beaten 3-2 at Selhurst Park. Scott Parker's men recorded just 36% possession and had three shots on goal, while Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony and Jefferson Lerma (own goal) were all on target.

The last outing involving Burnley saw them lose 2-1 when hosting League One club Mansfield Town in the FA Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Chelsea haven’t lost to Burnley in their past ten games. Their last encounter saw Chelsea enjoy a 2-0 away victory at Turf Moor. The past 10 H2H matches have included seven Chelsea wins along with three draws.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Chelsea	37	14	10	13	57	50	7	57:50	52
19	Burnley	37	4	9	24	37	74	-37	37:74	21

View Full Table

4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Chelsea have had 57.6% possession, 546.1 passes and 6.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.5 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.6 corners.

Joao Pedro and Cole Palmer lead the way with 6 goals, while Enzo Fernandez has scored 4. Cole Palmer, Marc Cucurella and Wesley Fofana are top assists makers with 1, while goalkeeper Robert Sanchez has kept one clean sheet.

Burnley have won 1, lost 4 and drawn 5, with an average of 2.2 shots on goal, 9.5 attempts and 1.0 goals. The Lancashire team average 42.3% possession, 377.9 passes, 3.0 corners awarded and 4.7 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 18.4 attempts and 6.4 shots on goal.

Jaidon Anthony has scored 2 goals, followed by Hannibal Mejbri, Axel Tuanzebe, Lyle Foster and Marcus Edwards on 1. Marcus Edwards is top assists provider with 3, while Martin Dubravka has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Chelsea confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Reece James, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Malo Gusto, Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Joao Pedro.

Burnley confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Josh Laurent, Lesley Ugochukwu, Hannibal Mejbri, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.

Chelsea vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

The betting sites might have been too generous with their odds of -106 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection. We can’t see any reason why the teams won’t find the net in this Premier League match.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest Premier League stats.

Key Chelsea vs Burnley league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 4 straight Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Chelsea games.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Burnley games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 10 of the last 13 Burnley games on the road.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 51.5% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to deviate slightly from BTTS Yes, Over 2.5 Goals is a viable option. You need a minimum of three goals to be scored but it doesn’t matter which team finds the net.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 16:29). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Chelsea 2 - 1 Burnley

The Blues are available at +750 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaidon Anthony Over 1.5 Shots +125

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has totalled over 1.5 shots in his past two Premier League matches. We think it’s achievable that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of +125 available.

Latest Jaidon Anthony Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1600

Shots

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

---

Cole Palmer to Score +102

Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has found the net in his past two Premier League matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +102 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Cole Palmer Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-115

First

+290

Shots

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -137

We’ve not seen the 10.5 Total Corners line covered in eight straight Burnley matches. We’re going to wager on the teams to fall short for Total Corners and this selection is available at -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Chelsea

Total

10.60 6.00 4.60

Home

10.40 6.70 3.70

Away

8.80 4.40 4.40

Burnley

Total

7.70 3.00 4.70

Home

8.10 3.40 4.70

Away

9.60 3.80 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-106

Under 10.5

-133

Chelsea Corners

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-143

Burnley Corners

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-102

Most Corners

1

-667

X

+1000

2

+525

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Chelsea vs Burnley Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a proposed 83% probability of securing a victory, the bookmakers are taking few risks with their -500 odds about Chelsea coming out on top in this Premier League encounter. Burnley are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +1300.

Chelsea beating Burnley by three or more goals means a payout on the Asian Handicap -2 at -102. However, you also have insurance with this wager if they’re able to win by exactly two.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

The top football betting sites cover Premier League matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-500

X

+600

2

+1300

Half-Time Result

1

-172

X

+195

2

+750

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-1000

X2

+325

Draw No Bet

1

-2000

2

+750

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2

-102

2 Hcp +2

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+180

Over 2.5

-233

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-108

No

-123

Cole Palmer is the First Goalscorer favourite at +290. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -115.

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

First

-115

Anytime

+290

João Pedro (Chelsea)

First

-105

Anytime

+300

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

First

+160

Anytime

+525

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

First

+165

Anytime

+460

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

First

+195

Anytime

+525

Marc Guiu (Chelsea)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

First

+230

Anytime

+650

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Reece James (Chelsea)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

First

+430

Anytime

+1300

Ashley Barnes (Burnley)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

First

+475

Anytime

+1400

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1600

Armando Broja (Burnley)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Tosin Adarabioyo (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Mamadou Sarr (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Josh Acheampong (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Marc Cucurella (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Benoît Badiashile (Chelsea)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

João Pedro (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Cole Palmer (Chelsea)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

-

Enzo Fernández (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-

Liam Delap (Chelsea)

Over 2.5

-122

Under 2.5

-

Zian Flemming (Burnley)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Marcus Edwards (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Armando Broja (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Lyle Foster (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Pedro Neto (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Chelsea)

Over 1.5

-263

Under 1.5

-

Reece James (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

-

Andrey Nascimento dos Santos (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Malo Gusto (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Tosin Adarabioyo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Jorrel Hato (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Wesley Fofana (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Mamadou Sarr (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Moisés Caicedo (Chelsea)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

-

Loum Tchaouna (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Bruun Larsen (Burnley)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Stats: Premier League matches only
Chelsea have not tasted defeat at Stamford Bridge in four straight matches. The Blues have five victories, three draws and two defeats in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Burnley have clocked up six losses, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

Chelsea were involved in a 2-2 draw when last meeting Burnley at Stamford Bridge. The past 5 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge have resulted in two Chelsea triumphs and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Chelsea Home Stats		5-3-2	3.10	1.90	1.20	6	4	6	4
Burnley Away Stats		2-2-6	3.40	1.30	2.10	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Chelsea vs Burnley Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Chelsea vs Burnley team news before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest injury reports.

Chelsea Team Page Burnley Team Page

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