Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Chelsea vs Newcastle
Chelsea meet Newcastle at Stamford Bridge, with kick-off set for 13:30 on Saturday 14 March.
There’s a strong case for siding with Chelsea when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Newcastle and odds of -130 are attractive.
Chelsea triumphed in their last Premier League game which was away from home. Aston Villa were beaten 4-1 at Villa Park. The Blues boasted 58% possession and recorded eight shots on target, with Joao Pedro scoring a hat-trick and Cole Palmer also among the goals.
Three days ago, Chelsea were beaten 5-2 away to Paris Saint-Germain in the Champions League.
Newcastle United secured a 2-1 home win over Manchester United at St James' Park in their previous Premier League game. Eddie Howe's team recorded five shots on goal and had 45% possession, while Anthony Gordon and William Osula were on the scoresheet.
On Tuesday night, Newcastle played out a 1-1 draw when facing Barcelona at home in the Champions League.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Newcastle boast an unbeaten record in the past three matches against Chelsea, with the last encounter ending 2-2 at St James' Park. The previous 10 H2H meetings have ended in four Newcastle victories, three draws and three Chelsea wins.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea |
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 53:34 | 48 |
| 12 | Newcastle |
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 42:43 | 39 |
Chelsea have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal. The West London outfit have averaged 57.7% possession, 557.2 passes and 6.5 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.3 corners from 11.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Top goalscorer is Joao Pedro on 8 goals, while Cole Palmer has bagged 6 and Enzo Fernandez 3. Joao Pedro and Enzo Fernandez are tied for the most assists on 2, with goalie Robert Sanchez managing one clean sheet.
Newcastle have won 4, lost 5 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.9 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 1.6 goals. The Magpies average 55.1% possession, 7.5 corners taken and 4.2 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 12.7 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Bruno Guimaraes has scored 3 goals, followed by Anthony Gordon, Jacob Ramsey, Malick Thiaw and Harvey Barnes on 2. Bruno Guimaraes is top assists provider with 2, while Nick Pope has kept 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Filip Joergensen (GK), Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Jorrel Hato, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Cole Palmer, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Daniel Burn, Lewis Hall, Yoane Wissa, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes.
Chelsea vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips
This Chelsea vs Newcastle betting breakdown features a main match prediction, a correct score insight, expert player prop picks, corners analysis and a sharply constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.
Match Prediction
Chelsea look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -130 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Premier League clash.
We only create the football betting tips after consulting the latest Premier League team news along with the form of both sides. There are also stats that can be mined to good effect to come up with predictions.
Key Chelsea vs Newcastle league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 56.5% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing Chelsea. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’re betting on Chelsea to secure a 2-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +800 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.
Player Prop Picks
Cole Palmer (Chelsea) has covered the 2.5 shots total in three consecutive Premier League games on home soil. There is odds of -143 on offer for this Player Shots wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) can be backed to be among the goals at +240. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 10.5 Total Corners line has been covered in three straight Chelsea matches, with the previous five Newcastle away games averaging 12.00 corners. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to covering the Total Corners line, with odds of -133 available.
Chelsea
Newcastle
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a bet builder with three options: Chelsea to win, no more than two goals to be scored along with over 10.5 corners to be awarded.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same football game, then a bet builder will suit your needs. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Chelsea vs Newcastle Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Chelsea are forecasted to have a 56% chance of triumphing in this Premier League encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -130. Newcastle United are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +300.
Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting Chelsea -0.75 at -102 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Newcastle by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.
The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -213.
There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred bet when it comes to Premier League matches. The leading football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.
The First Goalscorer favourite is João Pedro at +360, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
Chelsea haven’t been beaten in five straight games at Stamford Bridge. The Blues have managed four victories, four draws and two losses in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.30.
Newcastle have collected six defeats, three wins and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
Chelsea won 2-1 when they last played Newcastle at Stamford Bridge. We’ve seen six of 8 H2H meetings at Stamford Bridge go the way of Chelsea, with two draws also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chelsea Home Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.00 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Newcastle Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 20/12 2025 Newcastle 2 Chelsea 2
- Premier League: 11/05 2025 Newcastle 2 Chelsea 0
- EFL Cup: 30/10 2024 Newcastle 2 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 27/10 2024 Chelsea 2 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 11/03 2024 Chelsea 3 Newcastle 2
- EFL Cup: 19/12 2023 Chelsea 5 Newcastle 3
- Premier League: 25/11 2023 Newcastle 4 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 28/05 2023 Chelsea 1 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 12/11 2022 Newcastle 1 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 13/03 2022 Chelsea 1 Newcastle 0
Chelsea League Stats
Newcastle League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.10 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Chelsea this season are Joao Pedro (14), Cole Palmer (9), Enzo Fernandez (8)
- Top Assistors for Chelsea this season are Joao Pedro (5), Alejandro Garnacho (4), Pedro Neto (4)
Chelsea vs Newcastle Lineups & Team News
Be smart with your bets — check the Chelsea vs Newcastle team news beforehand. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.
Chelsea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Chelsea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Liam Rosenior
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 67 |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Man United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 51:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 39:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 48 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40:43 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | 40 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | 38 |
| 14 | Brighton | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28:43 | 28 |
| 18 | West Ham | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35:54 | 28 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 36:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Man United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Fulham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | 25 |
| 11 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | 24 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 14 | Everton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:19 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | 12 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 20 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
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