Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Burnley vs Bournemouth
Second-from-bottom Burnley meet Bournemouth at Turf Moor, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 14 March.
We’re fairly bullish about the chances of Bournemouth when they go up against Burnley. The visitors looks a value opportunity at -120 on the Full-Time Result market and we anticipate a return.
Burnley have suffered defeat in their last two Premier League games. Most recently, a 2-0 scoreline occurred away at Hill Dickinson Stadium against Everton. The Lancashire outfit had 44% possession and recorded two shots on target.
Bournemouth drew 0-0 in their previous game. This was at home against Brentford at Vitality Stadium. Andoni Iraola's team had 48% possession and managed two shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bournemouth have avoided defeat against Burnley in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Vitality Stadium. The past 8 H2H meetings have included four victories for Burnley, three wins for Bournemouth and a single draw.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bournemouth |
34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 52:52 | 49 |
| 19 | Burnley |
34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 68 | -34 | 34:68 | 20 |
Burnley have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts. Scott Parker's side have averaged 40.3% possession, 367.7 passes and 2.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 2.1 goals from 6.2 shots on goal, 17.3 attempts and 5.6 corners.
Jaidon Anthony is the top goalscorer with 3, Zian Flemming has 2, with Hannibal Mejbri and two other players on 1. The leading assistors are Hannibal Mejbri and Marcus Edwards with 2.
Bournemouth have 4 victories, 1 defeat and 5 draws, averaging 4.2 shots on goal, 13.2 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Cherries average 46.8% possession, 383.4 passes, 5.4 corners awarded and 6.5 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 13.2 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.
Evanilson is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, Eli Junior Kroupi has 3, with Amine Adli and Rayan both on 2. James Hill has been chief assist maker on 3, with Djordje Petrovic recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Burnley confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Bashir Humphreys, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Laurent, James Ward-Prowse, Lyle Foster, Hannibal Mejbri, Jaidon Anthony, Zian Flemming.
Bournemouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic (GK), Adam Smith, James Hill, Marcos Senesi, Adrien Truffert, Ryan Christie, Alex Scott, Marcus Tavernier, Eli Junior Kroupi, Rayan, Evanilson.
Burnley vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips
Get ready for Burnley vs Bournemouth with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.
Match Prediction
We can’t pass up the chance to land value on Bournemouth who are available at odds of -120. It looks like an attractive price when it comes to this pick and the visitors can win this Premier League encounter.
The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Premier League stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.
Key Burnley vs Bournemouth league stats:
According to the latest odds, there’s a 54.6% likelihood of our pick winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
If you’re expecting Bournemouth to triumph and achieve a shut-out, there is the chance to bet them to win + Both Teams to Score No at larger odds than the Full-Time Result pick.
Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Bournemouth. You can secure odds of +750 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.
Player Prop Picks
Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) has had over 1.5 shots in four consecutive Premier League home games. He should be capable of covering the line when it comes to this player prop and odds of -132 are now available.
Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) can be wagered to score at +260. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The past five Burnley home games have averaged 7.60 corners, while the last two Bournemouth matches have seen under 10.5 corners. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at -143.
Burnley
Bournemouth
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a same-game multi with the picks of Bournemouth to come out on top, less than three goals in total combined with Jaidon Anthony (Burnley) to record Over 1.5 shots.
Placing a bet builder offers a great option for football punters who are looking to focus specifically on one match. Many bettors like to create a personalised bet which reflects their predictions for how a game is going to play out.
Burnley vs Bournemouth Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
Bournemouth are the -132 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 57% chance of winning this Premier League encounter according to the latest betting odds. Burnley are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +335.
Bournemouth -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -104 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Burnley. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.
The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -172 on the Both Teams to Score market.
The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Premier League matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.
Eli Junior Kroupi is the First Goalscorer favourite at +430. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at +150.
It’s now been three consecutive Burnley losses at Turf Moor. The Lancashire outfit have recorded six losses, three draws and one win in the previous 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 2.00.
Bournemouth are unbeaten over their previous five games on the road. Andoni Iraola's team have managed four draws, four losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.20.
Bournemouth enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Burnley at Turf Moor. In the past 3 H2H meetings at Turf Moor, we have seen two Bournemouth wins and one Burnley victory.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Burnley Home Stats |
1-3-6 | 3.60 | 1.60 | 2.00 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
Bournemouth Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 3.70 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 20/12 2025 Bournemouth 1 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 03/03 2024 Burnley 0 Bournemouth 2
- Premier League: 28/10 2023 Bournemouth 2 Burnley 1
- FA Cup: 07/01 2023 Bournemouth 2 Burnley 4
- FA Cup: 09/02 2021 Burnley 0 Bournemouth 2
- Premier League: 22/02 2020 Burnley 3 Bournemouth 0
- Premier League: 21/12 2019 Bournemouth 0 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 06/04 2019 Bournemouth 1 Burnley 3
Burnley League Stats
Bournemouth League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 6.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.80 corners awarded and 7.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 40.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 46.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Burnley this season are Jaidon Anthony (7), Zian Flemming (7), Lesley Ugochukwu (3)
- Top Assistors for Burnley this season are Quilindschy Hartman (4), Hannibal Mejbri (3), Marcus Edwards (3)
Burnley vs Bournemouth Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Burnley vs Bournemouth team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bournemouth Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Bournemouth Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Burnley Substitutes
- 4Joe Worrall
- 8Lesley Ugochukwu
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 13Max Weiss
- 16Florentino
- 17Loum Tchaouna
- 23Lucas Pires
- 27Armando Broja
- 35Ashley Barnes
Bournemouth Substitutes
- 7David Brooks
- 11Ben Gannon Doak
- 18Bafode Diakite
- 20Alex Jimenez
- 21Amine Adli
- 26Enes Unal
- 27Alex Toth
- 29Christos Mandas
- 44Veljko Milosavljevic
Previous Burnley Lineups
Previous Bournemouth Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Scott Parker
Bournemouth Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 64:26 | 73 |
| 2 | Man City | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 70 |
| 3 | Man United | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 58:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 58 |
| 6 | Brighton | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 48:39 | 50 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 49 |
| 8 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 48 |
| 9 | Brentford | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 48:44 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44:46 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 36:45 | 46 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | 43 |
| 14 | Newcastle | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 46:50 | 42 |
| 15 | Leeds | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 44:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:58 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley | 34 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 34:68 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 24:62 | 17 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 38:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 17 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 27:18 | 35 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 32:18 | 34 |
| 5 | Man United | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 31:19 | 33 |
| 6 | Fulham | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 28:19 | 32 |
| 7 | Brighton | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 27:17 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 9 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 28:19 | 28 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 25:19 | 27 |
| 11 | Leeds | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:20 | 26 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 14 | Everton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 20 |
| 16 | West Ham | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | 19 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 17:32 | 12 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20:30 | 11 |
| 20 | Burnley | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
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