Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
Liga 1 Betting Preview: Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos host Melgar in this Peruvian Liga 1 fixture, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.
We’re Not Expecting the Net to Bulge Regularly
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -143 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think Comerciantes Unidos and Melgar will serve up a goalfest.
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1-1 Draw in Pair’s Last Encounter
Comerciantes Unidos lost on the road in their last game. Alianza Lima won 4-0.
Melgar claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 6-1 win occurred against Los Chankas.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Melgar have not lost to Comerciantes in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two draws and one Melgar victory.
| Liga 1 | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Melgar |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 9 | Comerciantes |
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 17:21 | 22 |
Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar Prediction & Betting Tips
We cover the essential Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
We can’t resist the opportunity to wager Under 2.5 Goals at a price of -143. This looks like an appealing wager, with the sides set to play out an unexciting Liga 1 clash.
The Liga 1 form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide expert football betting tips, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.
Key Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 58.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.
Those in search of a bigger price might consider combining the Under 2.5 Goals pick with a particular team to win. This is available through the Result & Total Goals market.
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Correct Score Prediction
There’s the option to wager on Melgar to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Odds of +450 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.
Player Prop Picks
José Ryu Yabiku Sánchez (Melgar) can be backed at +260 to find the net. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following bet builder: less than three goals, Melgar on the 1x2 combined with José Ryu Yabiku Sánchez (Melgar) to find the net at any time.
The bet builder feature allows football punters to place a multiple wager on the same game. The bookmakers provide this personalised betting facility where you select various picks and the odds are combined.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Have Melgar as Favourites
At betting odds of -125, the bookies make Melgar probable winners and there’s a 56% likelihood that the favourites triumph in this Liga 1 encounter. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +330 for Comerciantes Unidos.
The Asian Handicap -0.5 bet means you need your selection to simply win. Melgar are -128, although Comerciantes are +0.5 at -105 and you win with the latter if things end in a draw.
Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. The Both Teams to Score No wager is -128 and it’s perfect if you anticipate that one side or more will fail to score by the full-time whistle.
If you’re betting on Liga 1 matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.
Johnny Vidales Top of First Goalscorer List
Johnny Vidales is the market leader at +340 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Comerciantes Unidos League Stats
Melgar League Stats
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 1 defeat and 7 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Comerciantes Unidos this season are Matias Sen (7), Sebastian Gonzales (5), Leiner Escalante (2)
- Top Assistors for Comerciantes Unidos this season are Alexander Lecaros (3), Matias Sen (2), Paolo Mendez (2)
Comerciantes Unidos vs Melgar Lineups & Team News
Check the Comerciantes vs Melgar team news before you place your bets. We’ll deliver the confirmed Liga 1 lineups and the latest injury reports.
Previous Comerciantes Unidos Lineups
Previous Melgar Lineups
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 28:10 | 40 |
| 2 | Cusco | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 27:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20:21 | 25 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23:20 | 24 |
| 8 | Los Chankas | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 18:26 | 24 |
| 9 | Comerciantes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | 22 |
| 10 | ADT | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atlético | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14:12 | 20 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Atlético Grau | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18:22 | 16 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14:24 | 16 |
| 15 | Juan Pablo II | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | 14 |
| 17 | Alianza UDH | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 20:33 | 14 |
| 18 | UTC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:5 | 19 |
| 3 | Los Chankas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 17 |
| 5 | Melgar | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 6 | ADT | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 9 | Alianza Atlético | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | Atlético Grau | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 13 | Comerciantes | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 15 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 17 | Alianza UDH | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | UTC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:14 | 7 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
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