Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Cruz Azul vs Toluca

Cruz Azul host Toluca in this Liga MX match at Estadio Azteca, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Saturday 23 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

If you agree with our verdict that Cruz Azul can defeat Toluca, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -132 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Backing Cruz Azul to get the win? Don’t forget to grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our review before you place that bet.

Cruz Azul have enjoyed three consecutive Liga MX victories, most recently beating Santos Laguna 3-2. It was a home win at Estadio Azteca. The Mexico City club enjoyed 66% possession and managed eleven shots on target, while Carlos Rodriguez, Ignacio Rivero and Gabriel Fernandez scored one goal apiece.

Deportivo Toluca drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Nemesio Diez ended 1-1 against Pumas UNAM. Antonio Mohamed's side enjoyed 70% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Jesus Angulo was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cruz Azul have not lost to Toluca in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H meetings have yielded four wins apiece and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 12.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal. Cruz Azul have had 56.0% possession and 6.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 7.1 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.2 corners.

Angel Sepulveda is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Ignacio Rivero has 4 and Carlos Rodriguez 3. Leading assistor is Jose Paradela with 4.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 11.4 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 49.7% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts.

Alexis Vega and Paulinho have scored 4, followed by Helinho with 3. Alexis Vega has managed to clock up 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Cruz Azul confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Kevin Mier (GK), Willer Ditta, Jesus Orozco, Gonzalo Piovi, Jorge Sanchez, Erik Lira, Carlos Rodriguez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, Ignacio Rivero, Angel Sepulveda, Jose Paradela.

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Hugo Gonzalez (GK), Bruno Mendez, Antonio Briseno, Federico Pereira, Diego Barbosa, Marcel Ruiz, Hector Herrera, Jesus Gallardo, Jesus Angulo, Robert Morales, Alexis Vega.

Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Cruz Azul vs Toluca betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Cruz Azul look a great bet for this Liga MX game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -132 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Liga MX data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Cruz Azul vs Toluca league stats:

• Cruz Azul have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Cruz Azul have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Cruz Azul have won 3 consecutive games.

The best football betting sites make it a 56.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Those looking for tastier odds about a win for Cruz Azul can take a look at the Match Result & Total market. You can combine your match winner pick with an Under / Over goals prediction for more juice.

Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.

Our Match Prediction

Cruz Azul To Win @ -132 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Cruz Azul 3 - 1 Toluca

There are odds of +1000 available that Cruz Azul land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jose Ignacio Rivero Over 0.5 Shots On Target -120

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at -120. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Jose Ignacio Rivero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-118

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi to Score +480

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul) has managed two goals in his past nine Liga MX matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +480 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-233

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Cruz Azul Over 5.5 Corners -120

Cruz Azul have had a corner average of 9.00 in the past five games. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Cruz Azul Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -120 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cruz Azul

Total

9.60 6.40 3.20

Home

11.30 7.50 3.80

Away

9.60 4.30 5.30

Toluca

Total

8.40 4.60 3.80

Home

7.20 4.30 2.90

Away

10.00 4.80 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-115

Cruz Azul Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-154

X

+650

2

+165

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Cruz Azul vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have Cruz Azul at -115 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 53% chance of winning this Liga MX clash based on the betting odds. At +255, Deportivo Toluca are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There are different ways to bet on Cruz Azul including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -110, although Toluca +0.5 is a viable alternative at -112 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -200.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Liga MX matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

-115

X

+285

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+138

X

+138

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-417

12

-476

X2

-130

Draw No Bet

1

-227

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-110

2 Hcp +0.5

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+138

Over 2.5

-189

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-200

No

+135

Ángel Sepúlveda is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +400. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +155.

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

First

+155

Anytime

+400

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+205

Anytime

+525

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

First

+380

Anytime

+1000

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+145

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+102

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-102

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-118

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-149

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-217

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-227

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-233

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-385

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-417

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-435

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-500

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Jesús Gallardo (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-667

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-714

Cruz Azul are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Estadio Azteca. La Máquina Celeste have secured eight victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Toluca have avoided defeat in their last four away matches. Antonio Mohamed's side have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Cruz Azul drew 1-1 with Toluca in their last Estadio Azteca meeting. The past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Azteca have featured three triumphs for Cruz Azul, two for Toluca and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Cruz Azul Home Stats		8-2-0	2.80	2.00	0.80	6	4	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		6-2-2	3.10	2.00	1.10	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Cruz Azul vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Cruz Azul vs Toluca before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX along with the latest injury news.

Cruz Azul Team Page Toluca Team Page

Top Football Pages