Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Liga MX Betting Preview: Cruz Azul vs Toluca

Cruz Azul host Toluca in this Liga MX match at Estadio Azteca, with kick-off set for 23:00 on Saturday 23 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Confident Cruz Azul Can Seal the Win

If you agree with our verdict that Cruz Azul can defeat Toluca, then there’s the chance to get betting odds of -132 that this happens. We think that this price sticks out on the Full-Time Result market.

Backing Cruz Azul to get the win? Don’t forget to grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our review before you place that bet.

2-2 Draw in Last H2H

Cruz Azul have enjoyed three consecutive Liga MX victories, most recently beating Santos Laguna 3-2. It was a home win at Estadio Azteca. The Mexico City club enjoyed 66% possession and managed eleven shots on target, while Carlos Rodriguez, Ignacio Rivero and Gabriel Fernandez scored one goal apiece.

Deportivo Toluca drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Estadio Nemesio Diez ended 1-1 against Pumas UNAM. Antonio Mohamed's side enjoyed 70% possession and managed four shots on goal, while Jesus Angulo was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cruz Azul have not lost to Toluca in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 2-2 draw played out at Estadio Nemesio Diez. The previous 10 H2H meetings have yielded four wins apiece and two draws.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Cruz Azul	5	3	2	0	12	7	5	12:7	11
5	Toluca	5	3	1	1	13	8	5	13:8	10

View Full Table

6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 12.8 attempts and 6.3 shots on goal. Cruz Azul have had 56.0% possession and 6.4 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.4 goals from 7.1 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.2 corners.

Angel Sepulveda is the top scorer with 5 goals, while Ignacio Rivero has 4 and Carlos Rodriguez 3. Leading assistor is Jose Paradela with 4.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 11.4 attempts, 5.4 shots on goal and 2.1 goals. Los Diablos Rojos average 49.7% possession, 4.6 corners awarded and 3.8 corners against them, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 2.5 shots on goal and 6.3 attempts.

Alexis Vega and Paulinho have scored 4, followed by Helinho with 3. Alexis Vega has managed to clock up 5 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Cruz Azul predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Kevin Mier (GK), Willer Ditta, Erik Lira, Jesús Orozco, Mateusz Bogusz, Ignacio Rivero, Carlos Rodriguez, Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi, José Antonio Paradela, Lorenzo Faravelli, Angel Baltazar Sepulveda.

Toluca predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Luis García (GK), Diego Barbosa, Bruno Méndez, Federico Pereira, Jesús Gallardo, Marcel Ruíz, Franco Romero, Paulinho, Jesús Angulo, Juan Pablo Domínguez, Ernesto Alexis Vega.

Cruz Azul vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our Cruz Azul vs Toluca betting tips: a trusted match prediction, likely correct score outcome, corners market forecast, key player props and an expert-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

Cruz Azul look a great bet for this Liga MX game as we’re expecting them to win. You can get odds of -132 that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Liga MX data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Cruz Azul vs Toluca league stats:

• Cruz Azul have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Cruz Azul have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Cruz Azul have won 3 consecutive games.

Cruz Azul to Win Probability

The best football betting sites make it a 56.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Those looking for tastier odds about a win for Cruz Azul can take a look at the Match Result & Total market. You can combine your match winner pick with an Under / Over goals prediction for more juice.

Top up your wagering strategy by unlocking the top betting offers including free bets, promos, and sign-up deals.

Our Match Prediction

Cruz Azul To Win @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cruz Azul 3 - 1 Toluca

There are odds of +1000 available that Cruz Azul land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Jose Ignacio Rivero Over 0.5 Shots On Target -120

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul) is available to finish with one or more shots on goal at -120. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Jose Ignacio Rivero Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-118

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Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi to Score +480

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul) has managed two goals in his past nine Liga MX matches. We think this is the pick of the player props, with a generous +480 available when it comes to backing him to score at any time.

Latest Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1200

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-244

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Corners Prediction

Cruz Azul Over 5.5 Corners -120

Cruz Azul have had a corner average of 9.00 in the past five games. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Cruz Azul Team Corners line being covered, with odds of -120 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cruz Azul

Total

9.60 6.40 3.20

Home

11.30 7.50 3.80

Away

9.60 4.30 5.30

Toluca

Total

8.40 4.60 3.80

Home

7.20 4.30 2.90

Away

10.00 4.80 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-110

Cruz Azul Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Toluca Corners

Over 3.5

-120

Under 3.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-167

X

+700

2

+180

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Cruz Azul vs Toluca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Cruz Azul Victory

The bookmakers have Cruz Azul at -130 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 56% chance of winning this Liga MX clash based on the betting odds. At +280, Deportivo Toluca are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

There are different ways to bet on Cruz Azul including the Asian Handicap -0.5 market. This option is -125, although Toluca +0.5 is a viable alternative at -100 and you can cheer on the draw with the latter.

There’s a high probability that Over 2.5 Goals will be netted according to the current prices. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -204.

The best betting apps always do a great job when it comes to Liga MX matches. They provide football bettors with hundreds of markets and you can cherry-pick the most attractive options.

Full-Time Result

1

-130

X

+300

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+145

2

+280

Double Chance

1X

-476

12

-526

X2

-114

Draw No Bet

1

-270

2

+180

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-125

2 Hcp +0.5

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-213

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+138

Ángel Sepúlveda Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Ángel Sepúlveda is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +420. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +150.

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

First

+150

Anytime

+420

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

First

+200

Anytime

+510

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

First

+215

Anytime

+600

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

First

+325

Anytime

+800

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Robert Morales (Toluca)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

First

+510

Anytime

+1400

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

First

+550

Anytime

+1400

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Franco Romero (Toluca)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Ángel Sepúlveda (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+170

João Paulo Fernandes "Paulinho" (Toluca)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

José Paradela (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

+115

Gabriel Matías Fernández (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

+110

Jose Ignacio Rivero (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-118

Alexis Vega (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-152

Robert Morales (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Luka Romero (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-222

Carlos Rodolfo Rotondi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-244

Nicolas Castro (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-294

Carlos Rodriguez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-357

Lorenzo Faravelli (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-370

Fernando Arce (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-385

Juan Domínguez (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-400

Amaury García Moreno (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-417

Angel Marquez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-417

Gonzalo Piovi (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-500

Cristian Jiménez (Cruz Azul)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-556

Franco Romero (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-556

Luan Garcia Teixeira (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-625

Héctor Herrera (Toluca)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-667

Cruz Azul Bidding to Continue Unbeaten Home Run

Cruz Azul are unbeaten over their previous ten games at Estadio Azteca. La Máquina Celeste have secured eight victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Toluca have avoided defeat in their last four away matches. Antonio Mohamed's side have managed six victories, two draws and two losses in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.00 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Cruz Azul drew 1-1 with Toluca in their last Estadio Azteca meeting. The past 7 H2H meetings at Estadio Azteca have featured three triumphs for Cruz Azul, two for Toluca and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Cruz Azul Home Stats		8-2-0	2.80	2.00	0.80	6	4	6	4
Toluca Away Stats		6-2-2	3.10	2.00	1.10	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Cruz Azul vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Cruz Azul vs Toluca before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Liga MX along with the latest injury news.

Cruz Azul Team Page Toluca Team Page