Derby vs Hull Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Nov 2025
Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Hull
Derby take on Hull at Pride Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Tuesday 4 November. Our betting preview features expert Championship predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We’ll chance Hull +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Derby. A win delivers a payout at -125 although a draw would still land a return.
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Derby County have got the win in their last three games. Most recently, a 3-1 victory occurred on the road when meeting Sheffield United at Bramall Lane. John Eustace's side ended up with just 38% possession and had four shots on target, with Carlton Morris stealing the show with a hat-trick.
Hull City have triumphed in back-to-back Championship road games. The latest saw them beat Norwich City 2-0 at Carrow Road. The Tigers recorded 40% possession and totalled four shots on goal, while Joe Gelhardt and Darko Gyabi were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Derby have avoided defeat against Hull in the past five meetings. In their last clash, Derby claimed a 1-0 away victory at MKM Stadium. The past 7 H2H games have involved five Derby victories, a single draw and one Hull win.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hull |
15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 10 | Derby |
15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 20:19 | 23 |
4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts. Derby have had 41.5% possession and 4.3 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 0.8 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 6.0 corners.
Top goalscorer Carlton Morris has found the net 5 times, with David Ozoh, Patrick Agyemang, Matthew Clarke and Ben Brereton Diaz scoring 1 each. Patrick Agyemang is the top assists maker with 3.
Hull have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 11.9 attempts, 5.1 shots on goal and 1.9 goals. Sergej Jakirovic's team average 40.9% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 16.6 attempts.
Joe Gelhardt and Oli McBurnie have top scored with 5 goals, while Kyle Joseph is next on 2. Ryan Giles has been the top assist maker with 5 in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Derby confirmed lineup (3-4-2-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Sondre Langås, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Joe Ward, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Callum Elder, Ben Brereton Díaz, Patrick Agyemang, Carlton Morris.
Hull confirmed lineup (3-4-1-2): Ivor Pandur (GK), Semi Ajayi, John Egan, Charlie Hughes, Cody Drameh, Matt Crooks, Regan Slater, Ryan Giles, Joe Gelhardt, Kyle Joseph, Joel Ndala.
Derby vs Hull Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Derby vs Hull betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.
Match Prediction
We’re siding with Hull at -125 in this Championship match with a +0.25 goal advantage. It’s expected that they will have an edge and we can therefore feel bullish of a return with this wager.
The formbook is always a good place to start ahead of making football predictions. The latest Championship team news is also an important port of call, while the stats we present always tell an interesting story.
Key Derby vs Hull league stats:
The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Hull is available at odds of +800. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.
Player Prop Picks
Carlton Morris (Derby) is available at -159 to have a minimum of one shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.
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Joe Gelhardt (Hull) has found the net in four straight Championship matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +300 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
Derby have had under 5.5 corners in six consecutive home games, with Hull conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past two matches. The Derby Team Corners line could be on the high side based on the latest stats and -122 is available to back.
Derby
Hull
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Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has Hull with an Asian Handicap of +0.25, less than three goals in total along with Carlton Morris (Derby) to finish with one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Derby vs Hull Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Derby County are the +116 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 46% chance of triumphing in this Championship encounter according to the latest odds. Hull City are the underdogs at +240 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.
The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. Derby are -185, while Hull are alternatively priced at +135.
Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -128 on the BTTS market.
The best football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Championship game, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Oliver McBurnie is priced at +525 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +210 to find the net anytime.
Derby have not lost at Pride Park in the past four matches. John Eustace's side have managed five draws, three losses and two victories in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Hull have four defeats, three wins and three draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
The last meeting at Pride Park saw Derby and Hull draw 1-1. We’ve seen Derby claim three wins in the past 4 H2H meetings at Pride Park, with one draw also taking place.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Derby Home Stats |
2-5-3 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 6 | |
Hull Away Stats |
3-3-4 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Derby League Stats
Hull League Stats
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.30 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 40.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Derby this season are Carlton Morris (8), Andreas Weimann (1), Ben Brereton Diaz (1)
- Top Assistors for Derby this season are Patrick Agyemang (3), Andreas Weimann (1), Corey Blackett-Taylor (1)
Derby vs Hull Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Derby vs Hull before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Hull Confirmed Lineup 3-4-1-2
Derby Confirmed Lineup 3-4-2-1
Hull Confirmed Lineup 3-4-1-2
Previous Derby Lineups
Previous Hull Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40:13 | 34 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Preston | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Hull | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 25 |
| 6 | Millwall | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 10 | Derby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 21 |
| 12 | Leicester | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | 21 |
| 14 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | 21 |
| 15 | Watford | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 20 |
| 16 | QPR | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 19 |
| 17 | Southampton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | 18 |
| 18 | Swansea | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | 13 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11:26 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:29 | -4 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Watford | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Preston | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 17 |
| 5 | Hull | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ipswich | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 8 | Charlton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Stoke | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 13 |
| 10 | Millwall | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 13 |
| 11 | West Brom | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 12 | Wrexham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Derby | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 15 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 16 | Southampton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 17 | Swansea | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 18 | QPR | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 8 |
| 20 | Oxford | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | 4 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:18 | 2 |
| 24 | Norwich | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:13 | 0 |
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