Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Dec 2024

Strong Case for Pompey to Cover the Line

We are wagering Portsmouth +0.5 at +101 as we’re expecting the away team to avoid defeat. This outcome can be achieved against Derby, with the numbers backing up this Asian Handicap pick.

2-2 Draw in Most Recent H2H

Derby County drew on the road in their last game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Burnley at Turf Moor. Paul Warne's team had only 33% possession and one shot on target.

Portsmouth drew their previous game which was at home. The action at Fratton Park ended 0-0 against Norwich City. Pompey had 44% possession and totalled one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-2 League One draw when Portsmouth and Derby last clashed, with the former hosting this head-to-head at Fratton Park. It’s been a draw in every one of the previous 4 H2H meetings between these sides.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Derby have 1 win, 4 losses and 5 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts. The Rams have averaged 42.9% possession and 4.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.3 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 6.7 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Jerry Yates is the top scorer with 3 goals, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has 2, with Ebou Adams and Dajaune Brown on 1. The top assist makers are Marcus Harness, Ben Osborn and Jerry Yates, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Pompey have 3 victories, 3 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 8.3 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. Pompey average 41.6% possession, 6.3 corners in their favour and 6.0 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

Josh Murphy has top scored with 4, while Colby Bishop, Callum Lang and Connor Ogilvie are next on 2. Josh Murphy has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Kane Wilson, Curtis Nelson, Eiran Cashin, Craig Forsyth, Kenzo Goudmijn, Ben Osborn, Ebou Adams, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Portsmouth confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Terry Devlin, Tom McIntyre, Marlon Pack, Connor Ogilvie, Freddie Potts, Andre Dozzell, Matt Ritchie, Callum Lang, Josh Murphy, Colby Bishop.

Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction & Betting Tips

We think there’s plenty of mileage when it comes to betting Portsmouth on the Asian Handicap for this Championship game. Securing a price of +101 at +0.5 goals looks an attractive wager.

We study the form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.

Key Derby vs Portsmouth league stats:

• The +0.5 line has been covered by Portsmouth in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Portsmouth in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.5 line has been covered by Portsmouth in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in any of their last 5 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 6 consecutive games.
• The -0.5 line hasn’t been covered by Derby in 4 consecutive games against Portsmouth.

Pompey +0.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.8% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

Our Match Prediction

Portsmouth Asian Hcp +0.5 @ +101 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 0 - 0 Portsmouth

We think there’s a chance of a 0-0 draw and this can be backed at odds of +700. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Derby vs Portsmouth Odds

With the bookies giving them a 49% probability of winning, Derby County might become a popular accumulator pick at their current betting odds. That is reflected in their +105 price of winning this Championship clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +275 about Portsmouth.

A low-scoring game will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Championship betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

+105

X

+220

2

+275

Half-Time Result

1

+187.5

X

-100

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-275

X2

-138

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-119

2 Hcp +0.25

+106

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-163

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-110

No

-125

Derby vs Portsmouth Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for Derby vs Portsmouth team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Derby County Team Page Portsmouth Team Page