Derby vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2025

Rams Value to Beat Potters

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Derby to land a victory, with odds of -100 looking generous. We think they should be able to overcome Stoke over ninety minutes.

Stoke Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Derby County have won back-to-back games. A 1-0 triumph recently occurred away at MKM Stadium when playing Hull City. The Rams ended up with just 37% possession and had two shots on target, with Nathaniel Phillips scoring a late winner.

Stoke City have now been defeated in back-to-back games. This includes losing at home to Sheffield United by a 2-0 scoreline. The Staffordshire side were 51% in the possession stakes and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last clash between Stoke and Derby saw the former triumph at home. It was a 2-1 scoreline at Bet365 Stadium. Derby have secured three wins, Stoke boast two wins and there have been three draws in the past 8 H2H meetings.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Derby	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Derby have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.7 attempts. John Eustace's team have averaged 35.4% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.8 goals from 2.5 shots on goal, 7.7 attempts and 4.9 corners.

Top scorers Jerry Yates and Marcus Harness have found the net 3 times, with Ebou Adams getting 2. The leading assistors have been Nathaniel Phillips and Callum Elder with 3.

Stoke have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 7.9 attempts. The Potters have averaged 46.5% possession, 4.3 corners taken and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

We’ve seen Million Manhoef, Lewis Baker and Sam Gallagher score 2 goals each. Jordan Thompson, Junior Tchamadeu and Lewis Baker have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Josh Vickers (GK), Sondre Klingen Langaas, Nathaniel Phillips, Matthew Clarke, Kane Wilson, Harrison Armstrong, Ebou Adams, Liam Thompson, Craig Forsyth, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness.

Stoke confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Viktor Johansson (GK), Ashley Phillips, Ben Wilmot, Ben Gibson, Bosun Lawal, Lewis Baker, Wouter Burger, Joon-Ho Bae, Lynden Gooch, Ali Al Hamadi, Sam Gallagher.

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Derby record a victory and they are priced at -100 to win this Championship clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Derby vs Stoke league stats:

• Derby have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Derby have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Derby have won 2 consecutive games.
• Stoke have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Stoke have lost 12 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Stoke have lost their last 2 games.

Derby to Win Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 50% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you think that Derby will have their noses in front by the interval, why not consider backing them to lead at half-time and full-time. There are some attractive odds available.

Our Match Prediction

Derby To Win @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Derby 1 - 0 Stoke

A 1-0 win in favor of Derby is available at odds of +480. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Player Prop Picks

Jerry Yates Under 0.5 Shots On Target -156

Jerry Yates (Derby) can be wagered to not record a shot on goal at -156. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-161

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Jerry Yates to Score +340

Jerry Yates (Derby) has registered two goals in his past five Championship games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +340.

Latest Jerry Yates Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-161

Shots

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 5.5 Corners -110

It’s been under 5.5 corners for Derby in 8 of their past 10 matches, while Stoke have conceded less than 5.5 corners in four straight games. There is value when it comes to going under the Derby Team Corners line and this is available at -110.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

9.10 4.20 4.90

Home

9.30 4.80 4.50

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Stoke

Total

8.50 4.30 4.20

Home

8.00 4.10 3.90

Away

8.90 3.30 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-138

Under 9.5

-100

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-110

Stoke Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+600

2

+190

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Derby vs Stoke Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Derby Win

Derby County are the +110 favourites and that means a 48% chance of winning this Championship match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Stoke City are least likely to win at +290.

The Total Goals market is popular and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now.

The Draw No Bet market is popular for Championship matches, with the football betting sites offering Derby County at -225 and Stoke City are priced at +162.5 for the win.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+200

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+187.5

X

-100

2

+350

Double Chance

1X

-450

12

-250

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-225

2

+162.5

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

+109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+137.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-150

Kayden Jackson Favourite to Be First Goalscorer

Kayden Jackson is priced at +650 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of +330 to find the net anytime.

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Jerry Yates (Derby)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Marcus Harness (Derby)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+430

Anytime

+850

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

First

+450

Anytime

+850

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

First

+575

Anytime

+1050

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Andrew Moran (Stoke)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Tatsuki Seko (Stoke)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Lynden Gooch (Stoke)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Callum Elder (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-141

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-161

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-227

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-238

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-250

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-294

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-556

Andrew Moran (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Liam Thompson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-625

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Lynden Gooch (Stoke)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Callum Elder (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1250

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1111

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Jerry Yates (Derby)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Marcus Harness (Derby)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Ali Al-Hamadi (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-108

Under 1.5

-

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 1.5

-103

Under 1.5

-

Nathaniel Méndez-Laing (Derby)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Tom Barkhuizen (Derby)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Sam Gallagher (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Ebou Adams (Derby)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Kenzo Goudmijn (Derby)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Lynden Gooch (Stoke)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Callum Elder (Derby)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Nathaniel Phillips (Derby)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-

Derby vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Our Derby vs Stoke team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Championship squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Derby County Team Page Stoke City Team Page