Derby vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Stoke

Derby welcome Stoke to Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Monday 6 April.

There’s a strong case for siding with Derby when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Stoke and odds of -111 are attractive.

Derby County have won their last four home games. Most recently, they lost 3-2 away to Coventry City at Coventry Building Society Arena. John Eustace's men recorded 50% possession and managed three shots on target, while Ben Brereton Diaz scored both of the goals.

Stoke City have suffered four straight away defeats. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 2-0 home victory against Sheffield Wednesday at bet365 Stadium. The Potters recorded 48% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Jesurun Rak-Sakyi and Lamine Cisse finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stoke are unbeaten in the past three games against Derby. In their last clash, hosts Stoke came out with a 3-1 victory at bet365 Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have witnessed four draws along with three wins each.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	40	17	9	14	58	51	7	58:51	60
12	Stoke	40	15	9	16	48	43	5	48:43	54

View Full Table

Derby have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 11.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. The Rams have averaged 47.4% possession and 3.4 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.8 corners from 12.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Ben Brereton Diaz and Rhian Brewster lead the way with 4 goals, while Sammie Szmodics has scored 2. Derry Murkin has made the most assists with 3.

Stoke have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 11.1 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The Staffordshire side average 47.7% possession, 5.3 corners in their favour and 6.3 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts.

We’ve seen Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Lamine Cisse, Million Manhoef, Milan Smit and Ben Wilmot score 2 goals each. Sorba Thomas has managed to clock up 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Derby predicted lineup (4-3-3): Richard O´Donnell (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton Díaz, Carlton Morris, Jaydon Banel.

Stoke predicted lineup (3-4-2-1): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Bosun Lawal, Ashley Phillips, Aaron Cresswell, Sorba Thomas, Steven Nzonzi, Tatsuki Seko, Eric Junior Bocat, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Million Manhoef, Tomas Rigo.

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

This Derby vs Stoke betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of -111 for a home win in this Championship encounter. We think that Derby will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

The Championship experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Derby vs Stoke league stats:

• Derby have won 4 consecutive games at home.
• Stoke have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Stoke have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.6% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing Derby. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Derby To Win @ -111 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 16:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 2 - 1 Stoke

We’re going for Derby at +600 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Million Manhoef to Score +300

Million Manhoef (Stoke) has scored two goals in his past five Championship matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +300.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Stoke Over 4.5 Corners +105

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Stoke in five consecutive games, while Derby have conceded 5.40 corners on average in their last 5 matches. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Stoke Team Corners line being covered, with odds of +105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

8.20 3.40 4.80

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.70 2.70 6.00

Stoke

Total

11.60 5.30 6.30

Home

10.80 6.40 4.40

Away

10.30 4.40 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-110

Under 5.5

-130

Stoke Corners

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-161

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+163

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Stoke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Derby County as -111 favourites for this Championship clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 53% likely to win. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +290 for Stoke City.

If you’re feeling confident of a win for Derby, the Asian Handicap -0.5 option is priced at -114. You might instead think that Stoke +0.5 at -114 is more appealing and the draw is included here.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -143.

All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+250

2

+290

Half-Time Result

1

+148

X

+118

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-435

12

-370

X2

-122

Draw No Bet

1

-263

2

+170

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-114

2 Hcp +0.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-118

Over 2.5

-114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+104

Carlton Morris is available at +120 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +330 to find the net first.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+120

Anytime

+330

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Milan Smit (Stoke)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Jesurun Rak-Sakyi (Stoke)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Steven Nzonzi (Stoke)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Derby are four wins from four at Pride Park. John Eustace's men have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Stoke are on a four game losing streak on the road. The Potters have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Derby drew 0-0 with Stoke when they last met at Pride Park. The previous 5 H2H games at Pride Park have seen two Derby wins and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		5-2-3	2.50	1.40	1.10	5	5	7	3
Stoke Away Stats		2-2-6	1.70	0.60	1.10	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Live streaming is available for Championship games depending on where you are located. Sign into your funded sportsbook account and enjoy the action.

The leading betting apps stream many of the latest events across a wide range of sports and leagues.

Derby vs Stoke Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Derby vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Derby vs Stoke team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Derby County Team Page Stoke City Team Page

Top Football Pages