Derby vs Stoke Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Derby vs Stoke

Derby welcome Stoke to Pride Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Monday 6 April.

There’s a strong case for siding with Derby when it comes to the Full-Time Result betting market. We think the favourites could prove too strong for Stoke and odds of -111 are attractive.

Derby County have won their last four home games. Most recently, they lost 3-2 away to Coventry City at Coventry Building Society Arena. John Eustace's men recorded 50% possession and managed three shots on target, while Ben Brereton Diaz scored both of the goals.

Stoke City have suffered four straight away defeats. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 2-0 home victory against Sheffield Wednesday at bet365 Stadium. The Potters recorded 48% possession and managed six shots on goal, with Jesurun Rak-Sakyi and Lamine Cisse finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Stoke are unbeaten in the past three games against Derby. In their last clash, hosts Stoke came out with a 3-1 victory at bet365 Stadium. The past 10 H2H matches have witnessed four draws along with three wins each.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67	59	8	67:59	69
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51	56	-5	51:56	55

View Full Table

Derby have 5 wins and 5 losses, averaging 1.4 goals from 11.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. The Rams have averaged 47.4% possession and 3.4 corners per game, conceding 1.4 goals and 4.8 corners from 12.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Ben Brereton Diaz and Rhian Brewster lead the way with 4 goals, while Sammie Szmodics has scored 2. Derry Murkin has made the most assists with 3.

Stoke have 3 victories, 4 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 11.1 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. The Staffordshire side average 47.7% possession, 5.3 corners in their favour and 6.3 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 3.8 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts.

We’ve seen Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Lamine Cisse, Million Manhoef, Milan Smit and Ben Wilmot score 2 goals each. Sorba Thomas has managed to clock up 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Richard O'Donnell (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Derry Murkin, Lewis Travis, David Ozoh, Ben Brereton Diaz, Carlton Morris, Bobby Clark, Patrick Agyemang.

Stoke confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Gavin Bazunu (GK), Sydney Agina, Ashley Phillips, Bosun Lawal, Sorba Thomas, Steven Nzonzi, Tatsuki Seko, Eric Bocat, Tomas Rigo, Jesurun Rak-Sakyi, Lamine Cisse.

Derby vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips

This Derby vs Stoke betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

It’s great to get attractive odds of -111 for a home win in this Championship encounter. We think that Derby will have the upper hand and this could be the best way of getting value.

The Championship experts at Sportsgambler.com have a strong handle when it comes to injuries and suspensions. The recent form also helps to shape our football predictions, with this being cross-referenced with the latest numbers.

Key Derby vs Stoke league stats:

• Derby have won 4 consecutive games at home.
• Stoke have lost their last 4 games on the road.
• Stoke have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 52.6% prospect of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

The Asian Handicap provide a range of alternatives when it comes to backing Derby. There’s a chance to get bigger odds if you think that a sizeable win can be achieved.

Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Derby To Win @ -111 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 16:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Derby 2 - 1 Stoke

We’re going for Derby at +575 to secure a 2-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Million Manhoef to Score +300

Million Manhoef (Stoke) has scored two goals in his past five Championship matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +300.

Latest Million Manhoef Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Stoke Over 4.5 Corners +105

The 4.5 corners line has been covered by Stoke in five consecutive games, while Derby have conceded 5.40 corners on average in their last 5 matches. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Stoke Team Corners line being covered, with odds of +105 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Derby

Total

8.20 3.40 4.80

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.70 2.70 6.00

Stoke

Total

11.60 5.30 6.30

Home

10.80 6.40 4.40

Away

10.30 4.40 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-139

Under 9.5

-102

Derby Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-114

Stoke Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+190

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Derby vs Stoke Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have Derby County as -141 favourites for this Championship clash, with the Full-Time Result betting odds implying that they are 58% likely to win. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +370 for Stoke City.

Derby -0.75 are -110 against Stoke on the Asian Handicap. If the favourites win by a goal, you win with half your stake and get the rest refunded. If they win by two or more, you get a full payout.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -137.

All of the Championship games see the top betting sites go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+275

2

+370

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+123

2

+370

Double Chance

1X

-588

12

-417

X2

+104

Draw No Bet

1

-357

2

+225

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-110

2 Hcp +0.75

-116

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-123

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-137

No

-102

Carlton Morris is available at +108 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +300 to find the net first.

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+108

Anytime

+300

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+175

Anytime

+475

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Million Manhoef (Stoke)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Milan Smit (Stoke)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Sorba Thomas (Stoke)

First

+340

Anytime

+850

Róbert Bozeník (Stoke)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+475

Anytime

+1150

Jesurun Rak-Sakyi (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Lewis Baker (Stoke)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Bae Jun-Ho (Stoke)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Steven Nzonzi (Stoke)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Tomás Rigo (Stoke)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Liam Thompson (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Sondre Klingen Langas (Derby)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Stats: Championship matches only
Derby are four wins from four at Pride Park. John Eustace's men have managed five victories, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Stoke are on a four game losing streak on the road. The Potters have collected six defeats, two wins and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Derby drew 0-0 with Stoke when they last met at Pride Park. The previous 5 H2H games at Pride Park have seen two Derby wins and three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Derby Home Stats		5-2-3	2.50	1.40	1.10	5	5	7	3
Stoke Away Stats		2-2-6	1.70	0.60	1.10	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Derby vs Stoke Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Derby vs Stoke team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Championship lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Derby County Team Page Stoke City Team Page

Top Football Pages