Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estoril vs Casa Pia

Estoril clash with Casa Pia at Antonio Coimbra da Mota, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 7 March.

It’s time to back Over 2.5 at -132 for the Total Goals, with Estoril and Casa Pia set to contest a high-scoring encounter. We think the price is appealing when it comes to three goals or more being scored.

Estoril Praia were beaten last game and this was on the road at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Sporting CP claimed a 3-0 victory. The Canaries had three shots on target and 47% possession.

Casa Pia drew 1-1 against Moreirense in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. Alvaro Pacheco's team were restricted to just 36% possession and had two shots on goal, while Cassiano was on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior played host to the last head-to-head where Casa Pia were at home to Estoril. The clash ended in a 2-2 draw. The past 7 H2H games have featured three triumphs for Estoril, one for Casa Pia along with three draws.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Estoril	24	9	6	9	46	42	4	46:42	33
13	Casa Pia	24	5	8	11	26	44	-18	26:44	23

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Estoril have had 54.1% possession, 468.3 passes and 4.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 4.9 corners.

Yanis Begraoui leads the way with 11 goals, while Alejandro Marques and Joao Carvalho have scored 4 and 3 respectively. Joao Carvalho is the leading assists maker with 5, while goalie Joel Robles has 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.2 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.7 attempts. The Geese have averaged 39.5% possession, 276.6 passes, 2.9 corners awarded and 7.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.6 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 16.1 attempts.

Cassiano and Gaizka Larrazabal have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Rafael Brito on 1. Jeremy Livolant has been chief assist maker on 4, with Patrick Sequeira recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Estoril predicted lineup (3-4-3): Joel Robles (GK), Ricard Sánchez, Felix Bacher, Ferro, Pizzi, Jandro Orellana, Jordan Holsgrove, Gonçalo Costa, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marqués, Yanis Begraoui.

Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Pedro Rosas, João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, Gaizka Larrazabal, Seba Pérez, Rafael Brito, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina.

Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down Estoril vs Casa Pia from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

There are several reasons why Over 2.5 Goals can land when it comes to this Primeira Liga game. Value can be squeezed from taking this betting angle and the -132 that is currently available makes appeal.

The formbook always proves to be helpful when it comes to providing football betting tips. The latest Primeira Liga team news is also vital, with the stats helping to shape our opinion too.

Key Estoril vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 9 Estoril games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Estoril games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 19 Estoril games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Casa Pia games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Casa Pia games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 7 games between these teams.

If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 56.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Going down the Bet Builder route enables bettors to secure a larger price when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. Add in extra picks for the chance to scoop a potentially bigger pay out.

Our quick-access guide helps you unlock the best betting offers, generous promos, and the freshest free bets today.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -132 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 21:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Estoril 2 - 1 Casa Pia

We’ve found an attractive bet at odds of +540 and it involves Estoril winning 2-1. We like a wager on correct score as there’s the chance to bank a bigger return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Yanis Begraoui to Score +138

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril) has managed six goals in his past five Primeira Liga home games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +138 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Yanis Begraoui Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+138

First

+330

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -103

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in six straight Casa Pia away matches, with the previous five Estoril games averaging 9.60 corners. There’s an opportunity to go over the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -103 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estoril

Total

9.30 4.40 4.90

Home

9.10 4.30 4.80

Away

9.40 4.80 4.60

Casa Pia

Total

10.10 2.90 7.20

Home

8.80 3.00 5.80

Away

11.50 4.70 6.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-103

Under 9.5

-141

Estoril Corners

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-123

Casa Pia Corners

Over 3.5

-102

Under 3.5

-141

Most Corners

1

-238

X

+700

2

+235

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Estoril vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites are 58% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Estoril Praia being priced at -141 to come away with a victory in this Primeira Liga encounter. Casa Pia are the +350 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

A 2+ goal margin of victory for Estoril against Casa Pia means a full payout at -114 when backing them on the Asian Handicap -0.75. A one-goal win means half the stake wins and half is refunded.

If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -143 on the BTTS market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Primeira Liga game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

-141

X

+265

2

+350

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+135

2

+360

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-435

X2

-102

Draw No Bet

1

-345

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-114

2 Hcp +0.75

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-108

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

-100

Yanis Begraoui is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +330 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +138.

Yanis Begraoui (Estoril)

First

+138

Anytime

+330

Alejandro Marqués (Estoril)

First

+145

Anytime

+350

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Luís Miguel Pizzi Fernandes (Estoril)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Rafik Guitane (Estoril)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+350

Anytime

+850

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+375

Anytime

+900

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

João Marques (Casa Pia)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Ricard Sánchez (Estoril)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Nodari Lominadze (Estoril)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Jandro Orellana (Estoril)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Pedro Carvalho (Estoril)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Kevin Boma (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Pedro Amaral (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Ferro (Estoril)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Abdu Conté (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Estoril have not tasted defeat at Antonio Coimbra da Mota in eight straight matches. The Canaries have racked up six victories, three draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

Casa Pia have not triumphed in four straight away matches. Alvaro Pacheco's team have finished with six losses, two victories and two draws in the past 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.80 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

The last Antonio Coimbra da Mota meeting saw Casa Pia beat Estoril 2-0. In the previous 3 H2H games at Antonio Coimbra da Mota, we have seen two Estoril victories and one Casa Pia win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Estoril Home Stats		6-3-1	4.00	2.50	1.50	7	3	8	2
Casa Pia Away Stats		2-2-6	2.60	0.80	1.80	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Estoril vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Estoril vs Casa Pia team news. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Estoril Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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