Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Mar 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix

Fourth-placed Adelaide United meet bottom-of-the-table Wellington Phoenix at Coopers Stadium, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Friday 6 March.

We’ve identified a value bet in the form of Adelaide who are trading at odds of -132. There’s plenty of juice in the price when it comes to this Full-Time Result selection and they can beat Wellington.

Adelaide United played Melbourne Victory on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw at AAMI Park. Airton Andrioli's team had most of the ball recording 55% possession and six shots on target, while Yaya Dukuly bagged the goal.

Wellington Phoenix have suffered back-to-back A-League defeats, recently being beaten at home by Sydney FC 1-0 at Sky Stadium. The Nix had 47% possession and managed three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Sky Stadium played host to the last encounter between Adelaide and Wellington, with the former playing away. The clash ended in a 2-2 draw. The previous 10 H2H matches have included four wins for Adelaide, three victories for Wellington along with three draws.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Adelaide United	24	10	7	7	41	34	7	41:34	37
7	Wellington	25	9	6	10	36	44	-8	36:44	33

View Full Table

United have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.0 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts. The Reds have averaged 50.2% possession and 5.0 corners per match, conceding 1.7 goals and 4.0 corners from 5.9 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts.

Jonny Yull, Luka Jovanovic and Brody Burkitt are the top scorers with 3 goals each, while Yaya Dukuly has 2. The top assist makers are Panashe Madanha, Jonny Yull and Yaya Dukuly, all of whom have 2 on the board.

Wellington have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 7.9 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The New Zealand outfit average 49.4% possession, 3.9 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while 2.4 goals have been conceded from 4.7 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts.

Ifeanyi Eze is top of the team’s scoring charts with 4, while Carlo Armiento and Isaac Robert Hughes both have 2. Carlo Armiento, Ramy Najjarine and Tim Payne have clocked up 2 assists each in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Joshua Smits (GK), Jay Barnett, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Yaya Dukuly, Ethan Alagich, Ryan White, Jonny Yull, Juan Muniz, Luka Jovanovic.

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Josh Oluwayemi (GK), Manjrekar James, Bill Poni Tuiloma, Isaac Robert Hughes, Matthew Sheridan, Carlo Armiento, Paulo Retre, Kazuki Nagasawa, Ramy Najjarine, Corban Piper, Ifeanyi Eze.

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Adelaide look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -132 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this A-League clash.

Understanding the injured players situation proves useful when assembling football picks. Once we’ve also considered the form guide, we use the latest stats and provide A-League betting predictions.

Key Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• Adelaide have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Wellington have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Wellington have lost 8 of their last 15 games on the road.
• Wellington have lost their last 2 games.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. Our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 60-65%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

One way of backing United to win at bigger odds is by going for the Match Result & Total market where you can also bet over or under a specific number of goals being scored.

Get the most from your next wager. Check our expert guide filled with the best free bets and top bonus offers.

Our Match Prediction

Adelaide To Win @ -132 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 09:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Adelaide 2 - 0 Wellington

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Adelaide to win by a 2-0 scoreline. At odds of +700, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jonny Yull to Score +245

Jonny Yull (United) has netted two goals in his past five A-League games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +245 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jonny Yull Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+245

First

+650

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Adelaide Under 6.5 Corners -122

Adelaide have had under 6.5 corners in four consecutive home games, while Wellington have had an average of 3.80 corners against them in their last 5 matches. On this evidence, we can take odds of -122 that this Adelaide Team Corners wager falls short of the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Adelaide

Total

9.00 5.00 4.00

Home

9.20 5.20 4.00

Away

9.70 4.70 5.00

Wellington

Total

8.60 3.90 4.70

Home

10.30 6.00 4.30

Away

8.90 3.20 5.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Adelaide Corners

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-116

Wellington Corners

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-172

Most Corners

1

-185

X

+650

2

+180

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Adelaide United are the shortest price to win this A-League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 60% probability due to their -147 betting odds. Wellington Phoenix are seen as the most unlikely winner at +325.

Adelaide -0.75 at -119 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Wellington, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.

Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds and that means three goals or more are anticipated. BTTS Yes is available at -227 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

All of the A-League matches see the best betting apps go to town with their service. Bettors can find the best approach from the hundreds of markets which are presented to them each time.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+310

2

+325

Half-Time Result

1

+114

X

+160

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-556

12

-526

X2

+102

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+210

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-119

2 Hcp +0.75

-115

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+155

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-227

No

+155

Luka Jovanovic is priced at +290 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +102 to find the net anytime.

Luka Jovanovic (United)

First

+102

Anytime

+290

Yaya Dukuly (United)

First

+175

Anytime

+500

Austin Ayoubi (United)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Jonny Yull (United)

First

+245

Anytime

+650

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Luke Supyk (Wellington)

First

+275

Anytime

+750

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+330

Anytime

+850

Ethan Alagich (United)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Ryan Kitto (United)

First

+420

Anytime

+1100

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Jay Barnett (United)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Bart Vriends (United)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Isaac Hughes (Wellington)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Adelaide have clocked up six wins, three defeats and one draw in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Wellington have finished with five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

When the sides last met at Coopers Stadium, Adelaide beat Wellington 3-2. Adelaide have landed victory in five of the past 9 H2H meetings at Coopers Stadium, with Wellington securing a win along with three draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Adelaide United Home Stats		6-1-3	3.40	2.00	1.40	7	3	6	4
Wellington Phoenix Away Stats		2-3-5	3.60	1.50	2.10	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Adelaide vs Wellington team news before wagering. We’ll deliver both predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League as well as the latest injury reports.

Adelaide United Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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