Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Mar 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora welcome Casa Pia to Estadio Jose Gomes, with kick-off set for 16:15 on Friday 20 March.
Casa Pia look a nice wager to topple Estrela and we can take them at -133 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.
Estrela Amadora were defeated on the road in their last game. Rio Ave won 2-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. Joao Nuno's team had most of the ball recording 56% possession and two shots on target, with Rodrigo Pinho registering the goal.
Casa Pia drew on the road in their previous game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Estoril Praia at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The Geese were restricted to just 36% possession and had three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Estrela won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 5-3 away triumph when facing Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The past 5 matches between the teams have seen Estrela win three times and Casa Pia rack up two victories.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Estrela |
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 29:45 | 25 |
| 15 |  Casa Pia |
25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26:44 | 24 |
Estrela have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The Tricolores have averaged 47.9% possession, 374.4 passes and 3.2 corners per match, conceding 2.1 goals and 6.9 corners from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts.
Jovane Cabral is the top goalscorer with 3, Abraham Marcus has 2, with Rodrigo Pinho and two other players on 1. Paulo Moreira and Jefferson Encada are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Renan Ribeiro has kept 2 clean sheets.
Casa Pia have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 1.0 goals. Alvaro Pacheco's men average 37.7% possession, 268.9 passes, 3.0 corners awarded and 7.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.
Cassiano got 3 goals, Gaizka Larrazabal notched 2, while Rafael Brito and two other players scored 1. Jeremy Livolant is top assists provider with 3, while Patrick Sequeira has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Max Scholze, Luan Patrick, Otávio Manoel Galdino Fernandes, Bruno Langa, Kevin Höög Jansson, Paulo Moreira, Abraham Marcus, Jovane Cabral, Ianis Stoica, Rodrigo Pinho.
Casa Pia predicted lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), João Goulart, Domingos José Gabriel Bandeira Kaly, Andres Geraldes, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Seba Pérez, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina.
Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.
Match Prediction
Casa Pia have a good chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -133 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.
We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Primeira Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.
Key Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia league stats:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 57.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.
Check out our latest betting offers guide — packed with top free bet deals and exclusive welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Casa Pia
One bet that has caught our eye is Casa Pia to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +575 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia) can be wagered at +600 to score. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
All of the past seven Casa Pia away matches have seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.40 corners in the previous five Estrela games. There are odds of -147 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.
Estrela
Casa Pia
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Casa Pia to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, Under 2.5 along with Over 8.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have priced up the draw at +215 on the Full-Time Result, with Estrela Amadora available to back at betting odds of +132. Casa Pia are +200 to win this Primeira Liga clash.
For those wanting to reduce their risk, Estrela are -156 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Casa Pia being priced up at +110 with the same money back guarantee.
For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -120 and No at -118.
The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Primeira Liga match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.
Sydney Van Hooijdonk is priced at +390 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +175 to find the net anytime.
Estrela have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.
Casa Pia are winless in the last five away games. The Geese have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
Casa Pia won 1-0 when they last played Estrela at Estadio Jose Gomes.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Casa Pia Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.40 | 0.60 | 1.80 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Estrela Amadora League Stats
Casa Pia League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 corners awarded and 6.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 6.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 37.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Estrela Amadora this season are Kikas (6), Jovane Cabral (5), Abraham Marcus (4)
- Top Assistors for Estrela Amadora this season are Abraham Marcus (3), Ianis Stoica (2), Jefferson Encada (2)
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Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Estrela vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Estrela Amadora Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Casa Pia Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Estrela Amadora Lineups
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Estrela Amadora Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Joao Nuno
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 69 |
| 2 | Sporting | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 64:14 | 62 |
| 3 | Benfica | 26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55:17 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 52:25 | 46 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39:27 | 42 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:22 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:38 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitória | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:39 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:45 | 27 |
| 12 | Arouca | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:55 | 26 |
| 13 | Estrela | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29:45 | 25 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:31 | 25 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:44 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19:39 | 19 |
| 18 | AVS | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:58 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 35 |
| 2 | Sporting | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:4 | 31 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Braga | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Famalicão | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22:9 | 23 |
| 7 | Estoril | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 26:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | 22 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | 19 |
| 11 | Arouca | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18:25 | 15 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12:14 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | 14 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:21 | 13 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:21 | 11 |
| 17 | Tondela | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10:24 | 7 |
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