Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Mar 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia

Estrela Amadora welcome Casa Pia to Estadio Jose Gomes, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Friday 20 March.

Casa Pia look a nice wager to topple Estrela and we can take them at -133 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

Estrela Amadora were defeated on the road in their last game. Rio Ave won 2-1 at Estadio dos Arcos. Joao Nuno's team had most of the ball recording 56% possession and two shots on target, with Rodrigo Pinho registering the goal.

Casa Pia drew on the road in their previous game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against Estoril Praia at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The Geese were restricted to just 36% possession and had three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estrela won the last clash between the pair. Enjoying a 5-3 away triumph when facing Casa Pia at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The past 5 matches between the teams have seen Estrela win three times and Casa Pia rack up two victories.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Estrela	33	6	11	16	36	54	-18	36:54	29
16	Casa Pia	33	6	11	16	30	56	-26	30:56	29

View Full Table

Estrela have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The Tricolores have averaged 47.9% possession, 374.4 passes and 3.2 corners per match, conceding 2.1 goals and 6.9 corners from 5.8 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts.

Jovane Cabral is the top goalscorer with 3, Abraham Marcus has 2, with Rodrigo Pinho and two other players on 1. Paulo Moreira and Jefferson Encada are the leading assists makers with 2, while goalie Renan Ribeiro has kept 2 clean sheets.

Casa Pia have 2 victories, 3 defeats and 5 draws, with an average of 2.7 shots on goal, 8.6 attempts and 1.0 goals. Alvaro Pacheco's men average 37.7% possession, 268.9 passes, 3.0 corners awarded and 7.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 15.8 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

Cassiano got 3 goals, Gaizka Larrazabal notched 2, while Rafael Brito and two other players scored 1. Jeremy Livolant is top assists provider with 3, while Patrick Sequeira has kept 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Estrela Amadora confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Max Scholze, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Bruno Langa, Abraham Marcus, Kevin Hoeoeg Jansson, Eddy Doue, Ianis Stoica, Robinho, Rodrigo Pinho.

Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Kaly, Joao Goulart, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Sebastian Perez, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Dailon Rocha Livramento.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our corners angle, scoreline advice, standout player props and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Match Prediction

Casa Pia have a good chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -133 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

We’re constantly keeping tabs on the Primeira Liga team news. Along with the latest form, this helps us get the value every time. Our football experts are able to take a stats-led approach, with the key numbers providing a guide.

Key Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Casa Pia in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estrela in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estrela in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Estrela in 15 of their last 19 games at home.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 57.1% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.

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Our Match Prediction

Casa Pia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 18, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Estrela 0 - 1 Casa Pia

One bet that has caught our eye is Casa Pia to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +575 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito To Score +600

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia) can be wagered at +600 to score. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners -147

All of the past seven Casa Pia away matches have seen the 8.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 11.40 corners in the previous five Estrela games. There are odds of -147 being served up when it comes to this Total Corners wager and we think the teams can cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Estrela

Total

10.10 3.20 6.90

Home

8.90 3.40 5.50

Away

10.10 3.20 6.90

Casa Pia

Total

10.00 3.00 7.00

Home

8.80 3.00 5.80

Away

11.10 4.60 6.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-147

Estrela Corners

Over 4.5

-106

Under 4.5

-133

Casa Pia Corners

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-135

Most Corners

1

-100

X

+650

2

+102

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The bookies have priced up the draw at +215 on the Full-Time Result, with Estrela Amadora available to back at betting odds of +133. Casa Pia are +200 to win this Primeira Liga clash.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Estrela are -156 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Casa Pia being priced up at +110 with the same money back guarantee.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -116 and No at -122.

The leading football betting sites provide bettors with an abundance of options. For every Primeira Liga match, you’re able to select from hundreds of markets and make the best choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+133

X

+215

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+195

X

+108

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-313

12

-333

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-156

2

+110

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-105

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-122

Sydney Van Hooijdonk is priced at +390 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +180 to find the net anytime.

Sydney Van Hooijdonk (Estrela)

First

+180

Anytime

+390

Jovane Cabral (Estrela)

First

+215

Anytime

+450

Ianis Stoica (Estrela)

First

+220

Anytime

+475

Cassiano Dias Moreira (Casa Pia)

First

+260

Anytime

+550

Jeremy Livolant (Casa Pia)

First

+275

Anytime

+550

Kelian Nsona (Casa Pia)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Kevin Prieto (Casa Pia)

First

+290

Anytime

+600

Xander Severina (Casa Pia)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Dailon Rocha Livramento (Casa Pia)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Korede Osundina (Casa Pia)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Claudio Mendes (Casa Pia)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Kiki Silva (Casa Pia)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

João Marques (Casa Pia)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Tiago Morais (Casa Pia)

First

+525

Anytime

+1050

Rafael Alexandre de Sousa Gancho de Brito (Casa Pia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira (Estrela)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Gaizka Larrazabal (Casa Pia)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Iyad Mohamed (Casa Pia)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Abdu Conté (Casa Pia)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Issiar Drame (Estrela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Lawrence Ofori (Casa Pia)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Bernardo Schappo (Estrela)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Bruno Langa (Estrela)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Estrela have collected four draws, three wins and three defeats in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.60.

Casa Pia are winless in the last five away games. The Geese have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.80.

Casa Pia won 1-0 when they last played Estrela at Estadio Jose Gomes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Estrela Amadora Home Stats		3-4-3	3.00	1.40	1.60	6	4	5	5
Casa Pia Away Stats		1-3-6	2.40	0.60	1.80	6	4	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Estrela vs Casa Pia team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.

Estrela Amadora Team Page Casa Pia Team Page

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