France vs Spain Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jul 2026
France vs Spain Predictions
There are plenty of reasons to side with Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. France and Spain could struggle to produce three goals between them, making the available odds of -109 an attractive option.
Take a closer look at our complete France vs Spain betting analysis, which presents a full breakdown of our main match prediction, plus our correct score prediction, player prop picks, corners prediction and bet builder tips.
France vs Spain Preview
France face Spain in this FIFA World Cup semi-final at Dallas Stadium (AT&T Stadium), with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 14 July.
Dallas Stadium is a climate-controlled indoor venue where temperatures will be maintained at a comfortable 21°C (70°F) throughout the semi-final, despite the intense Texas summer heat of 35°C (95°F) baking the outdoors.
France finished top of Group I with a perfect record, winning all three matches. Les Bleus opened their campaign with a 3-1 victory over Senegal before beating Iraq 3-0 and Norway 4-1.
A dominant 3-0 win against Sweden in the Round of 32 was followed by a narrow 1-0 victory over Paraguay in the Round of 16.
A place in the semi-finals was secured with a 2-0 triumph over Morocco at Boston Stadium. Didier Deschamps' side enjoyed 49% possession and recorded eight shots on target, while Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé both got on the scoresheet.
Spain progressed to the knockout stages after winning Group H, finishing four points clear of Cape Verde. Their campaign began with a goalless draw against Cape Verde before defeating Saudi Arabia 4-0 and Uruguay 1-0.
La Roja claimed a commanding 3-0 victory over Austria in the Round of 32 before narrowly beating Portugal 1-0 in the Round of 16.
Spain continued their impressive run with a 2-1 victory over Belgium at Los Angeles Stadium in the quarter-finals. Luis de la Fuente's side enjoyed 68% possession and managed eight shots on target, with Fabián Ruiz and Mikel Merino finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics Favour Spain
Spain hold the edge in the head-to-head record, with 18 wins from 38 previous meetings. France have won 13 times, while seven encounters have ended in a draw.
Their only previous World Cup clash came in the Round of 16 in 2006, when Les Bleus secured a 3-1 victory. However, Spain have won the last two meetings, including a 2-1 triumph in the Euro 2024 semi-finals and a dramatic 5-4 victory in the 2025 UEFA Nations League.
| FIFA World Cup | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 1 |  France |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10:2 | 9 |
9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 2.8 goals from 20.3 attempts and 7.8 shots on goal. France have had 64.5% possession, 617.9 passes and 7.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.5 goals from 4.5 attempts and 1.4 shots on goal, while earning 1.9 corners.
Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 11 goals, Ousmane Dembele has 5, with Bradley Barcola and Jean-Philippe Mateta scoring 2. Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise are the leading assists makers with 5, while goalie Mike Maignan has kept 6 clean sheets.
Spain have 8 victories and 2 draws, with an average of 2.3 goals from 7.3 shots on goal and 19.8 attempts. Luis de la Fuente's team have averaged 67.8% possession, 701.4 passes, 7.7 corners awarded and 1.4 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.3 goals from 1.8 shots on goal and 5.8 attempts.
Mikel Oyarzabal got 9 goals, Mikel Merino notched 4, while Fabian Ruiz and two other players scored 1. Marc Cucurella has managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while Unai Simon has 8 clean sheets to his name.
Main Match Prediction
We think the odds of -109 are really attractive when it comes to betting Under 2.5 for this semi-final.
Both teams possess plenty of attacking quality, but they have been equally impressive at the back. Given the magnitude of the occasion, we expect a cautious approach from both sides, with neither willing to take unnecessary risks.
France have kept four clean sheets in their last five World Cup matches, while Spain have recorded five shutouts in six games at the tournament. With two of the competition's strongest defences on display, a low-scoring encounter looks likely.
We study the World Cup form as a first port of call and also make sure we’re across any injuries before making our football predictions. Then it’s a case of understanding the sort of narrative that the stats provide.
Key stats supporting our main match prediction:
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 52.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
There’s a way of combining Under 2.5 Goals with other selections in order to get bigger odds. A Bet Builder is a perfect way of achieving this, with bettors cheering on different outcomes.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Spain
There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the two teams to draw 1-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +480 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.
Player Prop Picks
Lamine Yamal (Spain) has totalled over 1.5 shots on goal in three straight matches. We anticipate that these numbers will prove telling and that he will cover the Shots on Target line at odds of +138.
Mikel Oyarzabal (Spain) has racked up nine goals in his past ten games. We’re content to land the +185 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Spain have had over 4.5 corners in ten consecutive games. Spain should be capable of covering the line when it comes to Team Corners and odds of -109 are on offer.
France
Spain
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a same-game multi, have a play on no more than two goals in total, the match to end all square combined with Lamine Yamal (Spain) to end up with over 1.5 shots on target.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
France vs Spain Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The bookies have priced up the Full-Time Result betting odds and France are +133 to land a semi-final victory, while Spain are +225 to win. The draw is trading at +220 should you think the clash will end all square.
There are various ways to back France and one option is the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s -104 currently available that they beat Spain and there’s half a stake refund if the scoreline ends level.
The latest Total Goals betting suggests it’s a close call between Under 2.5 Goals and Over 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -161 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each World Cup game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Those interested in Kylian Mbappé to find the net anytime are able to get +102. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +290.
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
France Stats
Spain Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 1.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded and 2.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 1.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 64.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 60.30% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
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France vs Spain Lineups & Team News
The France vs Spain team news could change everything — review it before betting. Receive the predicted and confirmed World Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Previous France Lineups
Previous Spain Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
France Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Didier Deschamps
Spain Player Stats & Squad
World Cup Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Canada | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia and H. | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brazil | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:9 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Sweden | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 5 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Iran | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norway | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Iraq | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:12 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Austria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 3 | Algeria | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Jordan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 |
| 3 | DR Congo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 4 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Croatia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Panama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | 0 |
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