Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 02 Mar 2026
Primera División Betting Preview: Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield
Estudiantes host Vélez Sarsfield, with kick-off set for 17:15 on Monday 2 March.
Vélez Sarsfield look a nice wager to topple Estudiantes and we can take them at -103 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.
Estudiantes de La Plata have triumphed in their last three home games. In their last appearance, they beat Newell's Old Boys on the road by a 2-0 scoreline. Eduardo Dominguez's side had seven shots on target and boasted 62% possession, while Tiago Palacios and Fabricio Perez scored one goal apiece.
Vélez Sarsfield played Deportivo Riestra at home in their previous game. It was a 0-0 draw. El Fortín dominated possession with 70% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The most recent head-to-head saw Vélez record a 2-0 home victory against Estudiantes. There have been five Vélez triumphs and three Estudiantes wins in the previous 8 games involving these sides.
| Primera División | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Estudiantes |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 7:2 | 15 |
| 4 | Vélez Sarsfield |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8:4 | 15 |
Estudiantes have 7 wins and 3 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. The La Plata club have averaged 50.7% possession and 3.9 corners per match, conceding 0.7 goals and 5.1 corners from 2.3 shots on goal and 7.2 attempts.
Tiago Palacios is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Fabricio Perez and Guido Carrillo each have 2. Edwuin Cetre and Joaquin Tobio Burgos are tied for the most assists on 2.
Vélez have 4 victories, 2 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 3.1 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 0.8 goals. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's team average 51.3% possession, 4.6 corners taken and 4.7 corners against them, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 8.4 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.
Matias Pellegrini has landed 3 goals, Manuel Lanzini 2, with Jano Gordon and two others scoring 1. Diego Valdes is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Estudiantes predicted lineup (4-3-3): Néstor Fernando Muslera (GK), Eric Meza, Leandro Gonzalez Pirez, Tomás Palacios, Gastón Benedetti, Tiago Palacios, Ezequiel Piovi, Mikel Amondarain, Brian Aguirre, Adolfo Gaich, Fabricio Perez.
Vélez Sarsfield predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Alvaro Montero (GK), Joaquín García, Emanuel Mammana, Lisandro Magallan, Elias Gomez, Rodrigo Aliendro, Lucas Robertone, Tobias Andrada, Manuel Lanzini, Imanol Machuca, Braian Romero.
Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction & Betting Tips
Explore our top Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, expected corners bet, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.
Match Prediction
We’ll side with Vélez Sarsfield +0.25 for this Primera División clash, with an attractive -103 available. Our verdict is that they’ll perform strongly and the Asian Handicap line looks generous for this outcome.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Primera División stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 50.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
In the quest to get more juice, there’s an option to sell goals with your Asian Handicap bet. Alternatively, play things safer and choose to buy goals instead.
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Correct Score Prediction
A 1-0 win in favor of Vélez can be backed at odds of +600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Braian Romero (Vélez) can be wagered at +350 to find the net. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
There’s been an average 6.20 Vélez corners in their past 5 away games, while Estudiantes have conceded more than 3.5 corners in three consecutive home matches. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for the Vélez Team Corners line to get covered at -154.
Estudiantes
Vélez
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re keen to place a same-game multi, go for Vélez on the Asian Handicap at +0.25, one or both teams not scoring together with Braian Romero (Vélez) to find the net at any time.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. It’s a great bet to have if you’re confident of certain outcomes, especially as the price for each selection is combined.
Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With the bookmakers affording them a 46% chance of winning, Estudiantes might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are +118 when it comes to this Primera División encounter. Vélez Sarsfield are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +320.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Estudiantes at -244 and Vélez at +163.
If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -189 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.
The top football betting sites ensure that customers are able to choose from a wide range of options. It’s no exaggeration that they provide hundreds of markets when it comes to Primera División games.
You will find Guido Carrillo at +600 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite. There’s the chance to get +300 that he finds the net at anytime.
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 25/02 Newell's OB 0 Estudiantes2
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 20/02 Estudiantes 1 Sarmiento0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 15/02 Gimnasia 0 Estudiantes0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 09/02 Estudiantes 1 Deportivo Riestra0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 02/02 Defensa Justicia 0 Estudiantes0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 25/02 Vélez Sarsfield 0 Deportivo Riestra0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 22/02 Vélez Sarsfield 1 River Plate0
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 14/02 Defensa Justicia 1 Vélez Sarsfield1
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 09/02 Vélez Sarsfield 2 Boca Juniors1
- Liga Profesional Apertura: 31/01 Independiente 1 Vélez Sarsfield1
- Primera División: 24/09 2024 Vélez 2 Estudiantes 0
- Primera División: 08/05 2023 Estudiantes 2 Vélez 0
- Primera División: 17/10 2022 Vélez 4 Estudiantes 0
- Copa Libertadores: 25/05 2022 Vélez 4 Estudiantes 0
- Copa Libertadores: 08/04 2022 Estudiantes 4 Vélez 1
- Primera División: 28/11 2021 Estudiantes 1 Vélez 0
- Primera División: 31/08 2019 Estudiantes 0 Vélez 1
- Primera División: 29/01 2019 Estudiantes 1 Vélez 2
Estudiantes League Stats
Vélez Sarsfield League Stats
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 1 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 2 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Estudiantes this season are Fabricio Perez (2), Alexis Castro (1), Guido Carrillo (1)
- Top Assistors for Estudiantes this season are Joaquin Tobio Burgos (2), Adolfo Gaich (1), Brian Aguirre (1)
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Estudiantes vs Vélez Sarsfield Lineups & Team News
The Estudiantes vs Vélez team news could change everything — review it before betting. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primera División lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Estudiantes Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vélez Sarsfield Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Estudiantes Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Vélez Sarsfield Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Estudiantes Lineups
Previous Vélez Sarsfield Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Estudiantes Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eduardo Dominguez
Vélez Sarsfield Player Stats & Squad
Primera División Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Estudiantes | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7:2 | 15 |
| 4 | Vélez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Tigre | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 8 | Platense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 12 |
| 9 | Unión | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:4 | 11 |
| 10 | Rosario Central | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 11 | Defensa Justicia | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 12 | Talleres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 13 | River Plate | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 14 | Gimnasia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 16 | Huracán | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 9 |
| 17 | Argentinos Jrs | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 8 |
| 18 | Instituto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 19 | Lanús | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 20 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | 8 |
| 21 | Barracas Central | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Central Córdoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | 8 |
| 23 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 8 |
| 24 | Banfield | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 25 | Sarmiento | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | 6 |
| 26 | Atl. Tucumán | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 27 | Deportivo Riestra | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 28 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 30 | Newell's OB | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Tigre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Estudiantes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Unión | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:0 | 8 |
| 7 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 8 |
| 8 | Belgrano | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Instituto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Banfield | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 13 | Barracas Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 14 | Central Córdoba | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 15 | Argentinos Jrs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 7 |
| 16 | Talleres | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Platense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 18 | River Plate | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 19 | Huracán | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 20 | Sarmiento | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 21 | Atl. Tucumán | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 22 | Lanús | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 23 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 25 | Rosario Central | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 26 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 27 | Defensa Justicia | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | 2 |
| 30 | Newell's OB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
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Estudiantes
Vélez Sarsfield