FC Cincinnati vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

MLS Betting Preview: FC Cincinnati vs New York City

FC Cincinnati host New York City in this MLS match at TQL Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 23 August. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We think the Total Goals market gives us plenty of value on the basis that we can bet on Over 2.5 at the available price of -154. We anticipate Cincinnati and New York City to notch the goals which can land a payout.

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FC Cincinnati triumphed in their last game which was away from home. Portland Timbers were beaten 3-2 at Providence Park. Pat Noonan's team had 45% possession and six shots on target, with Kevin Denkey, Pavel Bucha and Evander Ferreira each scoring one goal.

New York City FC beat Nashville SC in their previous MLS match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 2-1 home victory at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, with Andres Perea and Alonso Martinez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have not lost to Cincinnati in the past three meetings. Their last encounter took place at Citi Field and City secured a 1-0 home win. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Cincinnati wins, two draws and three City victories.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	FC Cincinnati	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	NYCFC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Cincinnati have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. The Ohio outfit have averaged 45.9% possession and 2.7 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Evander Ferreira leads the way with 9 goals, Kevin Denkey has 3, with Pavel Bucha and Luca Orellano scoring 2. The leading assistors have been Evander Ferreira and Luca Orellano with 3.

City have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 8.1 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Pascal Jansen's team average 57.0% possession, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts.

Alonso Martinez and Hannes Wolf top the team’s scoring charts on 5 goals, with Andres Perea on 2. Hannes Wolf and Maxi Moralez have had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Cincinnati confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Roman Celentano (GK), Nick Hagglund, Lukas Engel, Matt Miazga, Alvas Elvis Powell, Brad Smith, Pavel Bucha, Brian Anunga, Evander Ferreira, Ender Echenique, Kevin Denkey.

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Thiago Martins, Justin Haak, Kevin O'Toole, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Andres Perea, Hannes Wolf, Alonso Martinez, Nicolas Fernandez.

FC Cincinnati vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete FC Cincinnati vs New York City betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We could see the ball hit the net a few times in this MLS clash, so let’s take the -154 when it comes to Over 2.5. We’re confident of a return based on the available information.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest MLS stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key FC Cincinnati vs New York City league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Cincinnati games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cincinnati games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 NYCFC games.

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There’s the possibility of exploring other betting angles and Over 3.5 Goals is a viable option if you are looking to get a larger price. With this wager, you will get a return if there are four goals or more.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City

Our prediction for the correct score is Cincinnati to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hannes Wolf Under 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) is available at -133 to not have a shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+300

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

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Pavel Bucha to Score +650

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati) has managed two goals in his past ten MLS games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +650 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Pavel Bucha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

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Corners Prediction

Cincinnati Under 5.5 Corners -154

Cincinnati have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in ten straight games, with New York City conceding under 5.5 corners in the past two matches. We think that Cincinnati will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -154.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cincinnati

Total

7.60 2.70 4.90

Home

9.40 4.70 4.70

Away

9.10 4.30 4.80

New York City

Total

9.10 4.10 5.00

Home

11.70 6.00 5.70

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-141

Cincinnati Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+110

New York City Corners

Over 3.5

-159

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-147

X

+650

2

+170

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FC Cincinnati vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have FC Cincinnati at +104 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 49% chance of winning this MLS clash based on the betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, New York City FC are available at +220.

If Cincinnati and City play out a draw, then an Asian Handicap -0.25 on the former means a half stake refund. However, a victory for the favourites would mean a full payout at -125.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -167 for the BTTS Yes option.

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Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+285

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+135

2

+255

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-400

X2

-135

Draw No Bet

1

-185

2

+135

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-125

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+118

Over 2.5

-149

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-167

No

+120

You will find favourite Evander at +330 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +108 that he finds the net any time.

Evander (Cincinnati)

First

+108

Anytime

+330

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+135

Anytime

+350

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-156

Evander (Cincinnati)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-164

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-167

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-154

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-172

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-172

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-200

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-714

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-714

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-909

Cincinnati have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

New York City have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Pigeons have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The previous TQL Stadium encounter involved City beating Cincinnati on penalties (0-0 after 90 mins). The previous 6 H2H meetings at TQL Stadium have ended in three Cincinnati victories, two draws and a solitary win for City.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
FC Cincinnati Home Stats		5-2-3	3.30	1.80	1.50	8	2	7	3
New York City Away Stats		3-3-4	2.90	1.30	1.60	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

FC Cincinnati vs New York City Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Cincinnati vs City team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed MLS lineups and injury news right here.

FC Cincinnati Team Page New York City Team Page

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