FC Cincinnati vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

MLS Betting Preview: FC Cincinnati vs New York City

FC Cincinnati host New York City in this MLS match at TQL Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 23 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Over 2.5 Has to Be The Way Forward

We think the Total Goals market gives us plenty of value on the basis that we can bet on Over 2.5 at the available price of -154. We anticipate Cincinnati and New York City to notch the goals which can land a payout.

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City Won When They Last Played Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati triumphed in their last game which was away from home. Portland Timbers were beaten 3-2 at Providence Park. Pat Noonan's team had 45% possession and six shots on target, with Kevin Denkey, Pavel Bucha and Evander Ferreira each scoring one goal.

New York City FC beat Nashville SC in their previous MLS match, making it back-to-back league wins. It was a 2-1 home victory at Yankee Stadium. The Pigeons were 53% in the possession stakes and had five shots on goal, with Andres Perea and Alonso Martinez on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have not lost to Cincinnati in the past three meetings. Their last encounter took place at Citi Field and City secured a 1-0 home win. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Cincinnati wins, two draws and three City victories.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	FC Cincinnati	27	16	4	7	42	34	8	42:34	52
11	NYCFC	25	12	5	8	36	30	6	36:30	41

View Full Table

Cincinnati have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. The Ohio outfit have averaged 45.9% possession and 2.7 corners per match, conceding 1.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 3.9 shots on goal and 8.9 attempts.

Evander Ferreira leads the way with 9 goals, Kevin Denkey has 3, with Pavel Bucha and Luca Orellano scoring 2. The leading assistors have been Evander Ferreira and Luca Orellano with 3.

City have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 8.1 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 1.8 goals. Pascal Jansen's team average 57.0% possession, 4.1 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.5 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts.

Alonso Martinez and Hannes Wolf top the team’s scoring charts on 5 goals, with Andres Perea on 2. Hannes Wolf and Maxi Moralez have had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

FC Cincinnati predicted lineup (3-4-1-2): Roman Celentano (GK), Nick Hagglund, Matthew Miazga, Miles Robinson, Gerardo Valenzuela, Pavel Bucha, Stiven Jimenez, Lukas Engel, Evander, Ender Echenique, Kévin Denkey.

New York City predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Strahinja Tanasijevic, Justin Haak, Kevin OToole, Maxi Moralez, Aiden O'Neill, Andrés Perea, Nicolas Fernandez Mercau, Alonso Martínez, Hannes Wolf.

FC Cincinnati vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

Your complete FC Cincinnati vs New York City betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

We could see the ball hit the net a few times in this MLS clash, so let’s take the -154 when it comes to Over 2.5. We’re confident of a return based on the available information.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest MLS stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key FC Cincinnati vs New York City league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Cincinnati games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Cincinnati games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 NYCFC games.

Over 2.5 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 60.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There’s the possibility of exploring other betting angles and Over 3.5 Goals is a viable option if you are looking to get a larger price. With this wager, you will get a return if there are four goals or more.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -154 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cincinnati 2 - 1 New York City

Our prediction for the correct score is Cincinnati to land a 2-1 victory and this is available at +700. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Hannes Wolf Under 0.5 Shots On Target -133

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) is available at -133 to not have a shot on goal. The Shots on Target market allows us to follow this selection and get an attractive price in the process.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+340

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-133

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Pavel Bucha to Score +650

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati) has managed two goals in his past ten MLS games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +650 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Pavel Bucha Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1900

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

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Corners Prediction

Cincinnati Under 5.5 Corners -154

Cincinnati have failed to cover the 5.5 corners line in ten straight games, with New York City conceding under 5.5 corners in the past two matches. We think that Cincinnati will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -154.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cincinnati

Total

7.60 2.70 4.90

Home

9.40 4.70 4.70

Away

9.10 4.30 4.80

New York City

Total

9.10 4.10 5.00

Home

11.70 6.00 5.70

Away

9.80 4.20 5.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-119

Under 9.5

-119

Cincinnati Corners

Over 5.5

+108

Under 5.5

-154

New York City Corners

Over 4.5

+112

Under 4.5

-159

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+165

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FC Cincinnati vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Cincinnati Victory

The bookmakers have FC Cincinnati at -116 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 54% chance of winning this MLS clash based on the betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, New York City FC are available at +270.

There are two Asian Handicap options and they are Cincinnati -0.5 at -115 or alternatively City +0.5. Either go for the favourites to win or opt for the latter and get the draw on your side at -108.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. Punters anticipating that both teams will find the net are able to land -164 for the BTTS Yes option.

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Full-Time Result

1

-116

X

+290

2

+270

Half-Time Result

1

+143

X

+138

2

+290

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-385

X2

-111

Draw No Bet

1

-244

2

+165

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-115

2 Hcp +0.5

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+120

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-164

No

+118

Evander Heads First Goalscorer Market

You will find favourite Evander at +340 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +102 that he finds the net any time.

Evander (Cincinnati)

First

+102

Anytime

+340

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+195

Anytime

+475

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

First

+295

Anytime

+800

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-141

Evander (Cincinnati)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-147

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-156

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-133

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-172

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-175

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 1.5

+165

Under 1.5

-250

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+285

Under 0.5

-769

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-833

Unbeaten Cincinnati in Past Five H2H TQL Stadium Clashes

Cincinnati have five wins, three losses and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.80 goals per match and conceding 1.50.

New York City have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Pigeons have managed four losses, three victories and three draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

The previous TQL Stadium encounter involved City beating Cincinnati on penalties (0-0 after 90 mins). The previous 6 H2H meetings at TQL Stadium have ended in three Cincinnati victories, two draws and a solitary win for City.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
FC Cincinnati Home Stats		5-2-3	3.30	1.80	1.50	8	2	7	3
New York City Away Stats		3-3-4	2.90	1.30	1.60	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

FC Cincinnati vs New York City Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Cincinnati vs City team news before placing your bets. Get the latest predicted and confirmed MLS lineups and injury news right here.

FC Cincinnati Team Page New York City Team Page