FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Aug 2025

MLS Betting Preview: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union

FC Cincinnati host Philadelphia Union in this MLS game at TQL Stadium, with kick-off set for 19:30 on Saturday 30 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Union Look Value for This Clash

Philadelphia look a nice wager to topple Cincinnati and we can take them at -127 with a +0.25 goal headstart on the Asian Handicap. This means dividing our stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope of a payout.

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Union 4-1 Victors When Teams Met Last

FC Cincinnati were defeated last time out. TQL Stadium saw them beaten at home to New York City FC by a 1-0 scoreline. The Orange and Blue enjoyed 47% possession and six shots on target.

Philadelphia Union won their previous game, beating Chicago Fire at home. It was a 4-0 win at Subaru Park. Bradley Carnell's men were 52% in the possession stakes and managed eight shots on goal, with Tai Baribo, Kai Wagner, Danley Jean Jacques and Milan Iloski on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Subaru Park, with Philadelphia landing the home victory. Defeating Cincinnati by a 4-1 scoreline. It’s been five Cincinnati victories, two draws and three Philadelphia wins in the previous 10 H2H meetings.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Philadelphia	28	16	6	6	48	26	22	48:26	54
3	FC Cincinnati	28	16	4	8	42	35	7	42:35	52

View Full Table

Cincinnati have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts. The Ohio side have averaged 47.1% possession and 2.8 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.1 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 4.5 corners.

Top goalscorer Evander Ferreira has found the net 9 times, with Kevin Denkey, Pavel Bucha and Luca Orellano scoring 2 each. Evander Ferreira is the leading assists maker with 3.

Philadelphia have 5 victories, 3 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 10.8 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 48.2% possession, 5.5 corners in their favour and 3.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 7.1 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal.

Tai Baribo has scored 3, followed by Indiana Vassilev, Mikael Uhre and Bruno Damiani with 2 goals apiece. Kai Wagner has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

FC Cincinnati predicted lineup (5-3-2): Roman Celentano (GK), Alvas Powell, Nick Hagglund, Lukas Engel, Matthew Miazga, Brad Smith, Pavel Bucha, Brian Anunga, Evander, Ender Echenique, Kévin Denkey.

Philadelphia Union predicted lineup (4-4-2): Andrew Rick (GK), Frankie Westfield, Jakob Glesnes, Olwethu Makhanya, Kai Wagner, Quinn Sullivan, Jovan Lukic, Danley Jean Jacques, Milan Iloski, Tai Baribo, Bruno Damiani.

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, corners forecast, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

Philadelphia have a good chance of winning this MLS clash and we’ll wager them on the Asian Handicap. Take the visitors at -127 with a +0.25 goal start in then expectation that they can perform well.

Sportsgambler.com boast MLS expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Philadelphia in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Philadelphia in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Cincinnati in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Cincinnati in 10 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Cincinnati in 2 consecutive games at home.

Union +0.25 Probability

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 55.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you want to try and leverage a large potential pay out from your stake, a Bet Builder is a potential way forward. Bet Philly to cover the line along with other picks.

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Our Match Prediction

Philadelphia Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cincinnati 1 - 2 Philadelphia

One bet that has caught our eye is Philadelphia to claim a 2-1 correct score win. This selection is available at +800 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tai Baribo to Score +175

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia) has managed two goals in his past five MLS matches. We’ll take a chance at +175 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Tai Baribo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+420

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-263

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -149

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in seven straight Cincinnati games. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at -149.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Cincinnati

Total

7.30 2.80 4.50

Home

9.80 4.90 4.90

Away

9.10 4.30 4.80

Philadelphia

Total

8.70 5.50 3.20

Home

11.80 7.30 4.50

Away

8.10 5.00 3.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Cincinnati Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-119

Philadelphia Corners

Over 4.5

-128

Under 4.5

-111

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+650

2

+105

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FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Cincinnati Win on the Cards According to the Bookies

FC Cincinnati are +135 with the bookies to get the better of Philadelphia Union, with the latter having betting odds of +165. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this MLS encounter, this can be wagered at +285.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Cincinnati at -132 or instead go for Philadelphia at -102.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. Both Teams to Score is one of the top markets and the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -185.

The top football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest MLS matches. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+135

X

+285

2

+165

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+138

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-217

12

-385

X2

-175

Draw No Bet

1

-132

2

-102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+107

2 Hcp +0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-161

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-185

No

+132

Evander Favourite to Score the First Goal

Evander is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +360. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +123.

Evander (Cincinnati)

First

+123

Anytime

+360

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

First

+170

Anytime

+420

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

First

+235

Anytime

+525

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

First

+340

Anytime

+800

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

First

+460

Anytime

+1200

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

First

+650

Anytime

+1900

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Kevin Denkey (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+148

Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+120

Mikael Uhre (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Gerardo Valenzuela (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-164

Evander (Cincinnati)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-192

Kei Kamara (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-175

Quinn Sullivan (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-238

Tai Baribo (Philadelphia)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-263

Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-385

Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-556

Nathan Harriel (Philadelphia)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-556

Pavel Bucha (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Lukas Engel (Cincinnati)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-1000

Cincinnati Have Won TQL Stadium H2H Matches Four Consecutive Times

Cincinnati have recorded five victories, four defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Philadelphia are winless over their previous four games on their travels. Bradley Carnell's team have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 0.70 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

In the last meeting at TQL Stadium, Cincinnati defeated Philadelphia by a 4-3 scoreline. The previous 5 H2H meetings at TQL Stadium have involved four Cincinnati triumphs and just one win for Philadelphia.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
FC Cincinnati Home Stats		5-1-4	3.00	1.60	1.40	7	3	6	4
Philadelphia Union Away Stats		4-2-4	1.40	0.70	0.70	2	8	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Cincinnati vs Philadelphia team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the MLS along with the latest injury news.

FC Cincinnati Team Page Philadelphia Union Team Page