FC Dallas vs New York City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jul 2025

MLS Betting Preview: FC Dallas vs New York City

FC Dallas host New York City in this MLS match at Toyota Stadium, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Friday 25 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

City to Give Dallas a Tough Test

We will split our stake on the Asian Handicap between 0 and +0.5 when wagering New York City +0.25 at -139 against Dallas. We need a victory for a full payout although the draw means a return is on the cards.

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Teams’ Last Clash Saw 3-1 City Win

Dallas were victorious when they last played, landing a 3-0 home success against St. Louis City at Toyota Stadium. Eric Quill's team recorded just 34% possession and had ten shots on target, while Petar Musa bagged two goals and Kaick Ferreira scored the other.

New York City FC played out a 1-1 draw in their previous game. This was away from home at Children's Mercy Park, with Sporting Kansas City the opponents. The Pigeons had six shots on goal and enjoyed 61% possession, with Andres Perea finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City have won the last two clashes against Dallas. There was a 3-1 home win at Citi Field after triumphing 1-0 away at Toyota Stadium. We’ve seen two of 4 H2H games go the way of City, with two draws also taking place.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	NYCFC	23	10	5	8	30	26	4	30:26	35
23	FC Dallas	23	6	7	10	32	41	-9	32:41	25

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.7 goals from 9.9 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. Dallas have had 39.6% possession and 3.2 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.9 goals from 11.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal, while earning 6.4 corners.

Petar Musa leads the way with 8 goals, Luciano Acosta has 2, with Kaick Ferreira and two others on 1. Petar Musa and Shaq Moore have been top assistors with 2.

City have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts. There’s been an average of 55.9% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.2 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts.

Hannes Wolf is the leading goalscorer with 6, Alonso Martinez has 3, with Maxi Moralez and Monsef Bakrar getting 2. Justin Haak has managed to clock up 3 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

FC Dallas predicted lineup (3-4-3): Maarten Paes (GK), Alvaro Augusto, Sebastien Ibeagha, Lalas Abubakar, Sebastian Lletget, Kaick, Ramiro, Josh Torquato, Logan Farrington, Petar Musa, Bernard Kamungo.

New York City predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Max Murray, Justin Haak, Kevin OToole, Aiden O'Neill, Jonathan Shore, Julián Fernández, Maxi Moralez, Andrés Perea, Alonso Martínez.

FC Dallas vs New York City Prediction & Betting Tips

From our key match prediction to corners advice, correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our FC Dallas vs New York City betting tips covers it all.

Match Prediction

We’ll divide our stake by wagering New York City +0.25 at odds of -139 for this Asian Handicap wager. We’re expecting to see a quality performance from the away team in this MLS showdown.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest MLS stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key FC Dallas vs New York City league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by NYCFC in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by NYCFC in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by NYCFC in 2 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Dallas in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Dallas in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Dallas in 4 consecutive games against NYCFC.

City +0.25 Probability

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 58.1% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

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Our Match Prediction

NYCFC Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dallas 0 - 1 New York City

Let’s go for NYCFC to win 1-0, a bet which is available at +900. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Maximiliano Moralez to Score +700

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC) has registered two goals in his past ten MLS games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +700.

Latest Maximiliano Moralez Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-833

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Corners Prediction

New York City To Have Most Corners -108

New York City have had an average of 5.20 corners in the past 10 games, with Dallas averaging 2.60 corners in their last 5 home matches. City look set to win this Corner Match bet and we’re going for odds of -108.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Dallas

Total

9.60 3.20 6.40

Home

9.50 3.00 6.50

Away

10.20 4.30 5.90

New York City

Total

10.40 5.20 5.20

Home

12.70 6.50 6.20

Away

10.40 4.00 6.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-135

Under 9.5

-105

Dallas Corners

Over 4.5

-116

Under 4.5

-122

New York City Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Most Corners

1

+115

X

+540

2

-116

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FC Dallas vs New York City Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Predicting a Close Encounter

The draw is available at +250 if you believe that this MLS encounter will finish level, with FC Dallas and New York City FC both chalked up at +155 with the bookmakers to secure respective wins.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. Dallas can be backed at -120 or alternatively City are on offer at -119.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you’re anticipating that both teams will score, the BTTS Yes option can be wagered at -192.

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Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+250

2

+155

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+140

2

+195

Double Chance

1X

-200

12

-333

X2

-192

Draw No Bet

1

-120

2

-119

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+118

2 Hcp +0.25

-154

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-154

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+135

Petar Musa Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

Favourite Petar Musa is +380 to be the First Goalscorer, while similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Petar Musa (Dallas)

First

+140

Anytime

+380

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+160

Anytime

+430

Tarik Scott (Dallas)

First

+235

Anytime

+600

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+245

Anytime

+575

Luciano Acosta (Dallas)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Logan Farrington (Dallas)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Bernard Kamungo (Dallas)

First

+375

Anytime

+900

Patrickson Delgado (Dallas)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Sebastian Lletget (Dallas)

First

+475

Anytime

+1200

Tsiki Ntsabeleng (Dallas)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Shaq Moore (Dallas)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Mitja Ilenic (NYCFC)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+150

Petar Musa (Dallas)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

+145

Tarik Scott (Dallas)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-120

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-123

Luciano Acosta (Dallas)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-164

Monsef Bakrar (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-179

Logan Farrington (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+106

Under 0.5

-192

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-192

Andrés Perea (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-204

Bernard Kamungo (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-227

Patrickson Delgado (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-294

Sebastian Lletget (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-385

Tsiki Ntsabeleng (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-500

Aiden O'Neill (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-833

Shaq Moore (Dallas)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-833

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-909

Mitja Ilenic (NYCFC)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-1250

Six Dallas Losses in Past Ten Home Clashes

Dallas have managed six losses, two victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.50.

City have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

City enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Dallas at Toyota Stadium.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
FC Dallas Home Stats		2-2-6	2.60	1.10	1.50	5	5	5	5
New York City Away Stats		2-4-4	2.20	0.90	1.30	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

FC Dallas vs New York City Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Dallas vs City team news before placing your bets. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed MLS lineups and the latest on injuries.

FC Dallas Team Page New York City Team Page