Flamengo vs Bahia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 May 2025

Will the Favourites Cover the Line?

We’re expecting Flamengo to overcome Bahia. Our Asian Handicap wager at -1.25 will produce a nice return at odds of -105 if the favourites win by two goals. Alternatively, half our stake is returned if they win by one.

Flamengo on a Big Winning Run Against Bahia

Flamengo have landed successive home wins. Their last appearance was a 2-1 road loss against Cruzeiro. The Scarlet-Black enjoyed 59% possession and managed four shots on target, with Giorgian De Arrascaeta registering the goal.

Bahia have won three straight games, recently recording a 1-0 home victory against Botafogo. The Salvador club were 48% in the possession stakes and managed two shots on goal, with Cauly Oliveira Souza on target in the 39th minute.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Flamengo won the last encounter between these sides. A 2-0 away win was recorded against Bahia. Flamengo have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Flamengo	12	8	3	1	26	4	22	26:4	27
4	Bahia	13	7	3	3	16	12	4	16:12	24

View Full Table

Flamengo have 6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 12.1 attempts. Filipe Luis' team have averaged 61.6% possession and 6.1 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.5 shots on goal, 7.5 attempts and 3.3 corners.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta leads the way with 6 goals, Pedro has 4, with Bruno Henrique and Michael scoring 2. Erick Pulgar and Giorgian De Arrascaeta have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece.

Bahia have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 9.3 attempts and 1.1 goals. The Squad of Steel average 51.0% possession, 4.3 corners taken and 4.8 corners against them, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 9.9 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Erick and Luciano Rodriguez on 2, with Cauly Oliveira Souza getting 1. Luciano Juba and Cauly Oliveira Souza have clocked up 3 assists each in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Flamengo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Rossi (GK), Guillermo Varela, Leo Ortiz, Leo Pereira, Alex Sandro, Erick Pulgar, Allan, Gerson, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Michael, Bruno Henrique.

Bahia confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Marcos Felipe (GK), Nicolas Acevedo, Gabriel Xavier, Santiago Ramos, Luciano Juba, Rezende, Kayky, Rodrigo Nestor, Jean Lucas, Iago, Luciano Rodriguez.

Flamengo vs Bahia Prediction & Betting Tips

Flamengo -1.25 could be worth a bet at -105. We’re confident that they can win by two goals or more in this Série A encounter and the odds are really appealing when it comes to the favourites.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football picks. The form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Flamengo vs Bahia league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by Flamengo in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by Flamengo in 2 consecutive games at home.

Flamengo -1.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There are plenty of different options to Asian Handicap and that includes the Winning Margin market. Choose whether a team will achieve a close win or something bigger.

Our Match Prediction

Flamengo Asian Hcp -1.25 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia

There’s the option to wager on Flamengo to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Odds of +480 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giorgian de Arrascaeta to Score +205

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) has scored at least one goal in three straight Serie A matches on home soil. When it comes to him scoring, we think that the +205 available is attractive when betting on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Giorgian de Arrascaeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+163

First

+380

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-263

Shots

Over 2.5

-200

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -125

It’s been three straight Flamengo matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered. We’re going to take the Overs for Total Corners, with this line making appeal and you can get odds of -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Flamengo

Total

9.40 6.10 3.30

Home

8.90 6.30 2.60

Away

10.50 6.10 4.40

Bahia

Total

9.10 4.30 4.80

Home

9.60 6.00 3.60

Away

9.30 4.30 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-125

Under 9.5

-110

Flamengo Corners

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-125

Bahia Corners

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+125

Most Corners

1

-385

X

+700

2

+310

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Flamengo vs Bahia Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Flamengo Victory on the Cards According to Betting Sites

You might not get rich backing Flamengo at -238 to win this Serie A match. However, these bookies betting odds imply a high 70% chance of winning the game. At +700, Bahia are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

The Total Goals market looks like a close call, with Under and Over 2.5 Goals trading at a similar price.

If you fancy Flamengo but want money back if this Série A match is a draw, then you can get -800. You can bet on Bahia at +500 on the Draw No Bet market.

Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+350

2

+700

Half-Time Result

1

-110

X

+137.5

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-1205

12

-549

X2

+175

Draw No Bet

1

-800

2

+500

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

+101

2 Hcp +1.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-118

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-143

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos Favourite to Find the Net First

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +330. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +138.

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

First

+138

Anytime

+330

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

First

+163

Anytime

+380

Olávio Vieira "Juninho" dos Santos Júnior (Flamengo)

First

+195

Anytime

+410

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

First

+200

Anytime

+440

Matheus Gonçalves (Flamengo)

First

+230

Anytime

+540

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Michael Richard Delgado de Oliveira (Flamengo)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Gerson Santos da Silva (Flamengo)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Leonardo Ortiz (Flamengo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+128

Olávio Vieira "Juninho" dos Santos Júnior (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

+116

Matheus Gonçalves (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-115

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-141

Michael Richard Delgado de Oliveira (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-132

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-161

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-172

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-175

Gerson Santos da Silva (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-233

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-263

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-400

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-556

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-556

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Leonardo Ortiz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-1000

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-

Bruno Henrique Pinto (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-200

Under 2.5

-

Olávio Vieira "Juninho" dos Santos Júnior (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-

Matheus Gonçalves (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-

Michael Richard Delgado de Oliveira (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Plata (Flamengo)

Over 2.5

+108

Under 2.5

-

Erick Pulga (Bahia)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Gerson Santos da Silva (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Rodríguez (Bahia)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Erick Pulgar (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Ademir da Silva Santos Júnior (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo Nestor (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (Bahia)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Flamengo vs Bahia Lineups & Team News

Our Flamengo vs Bahia team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

The Série A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Flamengo Team Page Bahia Team Page