Flamengo vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Flamengo vs São Paulo

Flamengo host São Paulo in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 12 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Flamengo Look Capable of Covering the Line

We’re expecting Flamengo to overcome São Paulo. Our Asian Handicap wager at -1.25 will produce a nice return at odds of +102.5 if the favourites win by two goals. Alternatively, half our stake is returned if they win by one.

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1-0 Triumph for São Paulo in Last H2H

Flamengo followed up their previous league win with a 5-0 home triumph. This was against Fortaleza. The Scarlet-Black managed thirteen shots on target and enjoyed 65% possession, with Luiz Araujo able to score two goals.

In their previous showing, Flamengo faced Bayern Munich in the Club World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium and lost 4-2.

São Paulo have now lost their previous three games. This includes being turned over at home to Vasco da Gama by a 3-1 scoreline. Hernan Crespo's men had 51% of possession and three shots on goal, with Ryan Francisco finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw São Paulo record a 1-0 home victory against Flamengo. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Flamengo wins, two draws and three São Paulo successes.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Flamengo	21	14	5	2	45	10	35	45:10	47
7	São Paulo	22	8	8	6	26	23	3	26:23	32

View Full Table

Flamengo have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The Rio de Janeiro side have averaged 60.5% possession and 6.2 corners per match, conceding 0.3 goals and 2.8 corners from 2.8 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.

Giorgian De Arrascaeta leads the way with 9 goals, while Pedro and Luiz Araujo have scored 4 and 2 respectively. Giorgian De Arrascaeta is the top assists maker with 4.

São Paulo have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 49.0% possession, 4.1 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.9 attempts.

Andre and Ferreira have 3 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Ryan Francisco on 2. Ferreira has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Flamengo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Agustin Rossi (GK), Wesley, Leo Ortiz, Leo Pereira, Alex Sandro, Jorginho, Allan, Luiz Araujo, Giorgian De Arrascaeta, Bruno Henrique, Gonzalo Plata.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (5-3-2): Rafael (GK), Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Alisson, Marcos Antonio, Pablo Maia, Oscar, Andre.

Flamengo vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Flamengo vs São Paulo tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Flamengo should have the upper hand when it comes to this Série A encounter. Taking the -1.25 at odds of +102.5 should be the way forward and there’s a chance of a nice return for a comfortable win.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest Série A stats.

Key Flamengo vs São Paulo league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by Flamengo in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -1.25 line has been covered by Flamengo in 2 consecutive games.

Flamengo -1.25 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 49.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.

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Our Match Prediction

Flamengo Asian Hcp -1.25 @ +102.5 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Flamengo 3 - 0 São Paulo

A potentially entertaining bet is going for Flamengo to win by a 3-0 scoreline. At odds of +800, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Giorgian de Arrascaeta to Score +148

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo) has scored at least one goal in five consecutive Serie A matches. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +148.

Latest Giorgian de Arrascaeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+130

First

+295

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-208

Shots

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Flamengo Under 6.5 Corners -138

We’ve seen an average of 5.00 Flamengo corners in the past 5 games, with São Paulo conceding under 6.5 corners in the previous four matches. We recommend backing the -138 that Flamengo aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Flamengo

Total

9.00 6.20 2.80

Home

9.10 6.40 2.70

Away

10.10 5.70 4.40

São Paulo

Total

10.20 4.10 6.10

Home

10.70 6.20 4.50

Away

10.00 3.10 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-103

Flamengo Corners

Over 6.5

-120

Under 6.5

-120

São Paulo Corners

Over 2.5

-138

Under 2.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-417

X

+650

2

+360

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Flamengo vs São Paulo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Flamengo Victory on the Cards According to Bookies

The bookmakers have Flamengo at -213 when it comes to 1x2. This suggests that the favourites have a 68% chance of winning this Série A clash based on the betting odds. São Paulo are the underdogs at +650 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

You can back Flamengo at +107 on the Half-Time Result market, meaning you need them to be ahead at the break. São Paulo are +575 and the draw is chalked up at +118.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. The Both Teams to Score No option is -200 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

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Full-Time Result

1

-213

X

+295

2

+650

Half-Time Result

1

+107

X

+118

2

+575

Double Chance

1X

-1250

12

-455

X2

+148

Draw No Bet

1

-714

2

+390

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1

-119

2 Hcp +1

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+138

No

-200

Giorgian de Arrascaeta Favourite to Score the First Goal

Giorgian de Arrascaeta is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +295 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +130.

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

First

+130

Anytime

+295

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

First

+170

Anytime

+360

Bruno Henrique Pinto

First

+225

Anytime

+460

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Gonzalo Plata

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Aldemir Ferreira

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Ayrton Lucas Dantas de Medeiros (Flamengo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-286

Under 0.5

+155

Bruno Henrique Pinto

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+148

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Gonzalo Plata

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-147

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-156

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-208

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Aldemir Ferreira

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-244

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-286

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-370

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Giorgian de Arrascaeta (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

+130

Under 3.5

-

Pedro Guilherme Abreu dos Santos (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

+108

Under 3.5

-

Luiz Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Bruno Henrique Pinto

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo Plata

Over 2.5

+138

Under 2.5

-

Éverton "Cebolinha" Souza Soares (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araújo (Flamengo)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Lucas dos Santos Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Nicolás de la Cruz (Flamengo)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

-

Rodrigo "Rodriguinho" Almeida Mendonca (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Flamengo vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Flamengo vs São Paulo team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and injury news right here.

Flamengo Team Page São Paulo Team Page