Fluminense vs Grêmio Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Jan 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Fluminense vs Grêmio

Fluminense square off against Grêmio, with kick-off set for 18:30 on Wednesday 28 January.

We believe that Fluminense will get the better of Grêmio and the favourites are excellent value at -135. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

Fluminense secured a success at home in their last Série A game, defeating Bahia 2-0. The Big Flu had 52% possession and managed four shots on target, with Ganso and Thiago Silva each scoring one goal.

Grêmio triumphed in their previous game. It was on their travels where Sport Recife were beaten 4-0. Luis Castro's team were 53% in the possession stakes and had nine shots on goal, with Carlos Vinicius scoring two, while Gustavo Martins and Franco Cristaldo also found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fluminense have beaten Grêmio in the last two head-to-head encounters. The most recent was a 2-1 away victory following a 1-0 home win. The past 10 H2H matches have seen Grêmio triumph six times, one draw and three Fluminense wins.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Fluminense	5	3	1	1	7	4	3	7:4	10
9	Grêmio	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	9:9	7

View Full Table

Fluminense have 7 wins, 1 loss and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts. Luis Zubeldia's men have averaged 50.5% possession and 4.2 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 0.4 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 8.9 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Top goalscorer is Kevin Serna on 3 goals, while Yeferson Soteldo and Agustin Canobbio have both bagged 2. Kevin Serna is the leading assists maker on 3.

Grêmio have 4 victories, 5 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.7 goals from 6.2 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. There’s been an average of 48.1% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 9.7 attempts.

Carlos Vinicius is top of the team’s scoring charts with 9, while Andre and Francis Amuzu both have 2. Cristian Pavon has managed 4 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Jemmes, Juan Freytes, Rene, Martinelli, Nonato, Agustin Canobbio, Luciano Acosta, Kevin Serna, John Kennedy.

Grêmio confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Joao Pedro, Gustavo Martins, Wagner Leonardo, Marlon, Dodi, Arthur, Tete, Edenilson, Francis Amuzu, Carlos Vinicius.

Fluminense vs Grêmio Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the edge with our best Fluminense vs Grêmio tips: a key match prediction, expert corners pick, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

We think that Fluminense can win this Série A game and we’re drawn to the odds of -135 which look like value. Our pick is appealing and we’re confident this selection will be on the money.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Série A form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key Fluminense vs Grêmio league stats:

• Fluminense have won 9 consecutive games at home.
• Fluminense have won 15 of their last 19 games at home.
• Fluminense have won 11 of their last 20 games.
• Grêmio have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Grêmio have lost 10 of their last 19 games on the road.
• Fluminense have won the last 2 games between these teams.

The best betting sites make it a 57.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Those who are looking for bigger odds when backing Fluminense should consider the Asian Handicap. Place a wager on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal.

Before placing your wager, discover the best bonus deals. Our guide highlights the most rewarding betting offers available.

Our Match Prediction

Fluminense To Win @ -135 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 27, 00:37). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Fluminense 2 - 0 Grêmio

Let’s take a chance on the +540 available that Fluminense secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carlos Vinícius Over 0.5 Shots On Target -115

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio) is available at -115 to finish with at least one shot on goal. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.

Latest Carlos Vinícius Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-154

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

---

Agustín Canobbio to Score +350

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +350 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Agustín Canobbio Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Grêmio Over 3.5 Corners -112

The 3.5 corners line has been covered by Grêmio in their past three games, with the corner count against Fluminense going over 3.5 in their last six matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Grêmio Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -112 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Fluminense

Total

9.00 4.20 4.80

Home

8.30 5.10 3.20

Away

9.30 4.00 5.30

Grêmio

Total

9.90 5.30 4.60

Home

8.00 5.20 2.80

Away

10.20 3.10 7.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-149

Under 9.5

+105

Fluminense Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-105

Grêmio Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-200

X

+700

2

+195

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Fluminense vs Grêmio Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Fluminense odds are -143 which leads to them being favourites in this Série A clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 59% prospect of securing a victory. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +380 for Grêmio.

Fluminense -0.75 on the Asian Handicap is available at -111 and means a full payout if they win by two or more against Grêmio. A victory by one goal means half the stake wins and the other half is refunded.

Under and Over 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

Hundreds of markets are now a guarantee for each of the Série A games, with the best football betting sites making sure that customers have quality options.

Full-Time Result

1

-143

X

+270

2

+380

Half-Time Result

1

+128

X

+130

2

+380

Double Chance

1X

-625

12

-400

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-370

2

+235

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-111

2 Hcp +0.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-120

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-120

You will find favourite Germán Cano at +380 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +165 that he finds the net any time.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+165

Anytime

+380

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+190

Anytime

+460

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Willian (Grêmio)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jemmes Ribeiro da Silva (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+120

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-109

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-109

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-128

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-143

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-154

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-192

Yeferson Soteldo (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-357

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-400

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-435

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-625

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Jemmes Ribeiro da Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-909

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

John Kennedy (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+148

Under 2.5

-

Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Luciano Acosta (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Andre Henrique da Silva Martins (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Martin Braithwaite (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Francis Amuzu (Grêmio)

Over 1.5

+114

Under 1.5

-

Guilherme Arana (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Franco Cristaldo (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Willian (Grêmio)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Jemmes Ribeiro da Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Fluminense vs Grêmio Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the Fluminense vs Grêmio team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Série A lineups plus current injury reports.

Fluminense Team Page Grêmio Team Page

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