Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Mar 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro

Vitória square off against Atlético Mineiro, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Saturday 14 March.

Vitória +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -152. They should be able to avoid defeat against Atlético Mineiro, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

Vitória played Bahia on their travels in their last game. It was a 1-1 draw. Jair Ventura's team enjoyed just 37% possession and had two shots on target, while Ramon scored the goal.

Atlético Mineiro have had back-to-back Série A away defeats while their previous league match was a 1-0 home win against Internacional. Galo had just 35% of the ball and recorded three shots on goal, with Tomas Cuello scoring the winner in the opening exchanges.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vitória are unbeaten in the past four games against Atlético. In their last clash, it was a 1-0 home win for Vitória. The previous 4 H2H games have featured two Vitória victories and two draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Vitória	12	4	3	5	12	17	-5	12:17	15
15	Atlético MG	13	4	2	7	14	19	-5	14:19	14

View Full Table

4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 8.8 attempts and 3.8 shots on goal. Vitória have had 38.6% possession and 4.2 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 12.0 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.2 corners.

The three top scorers are Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer and Gabriel Baralhas, with these players all scoring 2 goals. The leading assistor is Erick Serafim with 3.

Atlético have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, averaging 9.3 attempts, 4.5 shots on goal and 1.3 goals. The Belo Horizonte outfit average 48.1% possession, 5.5 corners awarded and 6.1 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.9 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts.

Dudu has scored 3 goals, followed by Victor Hugo and Hulk on 2. Hulk is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Nathan Mendes, Camutanga, Caca, Ramon, Caique, Gabriel Baralhas, Emmanuel Martinez, Marinho, Renato Kayzer, Matheuzinho.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Everson (GK), Ivan Roman, Ruan, Junior Alonso, Renan Lodi, Alan Franco, Tomas Perez, Victor Hugo, Gustavo Scarpa, Reinier, Tomas Cuello.

Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Tackle Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, corners market advice, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Vitória line up for this Série A game, we will back them at -152 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

The first port of call is to check out the Série A injury and suspension news for each side and then scroll through the form guide. We take this information and apply it to the latest available stats to come up with a verdict.

Key Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atlético MG in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 4 consecutive games against Atlético MG.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 60.2% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re in search of a larger price, there are lots of options for those wanting to sell goals. The wager is riskier but will provide a bigger reward should it win.

Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -152 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 12, 22:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 Atlético

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Vitória winning 1-0. Odds of +540 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Baralhas to Score +650

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) has managed two goals in his past four Série A matches on home soil. There are odds of +650 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Gabriel Baralhas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1600

Shots

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Vitória Over 4.5 Corners -119

There’s been an average 6.00 Vitória corners in their past 5 home games, while Atlético Mineiro have conceded more than 4.5 corners in five consecutive matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Vitória Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -119 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.40 4.20 5.20

Home

10.10 5.90 4.20

Away

7.50 2.50 5.00

Atlético

Total

11.60 5.50 6.10

Home

11.30 5.90 5.40

Away

9.60 4.30 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-137

Under 9.5

-104

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-100

Atlético Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-112

Most Corners

1

-106

X

+650

2

+110

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 43% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +130 betting odds for Vitória winning this Série A clash. The +215 means that Atlético Mineiro are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Should you want to back Vitória to win but want money back if the game ends level, then there is -167 available on the Draw No Bet market. Opponents Atlético have been chalked up at +115.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you’re betting on Both Teams to Score, you can back Yes at -125 and No at -110.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Série A matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+220

2

+215

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+108

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-294

12

-303

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-167

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-120

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+112

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-110

Those interested in Givanildo Souza "Hulk" to find the net anytime are able to get +200. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +480.

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+220

Anytime

+525

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1200

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Bernard (Atlético MG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Reinier (Atlético MG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1200

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Jamerson (Vitória)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Givanildo Souza "Hulk" (Atlético MG)

Over 3.5

+106

Under 3.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-147

Under 2.5

-

Mario Sergio 'Marinho' Santos Costa (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+112

Under 2.5

-

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Reinier (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+163

Under 1.5

-

Bernard (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues Sotero "Dudu" (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Victor Hugo Gomes Silva (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

-104

Under 1.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Paulo "Matheuzinho" (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Silva Duarte (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Hueglo dos Santos Neris "Neris" (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Jamerson (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-

Ángelo Preciado (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Vitória vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Vitória vs Atlético before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A and the newest injury information.

Vitória Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page

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