Fluminense vs Sport Recife Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 03 May 2025

Under 2.5 Goals Looks Value

There’s a case for betting Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. The numbers suggest that Fluminense and Sport Recife might struggle to exceed this total and the odds of -163 look more than fair.

1-0 Win for Fluminense in Last Head-to-Head

Fluminense were defeated in their last game. Away from home, they suffered a 2-0 loss against Botafogo. The Rio de Janeiro side had two shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.

Sport Recife drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 0-0 against Fortaleza. Pepa's men had the lion’s share of the ball recording 58% possession and eight shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fluminense have won three on the bounce against Sport. In the last clash, Fluminense bagged a 1-0 victory as the home side. The past 4 H2H games have involved three Fluminense wins and just one victory for Sport.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Fluminense	19	8	3	8	25	28	-3	25:28	27
20	Sport Recife	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	12:30	10

View Full Table

Fluminense have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Renato Gaucho's team have averaged 56.9% possession and 5.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 8.2 attempts and 5.1 corners.

Kevin Serna and Jhon Arias lead the way with 2 goals, while German Cano has scored 1. Jhon Arias, Agustin Canobbio and Nonato have racked up the most assists with 1 each.

Sport have lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.5 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. The Pernambuco club have averaged 50.3% possession, 6.2 corners taken and 4.0 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 9.8 attempts.

Sergio Oliveira and Chrystian Barletta are both on 1 goals. Hereda and Lucas Lima are the top assist makers with 1 in the previous 6 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Fluminense confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Fabio (GK), Samuel Xavier, Ignacio, Juan Freytes, Gabriel Fuentes, Hercules, Martinelli, Jhon Arias, Ganso, Agustin Canobbio, Everaldo.

Sport Recife confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Caique Franca (GK), Hereda, Joao Silva, Chico, Igor Carius, Christian Rivera, Ze Lucas, Rodrigo Atencio, Lucas Lima, Chrystian Barletta, Pablo.

Fluminense vs Sport Recife Prediction & Betting Tips

We are expecting a low number of goals for this Série A encounter. The odds of -163 for Under 2.5 look really attractive and we can play this bet with a fair amount of confidence.

It's important to understand the players who are unavailable for the upcoming action and the respective form of each team. If you want stats, you have come to the right place and they form the basis of our football predictions.

Key Fluminense vs Sport Recife league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 Fluminense games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Fluminense games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Fluminense games.

Under 2.5 Probability

According to the betting sites, our pick has a 61.9% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 70%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -163 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Fluminense 1 - 0 Sport Recife

Fluminense can be backed at +460 to triumph by a 1-0 scoreline. It can be fun to have a wager on the correct score and there’s a big potential return if the bet wins.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Chrystian Barletta Over 0.5 Shots On Target -122

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife) can be wagered at -122 to record a minimum of one shot on goal. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Chrystian Barletta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-137

Shots

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

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Kevin Serna to Score +325

Kevin Serna (Fluminense) has scored two goals in his past eight Serie A matches. We’ll use this stat and take odds of +325 that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Kevin Serna Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-141

Shots

Over 1.5

-213

Under 1.5

-

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Fluminense vs Sport Recife Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fluminense Betting Favourites to Win

Fluminense are the -139 favourites and that means a 58% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. The market suggests that Sport Recife are least likely to win at +480.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest price for this interesting match.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Série A match, with the leading football betting sites creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your bets.

Full-Time Result

1

-139

X

+215

2

+480

Half-Time Result

1

+132

X

+110

2

+450

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-313

X2

-100

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-103

2 Hcp +0.75

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+108

No

-156

Germán Cano Favourite to Score the First Goal

Favourite Germán Cano is available at +410 to be the First Goalscorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in him to score the last goal.

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

First

+190

Anytime

+410

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

First

+215

Anytime

+410

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

First

+285

Anytime

+550

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

First

+295

Anytime

+575

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Rubén (PRY) Lezcano (Fluminense)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Gonçalo Paciência (Sport Recife)

First

+500

Anytime

+1100

Paulo Henrique "Ganso" Chagas de Lima (Fluminense)

First

+550

Anytime

+1150

Jose 'Zé Roberto' Araujo Filho (Sport Recife)

First

+575

Anytime

+1100

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Gustavo Maia (Sport Recife)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Sérgio Oliveira (Sport Recife)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Otávio Santos Passos (Fluminense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Lenny Lobato (Sport Recife)

First

+950

Anytime

+1900

Christian (1996) Rivera (Sport Recife)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Christian Ortiz (Sport Recife)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Samuel Xavier (Fluminense)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Fabricio Domínguez (Sport Recife)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2000

Germán Cano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+148

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+118

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-103

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-120

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-141

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-137

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-119

Under 0.5

-147

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-156

Rubén (PRY) Lezcano (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-172

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-167

Gonçalo Paciência (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-204

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-233

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-238

Jose 'Zé Roberto' Araujo Filho (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Gustavo Maia (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-385

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Facundo Bernal (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Sérgio Oliveira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-417

Fabricio Domínguez (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-435

Thiago Silva (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-476

Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-500

Hyoran Kauê Dalmoro (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-455

Samuel Xavier (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-909

Everaldo Stum (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-

Agustín Canobbio (Fluminense)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Jhon Arias (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-286

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Lavega (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

-

Kevin Serna (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-213

Under 1.5

-

Rubén (PRY) Lezcano (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Marcos "Keno" Silva França (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-303

Under 1.5

-

Paulo Baya (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Vinicius 'Lima' Moreira de Lima (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

-106

Under 1.5

-

Jose 'Zé Roberto' Araujo Filho (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Hércules Pereira do Nascimento (Fluminense)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Maia (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Thiago dos Santos (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Samuel Xavier (Fluminense)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

Fluminense vs Sport Recife Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Fluminense vs Sport team news.

The Série A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Fluminense Team Page Sport Recife Team Page